dave mcbride

/thread.

Poyer didn’t play in the Minnesota game. Do we forget Cam Lewis so easily? I think it is more a case of Miami’s ability to run at will finally brought Poyer up to check that, and Miami had the perfect answer. If the Bills had been more effective at stopping the run, these things don’t happen. Good play call by McDaniel, who is a smart offensive mind.

The Yakkity Sax.

The Bills D has been terrible on 4th down stops in the aggregate, however.

And the one he threw was not a bad throw. It was tipped. Otherwise it would have been a td to Diggs.

It’s on the west side of the lake. Buffalo is on the east side of the lake, and hence far windier than Chicago.

Belichick appears to be losing confidence in his Pro Bowl QB Mac Jones. After the game, when he was asked why didn’t they throw the Hail Mary at the end of the game, he responded: “Couldn’t throw it that far,” Belichick said. Many questioned Belichick’s comments towards Jones because he’s insinuating that Jones’s arm is weak and he can’t throw the ball 55 yards. In his career, Jones has one pass over 50 yards, it’s a 75-yard touchdown to veteran WR Kendrick Bourne. On the throw to Bourne, the initial pass was 30 yards and he ran the other 45 yards for a touchdown. https://musketfire.com/2022/12/19/patriots-mac-jones-bill-belichick/

The Bills are 9-1 at home in December and January games in the last three years and should have won the game they lost — the wind game vs. NE. So this isn’t correct.

Well put. As I say about 20 ppg scorers on bad NBA teams or high tackle-number guys on bad NFL defenses, *someone* has to score the points (given that even the worst NBA teams average over 80 ppg) and *someone* has to be credited with the tackles (given that every team averages at least 40-50+ tackles per game). Also, the really bad teams tend to have the highest tackle numbers because they can’t get off the field. It doesn’t mean they’re good.

Yes, that was a safe and easy pitch and catch that Singletary simply dropped.

Not the best example because in the six years after his rookie deal was up, Wilson put up elite numbers. He has actually had a pretty great career until this season (really: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/W/WilsRu00.htm). The Broncos are paying for past performance of a declining star, not a second contract to a hoped-for 10-year franchise guy.

You’re kinda missing my point. Of course his numbers go down. But I challenge you to look at the collective passer rating for opposing qbs playing in bad weather home games in 2021, of which there were many. Indeed, The Bills team passer rating rating was a below-average 83.9 vs the Jets on Sunday (but with zero turnovers and a TD run by Allen), but the Jets team passer rating was a godawful 72.38 with two fumbles by the QB (one of which was a turnover) and zero TDs.

Not really talking about the fan experience here. I am focusing specifically on the era when the Bills became good with Josh Allen - i.e., the here and now (2019-present). They have been above average in talent/depth all of those years and borderline elite (albeit with flaws like every other team) the past couple of years. In any case, all I am arguing is that whatever negative impact bad weather at home has had on the Bills offense since 2019, it’s been worse for almost all of the opponents they’ve faced. They dominated opponents in adverse conditions repeatedly last year outside of the Pats game: washington game (winds up to 30 mph IIRC), Houston (driving rainstorm and wind), Jets (high winds), Carolina (wintry mix), Falcons (snow/some wind/cold), and they held the Ravens to 3 points in a playoff high-wind game the year before. And they massacred the Pats in frigid weather last January. The Bills might not like the weather, but other teams HATE it. They did lose to the Eagles in 2019 in bad weather. I’ll grant that.

I said ALMOST every game, and for the record the Bills passing attack was leagues better than the Pts that night. When they shifted to it late in the game, they clearly appeared to be the better offense. The run game wasn’t good, however, and the Pats ran the ball at will despite the Bills knowing it was coming. I wouldn’t cherry pick the craziest game in a long time at the expense of the 12-15 bad weather home games going back to 2019.

My point is RELATIVE performance. It’s tough for everyone, but it’s less tough for the team that performs in such conditions more than any other. Look at the Kelly era. They DESTROYED teams in bad weather at home for a decade. I feel a lot of people here have an *aesthetic* problem with bad weather games and fixate on that to the point of missing the real advantages it gives to the Bills.

Yet the Bills win almost all of these games. Why? The opponents are ven worse in such weather. I could point to 10 games off the top of my head. There’s also a reason the Bills chose the qb with arguably the strongest arm in league history.

No, just no. Cincy and KC do NOT play in bad, cold weather, full stop. They play in cold/chilly occasions (very) occasionally, while the Bills regularly play in precipitation fests with 20+ mph winds and very low windchill temps. The Bills play in hands down the worst conditions in the NFL because of the unique high winds, high precipitation levels, and cold, and it ain’t even close. Regardless of whether the Bills players like playing in these conditions or not, the conditions represent an inarguable home field advantage for the Bills (and when I say inarguable, I mean it). As tough as it might be for them, it’s almost always tougher for opponents not used to it. Outside of the NE game last year — a game the Bills probably should have pulled out at the end — they win virtually all of the rough weather home games.

Read Peter King’s column today in which he discusses how utterly dominant their offensive line has been according to analytics. The only other o-line that’s close in quality is SF’s. Not surprisingly, they are the two best teams in the NFC, although Dallas is a close third.

The Eagles’ offense is wildly talented across the board, from o-line to skill players. They are for real.

He is the reason the Pettine defense in 2013 was able to effectively run the rex scheme. Rex comes in two seasons later with great defensive talent, but without Leonhard. He had no one to run the D and it showed; the defense was bad. No, it works if it has Jim Leonhard. He followed rex and pettine everywhere because he was crucial for getting his teammates into the right fits. For players of average football intelligence, though, it’s a deeply flawed scheme because so many mental mistakes happen within it. A great D shouldn’t be reliant on a unicorn like Leonhard.

Norv Turner too. And everyone else who coached in that era. So many missed kicks and blown leads over the years.

Chargers: 45 dropbacks and 12 rushing plays.

He literally threw a bomb to Brown on the first possession and also completed one to Diggs vs NE but it was called back for a hold. Do people watch the games? And do people watxh what NE and The Jets were doing in their secondary?

The better questions are how many drops were there today and what should have been his completion percentage?

Yet he himself was beaten like a drum all game and missed multiple tackles. The Bills D won because of their front seven and weather.