True on the first part, guess I'm just not buying the second part.
IF the Bills tag him, I find it hard to believe that he'd sit out a season, or force a trade, rather than re-sign with Buffalo. Just my opinion, of course...
So they're risking paying $4MM more for next year (if Sammy is healthy, $0 if he's not and they move on) vs. $13MM next year (if Sammy is healthy OR if he's hurt).
Ah, there you go...
Regardless, even if it's $4 or $6MM more, it'll be an option (if they can't sign him long term, which is still on the table - AFTER he proves he's healthy in the season).
If Sammy performs why *wouldn't* they tag him?
The only thing picking up the option does is gives us one more year to decide if we want to tag / or sign him long-term. Of course with that option if he were to get hurt this year, both this and next year's salary would be guaranteed.
Let him play the year out - if he makes it through relatively unscathed tag / sign him long term. Or that's how I'd approach it...
Sully with the Hot Take (er, make that Power Take):
http://buffalonews.com/2017/05/01/jerry-sullivans-power-take-re-set-droughts-zero/
Consider the pot stirred, Sully
Wonder how long we have to wait before a hire? Obviously they were planning this move, if the Carolina Asst. GM is the man, let's get him on board and leggo...
it is the entire first round, but compensation for picks in the top 10 is different
http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/agents-take-a-team-by-team-guide-to-fifth-year-option-decisions/
"There's a difference in option-year salary depending where in the first round a player is drafted. The fifth-year salary for the top 10 picks is the transition tender (average of the 10 highest salaries) for a player's position in the fourth year of his contract. With players selected outside of the top 10 (picks 11-32), the fifth-year salary is the average of the third- through 25th-highest salaries at a player's position."
Replace BB with MG and you've got the reaction of several Bills fans:
http://www.nbc.com/saturday-night-live/video/braskys-buddies-at-the-bar/n11181?snl=1
Article from 12/16 when he was signed by the Browns: http://www.redcuprebellion.com/2016/12/7/13876334/trae-elston-browns-sign-contract-free-agent-ole-miss-safety
Ole Miss stats: http://www.olemisssports.com/sports/m-footbl/mtt/trae_elston_811412.html