BuffaloRebound

Why would someone who wanted Elam trade up to 24 after the Bills took him at 23?

Elam was already gone.

Kind of validates the trade up when Gordon and Booth didn’t go in the 1st round. And Dallas could’ve traded down and still got tyler Smith

I don’t know. Probably won’t cost much in draft capital to move from 2nd round into 1st round. Could see a couple of teams go up to get Ridder or Corral. Having the 5th year option is huge when you draft a QB.

Posted some rap lyrics on his twitter page when he was 14?

Exactly. Who’s to say the pick at 25 doesn’t eventually become the #1 corner or #1 WR?

they can always franchise tag him if he explodes this year. Guaranteeing $20m+ now was never gonna happen.

Highly doubt anybody has access to a team’s draft board other than maybe the Cowboys. Other than ‘expert’ mock drafts, the only other info that could realistically move betting markets would be coming from agents. So maybe there’s a chance Bills take Hall but that also doesn’t necessarily mean it’s with pick 25.

I think there’s little money bet on the draft that big moves can happen with a relatively small bet. No ‘sharps’ are betting on who’s selected at pick 25. Draft betting is for entertainment.

Then take Ojabo or reach for a position group like CB or WR or even OT.

This is shortsighted thinking by Breer. Thankfully Beane said 1st round pick would be more about the long term. If there are no 1st round grades left at 25, trade down for pennies on the dollar. Nobody but the Bills is threat to take Hall before the early-mid 2nd round.

Then reach for a CB, not a RB. Good #2 CB’s go for $10m+ per year in free agency. Hall would have to immediately be a top 10 RB to justify salary of a 1st round pick as a RB.

It’d be better to pass our spot all the way to the 2nd round than take a RB in the 1st round who don’t have a 1st round grade. Harris and Etienne were universally rated as 1st round talents.

How’s he in pass protection? I don’t care how good he is as a runner, if he can’t pick up a blitz and gets Josh killed, he ain’t playing.

Then trade down to 33 for pennies on the dollar. Nobody from picks 26 to 32 is taking a RB and nobody’s trading back into the 1st round for a RB. You save tons of money and maybe pick up a 3rd rounder.

I’ll be shocked if Beane takes a RB in the 1st round. I’m fine with a RB from pick 33 on, but it makes zero economic sense to take a RB in the 1st round unless the guy is seriously special.

haha. this is a great idea. Lock them in a room with a big mac and see how long they can go without eating it.

I find it fascinating you can bet on the draft. It’s like betting on what somebody’s gonna eat for dinner.

This has a 1999 draft feel when Winfield was linked to the Bills at pick 23 for awhile. I think it’ll be McDuffie, Booth, or Gordon.

LB (the ones who don’t rush the QB) and RB are the 2 positions where the 5th year option is probably least valuable to the team when you consider how de-valued those positions have become. The LB’s gotta be Fred Warner good not Tremaine good to justify the 5th year option price tag. And even more so for a RB. Dude’s gotta be pre-injury McCaffrey special for the economics to work to take a RB in the 1st round.

I honestly have no feel for where Bills are heading in the draft. I guess that means McBeane have done a good job not tipping their hand. Only assumption safe to make is they won’t be drafting a QB in the first 2 rounds.

Not sure if Pro Bowl alternate bumps up the 5th year option, but yes his 5th year option would’ve went up if he made Pro Bowl.

Getting voted to a Pro Bowl determining how much the 5th year option is needs to go away. How can you tell a team that something as arbitrary as a Pro Bowl selection just increased the guaranteed amount of the option?

$10.75m for a DT who’s shown potential of getting after the QB ain’t a bad investment.

Analytics people love guys like Pickens who are dominant at age 18 in the SEC.