
SectionC3
Community Member-
Posts
7,576 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Everything posted by SectionC3
-
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
See above. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I completely agree with all of those things (I'm not ascribing to the math, but I share the view that the death rate is lower than now believed to be). I still believe in proceeding cautiously because of the unknown, e.g., whether there is immunity and whether the test numbers are accurate. A sewage study of and in the tested areas might be a good idea. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Fake news. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Not questioning the numbers. Pointing out that they don't paint a complete picture of the exposure/antibody/immunity issue and should be accepted with guarded optimism. Comments like this are going to get you on the snowflake list. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Still a lot of unknown, including whether the numbers are accurate or are skewed by those who take atypical risk, but the implication about the risk tolerance rising in society based on the new data is a fair one. This is a CNBC excerpt: "Global health officials have questioned the reliability of antibody testing, however, and whether it can accurately determine whether someone is immune to the disease. World Health Organization said on Friday that there’s no evidence serological tests can show whether a person has immunity or is no longer at risk of becoming reinfected." Since Obama is a Muslim born in Kenya or Indonesia, or maybe both places, he was a fake president and therefore was not owed respect, meaning that more screaming and finger-wagging should have occurred. /end sarcasm. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
There you go again with more fake news. I have never said anything about membership in the "referenced population." -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Fake news. Nobody has said that the national debt hasn't grown under other presidents. In point of fact there is a big difference between adding a nominal sum to the national debt and adding between $3T and $8T to that debt. Particularly, might I add, when one of the campaign promises was to erase the national debt in its entirety: https://www.thebalance.com/trump-plans-to-reduce-national-debt-4114401 "likely immune" and then "can." Nice logical leap there. Better put would be "possibly immune" and "possibly can." That was a deep fake picture. Kellyanne was standing at attention. Hoax. Are you hanging out in a preschool right now? If so that's kind of weird. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
And when the president himself disrespects the office . . . ? -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Yeah, the way it works is that, at least in NYS, polls that are published have to be filed with the Board of Elections so that the questions underlying the poll become public knowledge. The push poll asks a series of sort of leading, or push, questions, to drive the voter to a given candidate. The candidate then publishes the poll, tries to get a nice headline, e.g., "Lynn Dixon within five points of Mark Poloncarz," and files the poll as late as allowed by law so that the headline comes before the analysis of the questions giving rise to the result. Silver looks at polling data and trends and tries to figure out where the electorate is. He's more of a mathematician than anything. And he's pretty good, although he missed on 2016 in a big, bad way. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Another reminder of why you're on the washed up psycho list. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Fake news. I have a two-year-old. We are vastly different. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Some have agendas; they run what's called push polls to try to push a voter to a given candidate based on the questions that are asked. Frequently the underdog tries to run a push poll to drum up some good numbers. Silver (who is an analyst, not a pollster) isn't in that category. His game is to be right. That's where he makes his money. I can't imagine he would have had an agenda in his work in 2016. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
No. It would be an incredible feat to be able to read and type at age two. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
That is an excellent list idea. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
You make a fair point about Silver's miss not being excused by the fact that basically everyone else missed, too. Completely agree. I suspect that 2016 was a tough year for pollsters because there was a lot more ditching of landlines by then than there was in 2012 and it might have been tougher to accurately sample. But you're completely right; just because everyone else made a mistake doesn't mean that Silver's mistake is excused. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Comments like this will not get you removed from the "snowflake" and "washed up psycho" lists. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Fake news. There was no diatribe. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Hoax. This is why you're on the hoax list. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Misleading. When asked about the reopening plan the day before, Trump deferred to the Georgia governor and did not demand compliance with federal guidelines for reopening. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
SectionC3 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-reverses-course-says-too-soon-georgia-reopen-n1190061 What's the out here? Trump wasn't familiar with his own administration's guidelines?