WotAGuy

Can’t believe the OP didn’t have something along the lines of “There’s a girl in the stands at the 31:45 mark - would ya?”

Don’t call yourself “laypeople”. You’re an Einstein!

Oh the irony!

It’s not our fault you don’t know what you’re talking about and don’t use the correct terms or examples in making your disjointed points. LOL

Correct, and none of that has anything to do with past events. Einstein basically calculated some statistics from past events and then made it into some kind of probability statement about future events.

But they are not presenting those as probabilities of future events. At least not according to Einstein’s example of what a probability is. The problem is Einstein is generating statistics from past events and using that to calculate the probability of a future event. That’s not what a probability is. I think he is meaning to generate odds of a future event, which is different from probability.

……or it’s misuse.

Your conclusion is related to what has happened in the past. How does that bear on a future event probability-wise? It doesn’t. You seem to be taking a statistical calculation of what has happened in the past and projecting it into the future. True probability for a future event does not factor in past results. Just like flipping heads 10 times in a row does not change the probability that a future flip result will be 50% that heads occurs.

Hey @Einstein: I’m an abacus-based math person, but based on the above, isn’t the probability of McDermott winning the Super Bowl this year 1/32 or about 3%? The single outcome is McDermott being the coach that wins the Super Bowl, and the possible outcomes are that 32 coaches have a chance to win the Super Bowl. Just like rolling dice, I don’t see how past events factor into the probability of a future event. Can you explain so I can understand how the past factors into a probability calculation like rolling dice, or winning a Super Bowl?

Fortunately, you’ve come to the right place!

Ah, didn’t realize that. Bummer.

Best part was a Kim sighting around the time of the visits to other stadiums. Really good to see that!

Stop getting your “news” from Facebook.

You’re not the boss of me! Why is everyone telling me what to doooo?

I wouldn’t call it a refresh - isn’t it the old school logo from the 60s and 70s?

You failed to mention what kind of luck. I’ll assume bad.

Chaos, is that you?

Ironically, Leslie Frazier called defensive signals while coach of the Vikings. That’s where McDermott got the idea. Scooby gave me this info.

Depends….

Yur gettin’ warm

I was gonna cite my IQ score, but it’s probably pretty obvious what range I’m in.

Hey, as long as we’re all slappin’ ***** here, I just wanna mention I have $2.5 Mill in my retirement account. Once it reaches $3 Mill, I’m quitting/selling and moving to Chicktowaga. I also give monthly to the Rescue Mission, Cancer Society and Camp Good Days and High Times. So there. Just went from WotAGuy to WHAT A GUY!!

Wait, we’ve gone from comparing dick sizes to home values?

Fiiiine, but what’s your tested IQ score and how many engineers do you employ? I thought so….