Zac

Sharp money in Vegas is coming in on the Packers. Public betting super lopsided on the Bills. Just seeing the narratives that the Bills are going to obliterate the Packers makes me uneasy. Rodgers covers as an underdog the majority of the time and his back is against the wall. The Packers defense is also built to stop the pass and has the #1 defense in yards per game. They are also a relatively efficient red zone defense. Bills big blowout wins have been against teams that are built to run and struggle to pass, with the exception of the Rams. Difference between Packers and Rams are Rams are horrifically inefficient in the red zone, while the Packers are more efficient than the Bills. Essentially I’m saying the Packers have the capability to shorten this game, with a strong pass defense, good run game and capable QB play. The Bills will also be incentivized to run the ball as it’s Green Bay’s biggest weakness. counter argument to this of course is they lost to the Jets by 17. my counter point is if you look at the box score the Jets should have never won by 17. Blocked punt for a TD. Awful passing numbers. We also don’t have a home run threat on the ground like Breece Hall I suspect this to be low scoring, and the Packers to keep it within 7-10. Bills win though. Something like 24-14. To be clear I don’t think there’s any way the Bills lose, nor do I think it will “feel” close. I just think the 10.5 is a suckers bet and all the fans saying they want to tease it to 17 or 21 points are nuts.

I think we win but I’m dumbfounded that anyone thinks this will be a blow out. Josh Allen played his best game of the season against NE and that game was still a 5 point contest with less than five minutes on the clock.

Would have much preferred the Chargers. Afraid this one is going to be close and the Bills have not done well in close games this year. - Both teams are top 10 in EPA for offense and defense - 1 and 2 in AFC point differential - since 2003 road dogs are 13-6 against the spread in matchups against divisional opponents. - Belichick 8-0 ATS as a road dog coming off a loss obviously trends don’t guaranty future performance but there’s a lot pointing to this being a very close game. Have to hope Allen’s experience carries the day. McDermott also can’t go conservative.

Some huge money just came in on the 49ers.

Dude is totally mis-reading the NFL.com article he’s sourcing.

Would expect Milano to be out this week

Ford was really wobbling into the tent. Had to trainers trying to keep him upright.

He will be active and Foster will be inactive.

Name 16 teams that have worse offensive talent.

He didn’t say any of that. He literally said our talent is below average. Which implies bottom 16 in NFL. Which is very reasonably true. And you asked if he had been in a coma

I guess if you are going to draft a developmental guy at TE, it's good to have an OC that was TE coach for several years.

Am I crazy or did they say he scored no TDs and then show a highlight of him scoring a TD?

AJ Brown will be the best WR in this draft.

Colin Kaepernick?

I do think this could be a blessing in disguise for the long run to let Josh take in an NFL vet running the offense for a couple games. Then when Josh is healthy he can get back in there after hopefully learning a thing or two and Anderson can be of even more help having actually played in our offense in a live game.

I floated this out there too. If they lose another game there season is basically done. He gets a huge raise next year too, I believe. Just depends on if he is in their long term plans.

I don’t follow the rest of the league closely enough to know if this is an impossibly dumb idea, but does anyone think that Amari Cooper would be available for trade? Carr doesn’t seem to connect with him and next year is the last year of his deal. Also his salary doubles.

one thing i like is the amount of money being dumped on the under for our win total in Vegas.

Kelvin Benjamin as a legit #1 is highly questionable. Poor-man's at best

I have been a subscriber. It's more than worth it. The articles by Fairburn and Cover 1 today are better than any Bills article i've read in months with the exception of Graham's pieces on Allen.

Guess he's going to the Athletic. Bills section is live.

I can't believe people are celebrating this, even if you don't like him as a person.

https://www.nfldraftdiamonds.com/what-is-national-and-blesto-scouting-services/

Agree on Diggs. Do you think there's any chance he makes it to FA. Certainly seems like a guy you have to find a way to retain no matter what.

Works for Chara.