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BuffalothruMyVeins

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  1. It's not that terribly hard to understand, and if you (not YOU, but a front office person) don't have a firm grasp of it, you shouldn't be anywhere near the GM position. It's about how many of your players WHOSE CONTRACTS EXPIRE, NOT ARE CUT, and sign elsewhere, vs. how many players you sign WHOSE CONTRACTS EXPIRED FROM THEIR PREVIOUS TEAM, AND NOT CUT. What dictates what round compensation you get for your player depends on the contract value. Generally, someone who signs $3M-$5M will get you a 7th, $5M-$7M will get you a 6th, $7M-$9M will get you a 5th, $9M-$13M will get you a 4th and >$13M will get you a 3rd. Those numbers are all very general, and can fluctuate quite a bit based on how many qualifying FAs sign with teams in a given offseason.
  2. I did a quick search and didn't see anything about this topic, so I hope I'm not rehashing anything... It just came to my mind that, though we aren't in line to lose any STARS in FA, there are guys there who could get a nice yearly rate on the open market. We have limited salary cap space (though this can be expanded somewhat with cuts and restructures, I don't see Beane going full Madden franchise mode and hacking (Haacking?) meaningful players off the roster for the sake of savings. I think the scenario we find ourselves in could REALLY be used to our advantage by making shrewd, calculated moves to ensure we receive Compensatory Picks for the guys who might be walking out of the building. Here are our FA guys, that I believe would factor into this: Jerry Hughes Mario Addison Mitchell Trubitsky Levi Wallace Isaiah McKenzie Harrison Phillips I believe for floor for getting the lowest level of comp pick I've seen sits around $3.25M/yr deal, for a 7th round pick, and then higher values would net higher comp picks all the way up to a maximum of a 3rd round pick. I will address these players in order. Hughes and Addison are likely to be done. Veteran pass rushers at their age aren't likely to receive a significant annual value contract, but I can see one of these two getting a deal over the self-proclaimed threshold of $3.25M (imo more likely Hughes than Addison). This would net us a 7th round pick. We all know QBs receive inflated contracts, so even though the Bills got Trubitsky on a low value deal, I think Mitch is likely to go somewhere this year with a promise to compete for a starting spot. With that promise would come an appropriate payday, which could run from $8M-$12M. This type of contract would net us possibly a 5th or 4th round pick. I just listened to the Howard and Jeremy show, and they had the guy who runs Spotrac on. He mentioned that Levi Wallace would likely be looking at a deal around $10M/year. I think that's too rich for the Bills, so he would likely get that money elsewhere. This would likely net us around a 4th round pick... outside chance it's a 5th rounder. In that same interview, he mentioned a possible value for McKenzie of around $4M-$5M. That would net us a 6th round pick. Finally, also in that interview, he said Phillips would be about a $5M/year player, maybe a little less if he takes a little less to come back to Buffalo. This would be about a 6th round pick. What also needs to be considered, too, is that if Frazier gets hired somewhere, his loss would net us a 3rd round pick this year AND a 3rd round pick next year, as hiring of minority coaches to head coach rewards their previous teams. I feel like we are likely to re-sign Phillips, and McKenzie feels kinda 50-50, so let's just for the sake of argument say we don't re-sign him. This could set us up to have, in the 2023 draft: Our 1st Our 2nd Our 3rd Comp. 3rd (for Frazier) Our 4th Comp. 4th (for Trubitsky) Comp. 4th (for Wallace) Our 5th Our 6th Comp. 6th (for McKenzie) Our 7th Comp. 7th (for Hughes/Addison) Some of these comp picks will get cancelled out by guys we would sign ourselves to comparable deals (for example, we sign Cordarrelle Patterson for $5M, it cancels out McKenzie's comp pick). I'm not advocating sitting on our hands and doing nothing in hopes of possibly getting comp picks next year, because we can still add talent that won't count to this formula (trades, signing vets who are CUT, not coming off an expiring contract), so if we are careful, and get a little lucky, we could actually walk out of the 2023 draft pretty well. That will be when some big money contracts might kick in (Josh for sure, possible Diggs restructure, who knows what happens with Edmunds), so the cheap contracts we're able to get in that draft would be vital to keeping talent on the roster after guys start to get PAID.
  3. No, I meant in the game. Could easily be wrong, just what I heard, I didn't see it with my own eyes.
  4. I heard he was on the field for the final play, so maybe not too bad.
  5. Yeah, he surely seems like someone I wouldn't want to spend time around, but he was literally standing where Washington made him stand, and danced for like 7 seconds, not in acknowledgement of what he was dancing on. WFT takes 80% of the blame, here. Don't set up chained off VIP areas over top of your "sacred" memorials. People will do people things while standing there, where you tell them to. If someone farts while standing there, does that mean they hate Sean Taylor, too?
  6. Hey guys, just wanted to bump this thread to double check. Me and my friend are coming from about 4 hours east of Buffalo for the Texans game next Sunday. We decided to come Saturday and just get a hotel, so we could get an early start to the game from more locally to Orchard Park. We decided to stay in Niagara Falls (Canadian side) thought it would be kinda cool. Just trying to double check with anybody who might know, we can now get through, right? The stipulations are that you need a negative covid test within 72 hours, which we will get on Thursday. We are both vaccinated. Are we good to both get into Canada, where our hotel is, and even more importantly to get back into the US on Sunday morning?
  7. That was the worst time I've ever had watching the Bills beat down an opponent. If he said "good player" one more time, I was going to cry. How the Lions won 31 out of the 128 games that he was in charge of that franchise during is beyond me. I now have a new found sympathy for the Lions fans for enduring him through those years, and now have to face their abuser on national TV on a weekly basis. I think they have suffered enough, time to send this guy to the dog food factory. Get in the truck, Matt, we're going for a ride...
  8. It was KC. The team is pretty well off, just a QB away from contending.
  9. Lucky number seven! Too bad he will be robbed from a Pro Bowl selection, with us playing in the Super Bowl and making him ineligible.
  10. I see Sanders commented on his Instagram post, here, a month before he was even a Bills player. Cool that they had a relationship before they even were on the same team.
  11. I'm prepared to make a rather significant wager on this. I say he gets between 70-80 catches, might clear 1,000 yards but I'm not that willing to put that much money on the yardage part. I'm thinking like "Peak Stevie Johnson".
  12. I sure hope we end up signing Diggs. I think he might develop chemistry with Josh very quickly, and could probably even have the best receiving year in Bills franchise history! This guy would be a legitimate #1 in the right offense. I mean, he could carry us to the AFC Championship Game! (I think they still might not be able to get past KC, though.)
  13. I didn't see, what type of cancer did he have? How long ago was he diagnosed?
  14. Wow, is he? I mean, the organization surely looks bad to draft him and continue to support him after she has proven to be such a lousy person, but this makes the other 52 guys on the roster look really bad, too, that Tyreek was the best candidate that they could muster. Gross. Dont use the Walter Peyton MotY award to try to rehabilitate your scumbag player's reputations, just because you are willing to compromise your organization's morals in pursuit of a win.
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