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Everything posted by dave mcbride
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Bills work out several FA O linemen
dave mcbride replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
He is 34 years old. I wouldn't be surprised if this is it for him. -
Man, I love your avatar! Mangina!
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Lee Smith and Pat DiMarco update...
dave mcbride replied to eball's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
He was a healthy scratch because Reid is managing workload given his age and accumulated wear and tear. He doesn't want him broken down in December/January. McCoy is good with it and said he felt better than he's felt in a long time at this point of the season. -
Yep, and also, who was the guy Brady went to in the biggest moments? Remember that unbelievable 4th and long catch he made down the field vs Denver in the 2015 AFC championship game in the last minute? They lost that game largely because Brady didn't throw to an open Gronk on the 2 pt conversion. Re your comparison above, it's a bit like Sandy Koufax. He only had 165 wins, but he was hands down the best pitcher of his era in his prime.
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No, "mere counting stats" are cumulative lifetime numbers rather than seasonal averages or ypc averages. Again, he averaged, per a sixteen-game season, 72.5 catches, 1,095 yards, 15.1 ypc, and 11 TDs. 15.1 ypc lifetime is unbelievably great (Jerry Rice averaged 14.8). Gonzalez averaged 11.4 ypc and 6.6 TDs per season. He just played forever. As for blocking, yes, it matters. Look at the Pats run game with him in there vs. without him. He was dominant for a TE, and his dominance opened the offense up in ways that go beyond measure.
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Those are mere counting stats. He was more dominant in the peak years of his career than those guys, and Gonzalez was basically a slow WR who couldn't block. Gates isn't in the same conversation as Gronkowski. I mean, Craig Biggio got 3,000 hits. Was he better than Joe DiMaggio? Also, Gronkowski played in 16 postseason games. He had 81 catches for 1,163 yards, 14.4 ypc, and 12 TDs. Those are the biggest games and against the best teams, and those are first-team all-pro numbers for a single season. He averaged, per a sixteen-game season, 72.5 catches, 1,095 yards, 15.1 ypc, and 11 TDs. 15.1 ypc lifetime is unbelievably great. Gonzalez averaged 11.4 ypc and 6.6 TDs per season. He just played forever. As for blocking, yes, it matters. Look at the Pats run game with him in there vs. without him. He was dominant for a TE, and his dominance opened the offense up in ways that go beyond measure.
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The Rams have played two excellent defenses in the past week -- Pitt and Chicago. At this point, they are 12th in points and 13th in yards. They aren't as good as last year, but let's not exaggerate. They're still a better-than-average offense. They do have a truly brutal final schedule, however: Ravens, Cowboys, Seahawks, 49ers, and AZ twice.
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Adam Gase and the decision to cut Jordan Phillips
dave mcbride replied to dave mcbride's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I found the final paragraph here to be very funny. The piece is about his crazy-eyed press conference: https://www.sbnation.com/lookit/2019/1/15/18183659/adam-gase-meme-nfl-jets-wtf 'I was fully prepared to hear there’s some sort of medical reason why Gase looked like he was trying to send a hidden message — but by all accounts there aren’t. Gase went on the radio Tuesday morning and was asked about his eyes, and had no explanation at all. There were about 300 ways Gase could have played this off and won everyone back. He could have made a joke about himself, explained he was nervous ... literally anything. Instead, his way of settling everyone’s nerves while his eyes bugged out like Wile E. Coyote was to explain how he’s a 40-year-old man who doesn’t use the internet or watch TV. He is the absolute perfect coach for the Jets.' -
Around the League, week 11
dave mcbride replied to Ridgewaycynic2013's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think Mayock had a very good draft. Credit where credit is due. Maxx Crosby (4th round; 6.5 sacks) has been way better than expected, and Hunter Renfrow is very productive for a fifth rounder. Two of the three first rounders -- Jacobs and Ferrell -- are playing well (Abram is injured). -
As someone who has Sony Michel on his fantasy team, it is very much about the line. He is a legit good back, but he's not getting any room to run at all -- the opposite of last year. He has gone from 4.5 ypc last year to 3.3 this year. He's a young, very talented guy and he's not injured. It's not as if he suddenly became a lot worse. It totally hamstrings their offense. I think he looks the same as he did last season, but the line and quality of the receiving corps have nosedived. I will say that Ben Watson looks like a professional football player out there, and he's an upgrade over what was there before his re-signing. I mean, Izzo was playing TE, and he stinks outside of ST.
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I focus on collective passer rating given that team passer rating differential is the best statistical predictor of success/failure in the NFL. YPG doesn't matter much when you're down by 20 and the team is running it all the time to milk the clock. Having said that, Cincy and AZ are worse (https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-average-team-passer-rating), although Miami's schedule is much easier than theirs. They are 30th in pass defense DVOA through week 10, although they are likely to decline to 31 or 32 given that Atlanta (31st) shut down Carolina and Cincy only gave up 17 points. https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teamdef/2019
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?? -- Miami is last in the league in sacks with 13, is near the bottom in INTs with only 6, and are allowing a collective passer rating of 105.6. That is terrible. I am certainly higher on Allen than Tesla and think he's judging too harshly, but he's making an arguable point.
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Adam Gase and the decision to cut Jordan Phillips
dave mcbride replied to dave mcbride's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
He was a high draft pick too, going in the first half of the second round. A lot of people thought he'd go in the late first. Walter Football was pretty high on him: https://walterfootball.com/scoutingreport2015jphillips.php In this draft scouting report, he's compared to Snacks Harrison: https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2410300-jordan-phillips-nfl-draft-2015-scouting-report-grade-for-dolphins-rookie The larger point is that guys like Phillips aren't always going to be ideal employees, and you have to actually manage them because the talent is there. You can't give up on it. Maybe you trade the player or sit him down, but cutting a talented player like that when you're 3-1 (which is what the Dolphins were after 4 games last season) is just plain dumb. Phillips wasn't his guy -- he was drafted just prior to the last year of the Joe Philbin era -- and Gase's emotional reaction got the best of him (as it did with other players). It certainly worked out for the Bills -- Phillips has been truly disruptive this season. -
I thought it might be a good idea to revisit that decision, largely because he has proven now that he's an above-average NFL starting DT. After reading this, I am so glad that Gase is still coaching in the AFC East: https://www.miamiherald.com/sports/spt-columns-blogs/armando-salguero/article222300710.html.
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Yeah, they had a good game. Actually, if you look at the Miami D, it has progressively played a lot better as the season has gone on. Yesterday was the first game they gave up 400+ yards in seven weeks. Granted, they've been facing some horrible offenses (Mason Rudolph, Brian Hoyer, the Skins), but still. Also, I can't believe they gave up 643 yards -- 643!!! -- in week one. That is an unbelievable number. The pass rush is still bad, though - they only have 13 sacks through 10 games.
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The one thing I'll say about yesterday that was deceiving was the near-complete lack of a pass rush by Miami. The Bills' o-line simply isn't that dominating, of course; it was mostly an effect of a terrible pass rush. Like all QBs, Allen tends to look good when he's not pressured. That's not going to happen next week. 7 was on a return, which is a fluke play.
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Can the Detractors Now Admit Allen's Growth?
dave mcbride replied to H2o's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
He is absolutely getting better. He actually threw an accurate bomb yesterday too. It was incomplete (Brown was well covered), but it was definitely accurate. First accurate bomb this season, I think. -
Jerry Hughes reaction to Myles Garrett incident
dave mcbride replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Compare this mindset to what Kitchins said after the Browns’ fight-plagued practices with Indy. https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2019/11/16/tom-brady-bill-belichick-uses-incidents-like-thursday-as-teaching-moments/ Also, This is kinda funny: https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2019/11/16/after-nfl-cracks-down-on-myles-garrett-robert-quinn-sees-football-getting-soft/ -
Jerry Hughes reaction to Myles Garrett incident
dave mcbride replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Oh, absolutely. You have to be at least a little psycho to get playing time on defense in the NFL. Almost all of them have this in them if they feel they’ve been pushed too far.