dave mcbride

? - those other guys were under contract and there was no real concern about "losing" them. Hogan's contract had expired, hence the concern about losing him.

He made a valid point. Why resort to condescending snark? Why not engage the point? There is a debate about how much leeway the two will be given with regard to timeframe, and that's an interesting issue. Khan gave Bradley 4 seasons. Will Pegula give these guys that if things stay south beyond two years?

To be fair to Ryan, it may be the case that in the case of Hogan, Whaley never told him what was going down. If that was the case, that's on Whaley. Regardless, it was a very stupid move. I ended up drafting Hogan last night for my fantasy team. Curious to see how he does with Edelman down.

The Bills haven't had a semi-elite qb this century. Bledsoe doesn't count given his flop in the last 8 games of 2002 (8 TDs and 10 INTs in the last 8 games).

But he's not going to run him every play. It's kind of a non-issue. Yeah, maybe it was said (quite possibly in jest), but it's not important because it's not remotely realistic.

It was a good piece, and he wasn't saying that Jones was "good." He was saying that the Bills were dumping a whole bunch of guys that they had recently invested draft capital in. They dumped Jones for TJ Yates, who Dennison coached in Houston (i.e., "his guy", which is the point of the section on the Bills). Take another look at the piece.

Meh, Badol. Who cares about this sort of thing? This is probably a joke, and the OP up top is a tad hot take-ish. You're better than this!

It is very, very hard to go 0-16. Tough to top the Lions.

This thread - particularly the responses - is terrible. I'm starting to think that the mods need to cull the herd with regard to the BBMBers. I'm all for democracy and open forums, and I went in with a semi-positive attitude about the infusion of new posters. But my god, the idiotic snark, the asinine hot takes, and the nastily stupid, non-substantive, half-line smackdowns of OPs thinking out loud have made this site a lot worse. My basic advice: avoid substanceless snark, have a substantive take, and engage in at least a semi-polite way.

Yup, although i always thought team passer rating differential was the best predictive stat ever.

Thanks, OP, for this terrific piece. Also the mods gotta realize that BP publishes some of the best pieces now.

I said adjusted ypa, not adjusted nypa. Bear in mind that adjusted nypa - which i am very familiar with - awards 20 yards per td pass and penalizes qbs 45 yds for ints. It Seems somewhat arbitrary to me, and i'm a little skeptical of the formula (which seems ad hoc), but i agree with u that it's a solid measure. But my point is thst they are both in the same immediate family.

Re Big Ben: game managers never, ever average 8.9 ypa, which is what he averaged in his rookie season.

ANY/A is ... adjusted net yards per attempt--i.e., yards per attempt with a tad more math and with sack yardage factored in. It doesn't obviate the point at all. Taylor's adjusted ypa stat in 2015 was actually higher than his ypa (8.3 as opposed to 8.0).

Pretty remarkable, actually.

It is 100 percent inarguable that taylor's best game last season was against miami in week 16, which i count as a bills win because of the truly atrocious refereeing. He threw a bad pick late agains the jets that really hurt their chances.

Ypa is arguably the most important stat in football when looking for correlations with winning. It's pretty well established, actually.

Agreed. Good take. He was a spectacular quick-twitch athlete but dumb as a post.

Kirby, like A & M at the end of the third quarter on Sunday, i thought I had this bet won hands down as of Monday. I was actually picking out my hat yesterday. Now I don't know what to believe. He was cut im essence, but is IR a loophole?

#2 defense using DVOA.

Terrific post.

What a ridiculously crazy ending. Rosen threw for 292 yards in the 4th quarter! He had some luck, but he also made all the plays he had to near the end.

Bill -- I agree with you 100 percent about him as a draft pick. Fwiw, though, he did actually have one inarguably great season. Some people here (not most) do seem to be taking pleasure in his failure, while others seem to take pleasure in celebrating their own prognostication skills while dissing other less enlightened fans (not you!). I think it's clear in retrospect that he was a bad pick, but he did have his moments. He wasn't a Maybin or a Mike Williams.

Um ... next time wait until the game ends before pronouncing.

2nd year player, very young (just turned 20), first game of season, decent competition, played well in second half ... i certainly wouldn't read too much into it.