BuffaloRebound

Assuming Lee Smith retires, you’d still need an in-Line Tight End. A Gronk-type fits much better with Knox if we’re not giving up on him and not sure why we would.

I don’t envy Beane this offseason. He’s got a lot of tough decisions to make.

Where do you see 11 centers making more than $11m per year? I see 4 on spotrac. Morse is 5th highest paid. It sucks but the reality is his concussion issues make it really hard to justify him being the 5th highest paid Center when you can’t rely on him being on the field. I think he either takes a pay cut or gets released.

Brown has 24th highest cap for a WR. Before Diggs arrived, he was a low end #1 WR and the contract made sense. Now he’s a 2 at best and Davis showed he’s ready for a bigger role. I’d be pretty surprised if he’s back without a re-structure.

Given our cap situation and need on the Offensive Line, stranger things have happened. Carr had a pretty good year and the guy isn’t exactly mobile. Definitely looking like we could re-make the interior of our OL for a pretty low price.

If Ford could play Right Tackle, this would solve a lot of problems. Could let Williams walk and bringing back Feliciano would be no brainer.

I’m sure the upper echelon Guards will still get good money, but I wouldn’t wanna be a middling Guard in this free agent market. Feliciano will be lucky to get $5m per year with all the Guards who are or will likely be available.

He was due $5.1m in 2021, so it’s 3 years $24.35m.

With McBeane saying we need more speed, maybe they plan on playing him closer to the Line of scrimmage. He’s not much smaller than Milano. Then you get Johnson or a high draft pick on the field to improve the team speed.

Well, if we aren’t bringing Milano back, Bills better go out and sign a double digit sack guy. If the LB play is worse, the pass rush has got to be better or the defense will be worse than their mediocre 2020 season.

So Watt will be hitting Arizona’s cap in 2025 for $2.4m. This is the NFL version of Bobby Bonilla.

I’m sure NFL front offices attempt to put something like this together but as you said it’s very hard in football to measure this. Some positions like QB, RB, K, P you probably could come up with replacement level metrics. Definitely Kicker and Punter where their jobs don’t really rely on anybody else and are statistically measurable. Defensive players and Offensive Line would almost be impossible to come up with a replacement level measure.

Good. Hopefully the first of a couple more. Start with your team leaders. He takes a re-structure, it makes it more palatable to others. He’s still a good player

I’d rather spend the money on an upper echelon Tight End than a Guard. I think that’ll move the needle more for this offense.

Could also mean negotiations aren’t going well with Bojo. Doubt the Bills tender him at $2m plus which means he’ll be a free agent. In a year where the cap is down 10%, punters aren’t getting more than the vet minimum unless they’re significantly better than replacement level.

Not sure people under-estimate Morse, but the concussion thing makes it very hard to rely on him being available.

Good stuff. Makes a lot of sense allocating Brown’s money towards an upper echelon Tight End. We gotta be able to still move the chains when a team gets physical with our WR’s like KC did. A legit Tight End who can also block makes the running game better too.

Thanks. Great read. In regards to Morse, I think you gotta sign Feliciano or bring in a vet at Center. You can’t count on Morse being available for 17 games. For that reason, Morse has either gotta take a pay-cut or be released.

My thoughts too. No sane person is signing up to catch passes from Jarrett Stidham or to watch Newton one hop passes to his pass catchers.

Draft. Or the flood of vets who are gonna be cut. As an aside, it must be absolutely crazy right now for GM’s and agents. Every vet contract is being put under a microscope and re-priced in a down 10% cap world. There only 24 hours in a day and each one of these vet contracts probably takes tons of time on the front offices to come up with a new number and then the agents to figure out what their clients could get in open market if they reject a re-structure/ pay cut.

Tyrell Williams just signed 1 year deal with Detroit for $4.7m that could be worth $6.2m with incentives. John Brown is 2 years older and also coming off an injury plagued season. Tells me Brown would be lucky to get $5m if he was cut when Williams is jumping on that deal from Lions.

Nobody’s paying Morse $7.5m with his concussion history. And nobody’s paying Addison $8m or Butler $7m. Jefferson most likely isn’t getting $7m either but he’s more versatile. With Brown, that makes 5 guys who most likely are taking pay cuts or getting cut. Yes, most years these guys would be offered a restructured deal but not when the cap is going down 10% instead of up 10%.

I think a fair amount of players on the Bills have a deadline of taking a pay cut or outright getting cut.

Kroft had a $5.5m cap hit in 2020. Add that to Smith’s $2m and you’re replacing $7.5m in Tight End cap space.

If Bills still believe in Knox, a TE like Rudolph or Gronk is exactly who they should bring in. They’d be replacing Lee Smith, not Knox.