tornado681

I would appreciate it if someone could respond to this. I ordered "Almost a Dynasty" from here: http://www.buffalobillsmovie.com/ about 2 weeks and have yet to receieve the movie. I contacted Steve, the owner of the site, and have yet to hear back from him. Has anyone on these boards had any such issues? Thanks, Jeff

Interesting notes include: Chan made the wrong decision 4 out of 10 times when considering meaningful decisions only (excluding the last 2 records in the table). So 40% of the time he made the wrong decision. As Gregg Easterbrook would say “Ye Gods”! These incorrect decisions collectively hurt Buffalo’s chance of winning by 8% when considering each decision independently. If you assume that Buffalo’s probability of winning just before kickoff was about 35% (that is, HOU is a statistically superior team), that 8% number actually can be interpreted to hurt Buffalo’s chance of winning by 23%! Math: 1-(8-35)/35. Takeaway: bad coaching decisions are magnified when a team is a strong underdog to begin with. "drive #" "description" "score deficit @ time of decision" "4th down calculator decision?" "correct decision?" "impact to win probability" 1 1st quarter 4-8-BUF 44 (9:47) punt 0 punt Y n/a 2 1st quarter 4-1-BUF 35 (2:47) punt 0 GO FOR IT N -3% 3 2nd quarter 4-9-HST 18 (10:35) FG attempt -7 FG attempt Y n/a 4 2nd quarter 4-2-HST 4 (1:45) FG attempt -7 GO FOR IT N -2% 5 2nd quarter 2-16-HST 20 (:09) FG attempt -4 FG attempt* Y n/a 6 3rd quarter 4-10-BUF 26 (14:41) punt -1 punt Y n/a 7 3rd quarter 4-2-HST 21 (7:45) FG attempt -8 GO FOR IT N -2% 8 3rd quarter 4-7-BUF 23 (3:04) punt -5 punt Y n/a 9 4th quarter 4-8-BUF 33 (10:27) punt -12 GO FOR IT N -1% 10 4th quarter 4-5-BUF 35 (3:41) WENT FOR IT -12 GO FOR IT Y n/a 10 fumble; no 4th down decision -12 n/a Y n/a 11 END OF GAME; no 4th down decision -12 n/a Y n/a 4th down calculator source: http://wp.advancednf.../4thdncalc1.php

Besides Levy's book. I want to get another book or two about the Bills. The one I just got by Sal M. is short and isn't very good. Thanks, tornado

Has anyone signed him? Or will he be playing in the CFL?

It was a joke . The bills problems run much much deeper than a stinkin FB. Its just funny that BUF has been awful since releasing Barnes.

At this date, the Buffalo Bills were flying high, with a 4-0 record. But, in a perplexing move, they released starting FB Darian Barnes and signed FB Corey McIntyre (see: http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=3617839). Since then, the Bills have fallen apart, going 2-7 in their last 9 games. I don't want to hear the "there's no way Barnes would have helped Lindell nail that 47-yarder against CLE" or the "how could Barnes have prevented the BUF offense from turning the ball over four times in the 4th quarter of the @MIA game" excuses. The BUF offense misses Barnes - plain and simple. The numbers don't lie. I think Langston Walker said it best when talking about the Barnes-McIntyre saga: "There's no doubt we miss him [Darian Barnes]. He was the vocal and inspirational leader of our Offense. Take away his two catches in the Oakland game, and that W becomes an L. I mean look at how our team has done since losing him." Some teams never fully return to their past glory after losing an integral part of their offense, and unfortunately, the Bills never recovered from the loss of Darian Barnes. Just think what a season it could have been had Buffalo never made this atrocious decision. We miss you Darian.

I could def see both the Jets and NE losing this week. DEN isn't a bad team. And PIT is getting healthy again. We just need to have Brett Favre Brett Favre Brett Favre stop playing two standard devs. above where he should be playing. MIA concerns me less because we control our destiny against them.

good link...thanks for sharing

I love the relative affordability of going to a BUF game. I split 5 season tickets amongst my family and we sit in the 300s. Are they amazing seats? No, but I think they are really good, and dont even know if Id want to sit anywhere else. The cost ends up being just over 30 bucks a game for the tickets. For what other team in the NFL can you purchase an entire season ticket for 250 bucks prior to the start of the season? I was trying to get a hold of some sabres tickets a few weeks ago and the cheapest I could buy were ~70 bucks. There was no way I was going to pay that for a sabres ticket considering that Bills tickets are cheaper and that Id much rather go to a Bills game. Given how expensive it is to attend an NFL game at almost any other city, the fact that the Bills make it affordable for a Joe Schmoe like myself to attend an NFL game is a feel-good story and another reason to pull for the Bills.

1. BUF over SF 2a. PIT over NE 2b. DEN over NYJ 3a. CIN over BAL 3b. CLE over IND 4. STL over MIA Unfortunately, it doesnt look like we will get much help in the wildcard chase this upcoming week. PHI handed BAL the game this week, as Im not overly impressed with BAL. I could see both NE and NYJ losing next week, with NE more likely to lose than NYJ. With a game to play vs. MIA, we control our destiny with regards to MIA since we are both 6-5. BUF being 0-3 in DIV games is awful, but there is a chance every team in the AFC East could go 3-3, that is go 1-1 against each of the other 3 teams. NE and MIA are 1-1 vs each other and NYJ and NE are 1-1 vs each other. If BUF wins their remaining 3 DIV games they would have split with each of the AFC east teams. The only remaining AFC east game not involving BUF is NYJ @ MIA on the last week of the season. If all the teams went 1-1 in the AFC east against the other opponets this would be huge with regards to tie break implications as the deciding tie break would be record in common games. That is, how BUF did against the AFC and NFC west. Right now BUF is 5-1, NE is 5-1, MIA is 4-1, and NYJ is 3-2. Thus, it is still possible for BUF to have some division title tie breakers in their favor if all AFC east teams go split their games. I think IND will have one of the wildcard spots locked up. Their remaining games are against CLE, CIN, DET, JAX and TEN. They go 4-1 over there last five games easy. BAL has to play CIN, WAS, PIT, DAL and JAX. They go 2-3 over their last 5 for a 9-7 record. That leaves all of the the AFC east teams battling for two playoff spots.

BUF averaged 4.4 YPC overall for the MIA game. BUF rushed 8 times when inside the MIA 25 for a 4.1 YPC average. The most disturbing stat, however, was this. Jackson ran 7 times compared to 1 Lynch run. Jackson averaged a paltry 3.1 YPC on 7 carries. Look for Lynch to start getting more of the red zone carries from here on out. This is the first game I wasnt happy with the play calling. I would have liked to have seen more runs, especially with the success we had with the 1st drive in the 3rd quarter. Also, I wish Jauron would have gone for it on 4th and goal at the 1 in the first quarter. The decision only makes sense if BUF has less than a 43% chance of converting. I believe they get a TD at least every other time. Thus it makes sense to go for it. Not only that, MIA would have been pinned at the BUF 1 even if we didnt not make it.

yeah that play is what got me thinking

The theme of the season thus far for BUF's O-line has been something like this: good pass blocking and subpar run blocking. I was at the game yesterday and after Lynchs 9 yd TD run, i thought that it seems BUF runs much better when inside the opponents 25 then when not. So rather than making this anecdotal statement, lets back it up with some stats. Through 6 games, BUF is averaging 3.6 yd/carry on 165 attempts. I went through the stats for each and documented each running play BUF ran inside the opponents 25 yard line. Through 6 games, they have run the ball 25 times for 118 yds, which works out to a 4.7 yd/carry. Lynchs numbers: 16 for 76; 4.75 yd/carry Jacksons numbers: 8 for 40; 5.0 yd/carry other (Losmans) numbers: 1 for 2; 2.0 yd/carry So, BUFs yd/carry average is over 1 yard/carry higher inside the opponets 25. DEN has the best yard per carry average in the NFL at guess what? 4.7 yd/carry. Conclusions: BUF runs the ball much better inside the opponents 25, and their yard per carry average within this region ties them with the top overall rushing team in the AFN (DEN). This, IMO, is the area when a team needs to be a good rushing team. You always hear the saying thrown around that good teams run the ball effectively in the red zone. It appears BUF is doing that. Perhaps we are being somewhat harsh on the BUF running game since they are running it well inside the OPP 25. The question is why are we running it so much better?

who was it? what was said? thanks, tornado

Jimmy, we got Williams in the 5th round of the same draft, who is a starter at DT. 1 for 2