Through Week 5 (week 6 not updated yet) on Football Outsiders:
MIA Offense
-18.7% Pass DVOA (rank: 31st)
-2.2% Rush DVOA (rank: 12th)
MIA Defense
15.8% Pass DVOA (rank: 21st)
-6.9% Rush DVOA (rank: 18th)
BUF Offense
10.8% Pass DVOA (rank: 17th)
4.2% Rush DVOA (rank: 6th)
BUF Defense
4.1% Pass DVOA (rank: 15th)
-16.6% Rush DVOA (rank: 11th)
That's actually a *lot* closer than I expected. As usual, our advantage on offense should be the running game, but they match up better with us than SF does. For defense, we match up slightly better than them across the board but their offense isn't as bad as I thought it would be.
By the numbers, it scares me a little bit. I think this is going to be a closer game than a lot of us think it will be, and will definitely be tougher than San Francisco was for us. We'll need another big Rushing Game with some timely passes to win.