mike22nc

This loss, if it is one, doesn't bother me much. I still expect Allen to outscore anyone on any given day.

There Rapp goes again with the friendly fire.

Not for nothing, sometimes the other team just plays great. We've had overall pretty decent coverage on Nacua and Kupp on some of these plays and they've made ridiculous catches. Gotta tip your cap to them.

Gotta stop blitzing.

I hate that 3rd down call. Looked like the Rams were basically giving the Bills a 1st down if we run to the right side.

I'm not generally a reactionary fan. Am I wrong or is it likely that Davis is better than Cook? Good to have them both, but the rookie is for real.

Disclaimer: I think this comment means I'm officially getting old. Does it get on anyone else's nerves when a defender makes a tackle after an objectively positive offensive play and they celebrate like they did something? I hate it when Bills do it, I hate it when the other team does it, i just hate it.

Why did we go from using exact numbers to rounding, and where did 54% come from? This isn't a good faith argument, so you're just a troll at this point.

Did the 51.6% come when he had 63 targets in 16 games, or perhaps was that when he received 93 targets in 15 games? If you think your response supports your argument, you don't know what you're looking at. Put another way, if he instead received 140 targets rather than 93 that year, which direction do you think his catch % would have moved?

Why do you expect the catch percentage to not be dependent upon targets per route run? It would not be linear. As more targets are allocated to Gabe, I would expect his catch percentage to decrease. He is thrown the ball when he gets open/creates separation. If he isn't either good at getting separation or good at contested catches, he isn't thrown the ball. If you throw him the ball more in the situations where he's closely guarded, he will catch less. There are so many variables that go into it that you thinking you can look at catch percentage and extrapolate from there is a joke. You are using Travis Hunter logic. There actually is quite a bit that is tricky about that math.

He belongs on the team and has a role. He shouldn't sniff the starting lineup of a team with aspirations to win playoff games.

It would (or should as long as he isn't extended) be a 1-year rental. There is no guaranteed money due after this year.

Whenever you can go to your worst WR against their best CB, you've got to do it...

Dude didn't even attempt to use his arms. Just torpedoed his head right at him.

Gutless coaching. Game after game, year after year. McDermott should give his paycheck to Allen because he's the only reason he has one as a head coach.

Really difficult to overcome the coaching advantage.

2nd and 2 - one-on-one with Diggs up top, you have to take the shot. How gross is this *****.

The Bills are losing a half yard on every spot and the Chiefs are doing the opposite.

Putting Matakevitch out there instead of Williams is wild.

Klein better not be out there on drive #2

I’m a bit confused by some people in the thread considering PFF grades to be analytics. Analytics is, in general, the collection, calculation and interpretation of objective statistics. PFF grades are not analytics in my opinion. They are more of a scouting tool, which are subjective and are an interpretation and evaluation of each play on the field. They surely can have value if the evaluation is done well. Do they have the full context when determining their grades? Of course not, just like many statistics don’t take every factor (or even most factors) into account. From what I see, the PFF grading is better and more accurate for certain positions than others. The offensive and defensive lines are particularly difficult to judge and I don’t place much store into the grades provided. Everyone is bringing up Oliver and I would need to jump on that bandwagon. The numbers backup what we’ve been watching all year, and having him outside the top 10 much less the top 50 of the interior lineman is egregious.

Let’s just talk about the math. Regarding expected value of the throw, if Josh thought there was a greater than 42% chance of scoring the TD and he had no other options in the end zone, it was objectively correct to make the throw that he did. On my watch, at the time he let go it looked like it was more likely than not to result in a TD. The only argument against throwing that ball that would be acceptable is the argument that the odds of scoring were lower than 42%, but I didn’t see it that way. If you think the touchdown was more likely than that and still think he shouldn’t have thrown it, I’d like to know why.

What exactly did you idiots want him to do, throw the ball away?

The Bills were at their best offensively when Daboll was calling the plays and trying to get a first down on every single play. Brady is even MORE influenced by what McDermott wants on offense than Dorsey was. They just continue to play scared offensively and try to avoid negative plays. It’s a win for this coaching staff to get 3rd and 4. Allen thrives when throwing in neutral situations. We are running too often on 1st and 2nd down and then saying “Josh go make a play” every 3rd down. It’s bad offensive philosophy when you have Josh Allen. It isn’t going to change as long as McDermott is the head coach. After saying all that, while I don’t think it optimizes the Bills chances, they CAN win this way with the way the defense is playing.

Allen completed over 70% of his passes for more than 11 yards per attempt. He also didn’t start 0-3, the first possession he was 2/4. We threw so few passes because…we decided to run on 59% of offensive snaps. Obviously, when you’re running for 8 yards a pop on seemingly every play like we did against Dallas, you can’t argue with it. When you average 3.5 yards per rush and 11.3 yards per pass attempt, I have a HUGE problem with the run/pass ratio being 59/41. Our biggest advantage in every game is our QB vs the oppositions QB. When we decide of our own volition to not take advantage of that, it’s an issue.