dave mcbride

In the two links I sent, only 2 out of 14 receivers average 16.5 yards plus averaged in the 60s. Regardless, it really doesn't matter; deep throws are a bit of a crap shoot given the distance involved. What matters is having a guy who can beat guys deep and haul it in with some regularity. He can CERTAINLY do that--he is friggin' fast and still in his prime. No one is saying he's the second coming of Cliff Branch or Bob Warfield. He is, however, a legit NFL deep threat in his prime who can blow past guys deep. That does a lot for an offense. His performance in 2015 is one of the reasons Arizona had the #1 offense in the NFL.

Has he sold the Braves yet, however?

For GENUINE home run threats (i.e., yards-per-catch averages of 16.5 or greater), note the catch percentages of the leaders in a couple of recent seasons: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2017/receiving.htm#receiving::11 ; https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2015/receiving.htm#receiving::11 .

53 percent with an 18.9 ypc rate is actually *good*. The only one who matched that ypr was DeSean Jackson at 18.88, and he had a 55.4 percent catch rate.

He caught over 50 percent of his passes when Flacco was the QB. He caught roughly 30 percent when Jackson was the QB.

Catch percentages for deep threats are always lower than everyone else's. Most QBs aren't particularly accurate on 40+ yard throws. He had 7 catches on 7 targets in that game too.

He's very accurate.

The next week he had 7 catches for 130+ yards. There are games that you adjust the basic gameplan given who the opponent is, and there is also the early blowout factor. Why try any risky plays when you hold the opposing offense to 106 total yards and sack Marcus Mariota 11 times?

Moderately interesting: as Carolina DC, McDermott faced John Brown two years in a row in the playoffs. In 2014, he had 4 catches (on 5 targets) for 34 yards in a loss to Carolina. In the 2015 NFC championship game vs. Carolina, Carson Palmer targeted Brown 8 times. He had 2 receptions for 23 yards. Anyway, you know that McDermott is going to be very familiar with his game given the intensity of the coaching that goes into playoff games. In a 2016 regular season game v. Carolina, Brown had 4 catches on 4 targets for 49 yards and a TD.

I'd add that deep threats are by nature inconsistent. One week they have 4 catches for 147 yards and 2 TDs, and the next they have 1 catch for 11 yards. It balances out into a 1000 yard season and ypc of 17 or so. But on their big days, they can win games for you -- which is something that a player like Zay Jones simply cannot do ever.

Never base assessments on the ups and downs of your fantasy team!

That is misleading. The stomped TN, 21-0, in game 6, and the game was basically over at halftime. No need to go deep in that game after midway through the second quarter. https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/B/BrowJo02/gamelog/2018/

See the splits above. He was having a great year through the first 8 weeks - until the QB change, basically.

He performed really well when Flacco was the QB - far above a #3. The numbers tell the story.

see the splits i posted on the previous page.

Check out his splits from last year: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/B/BrowJo02/splits/2018/ In the first 8 games, he had 31 catches for 586 yards (18.9 ypc) and 4 TDs, which prorates to 62 catches,1,172 yards, and 8 TDs. He also caught over 50 percent of the balls thrown his way--which is perfectly fine when your ypc is 19 yards per reception. In the final eight games, he caught 30 percent of the balls thrown his way. There must have been a QB change in Baltimore ... Anyway, the starkness of the divide is pretty remarkable.

Bell ain't coming to Buffalo.

He went to Boise State and is from Idaho. I have to think he'd far prefer to stay in Denver all things being equal.

They have a good QB, so yes, Bills fans should be worried when a team like that loads up on bona fide talent. Gase, who I don’t like overall, calls good offensive games (unfortunately). Williams, who I despise, has had some occasional success over the years coaching good defenses.

He’s a very good player, and probably in any system. A) Barr rushes the passer well, doesn’t play center, and is better at what he does than Morse. Plus he’s not injured. B) Funchess plays WR, not center.

The amount of money is completely immaterial. What matters is portion/percentage of cap devoted to player/position. Don’t get mesmerized by the dollar figure. The cap goes up significantly every year anyway.

I hear where you're coming from, but Gore was genuinely good last season.

I wanna give you props because way back when people here were metaphorically high-fiving each other over Donohoe's brilliance for drafting McGahee, you repeatedly reminded everyone that McGahee only started for the U because the better RB (Gore) was injured. Gore is currently 521 yards behind Barry Sanders for #3 all time, and I'm betting he gets past him if he stays healthy.

Basically, injured more often than not. Not impressed with this one.

Foot injury.