dave mcbride

Not a bad idea. I like the idea of teams being forced to choose.

The reasoning for the 2-point safety is not based on any retrospective analysis of the play's impact on the game or the fact that it's a difficult play featuring elite-level defense. It is literally the product of a metaphorical blind dart throw by the guy who came up with scoring in the 1890s.

You're the second person to mention this. This issue is literally described in exacting detail in the article. It's a great play and it's a football play (rather then a set-piece ST play). It's rare. And it's worth less than a garden-variety FG, the most boring play in the game outside of kickoff touchbacks. Moreover, it's worth 2 points because .... some guy in the 1890s assigned it two points.

Yeah, I was thinking a five-point play too. That makes sense. It's a hard play to make, it's rare, and it's an awesome play to boot. Bills defeat the Giants, 22-17 (because the Giants go for it on fourth down and fail instead of going for the FG to go up 20-19).

That is brought up in the piece and discussed at some length.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/nfl-safeties-should-be-worth-more-than-touchdowns/?cid=taboola_rcc_r And if they were worth more, the Bills would have won a Super Bowl.

What is the gist of the piece, beyond simply one short sentence? I don't subscribe and can't read it.

We do know what he got. He got a 13 the first time he took but got a 19 later. Herbert went from 25 to 39.

Great stuff. Thanks!

To be fair, Cooks is a good player. As for him being traded a lot, it is the case that he has always gotten a pretty high return.

Your whole premise is that 10-6 isn't 4th best in the league, but rather a middling result (i.e., decent and nothing more). As it happens, among QBs who have played for the past four years, Prescott's winning percentage - 62.5 percent -- sits only behind three other QBs: Brady, Brees, and Roethlisberger. He is tied with Russell Wilson for fourth best. Only Brady has more wins than Prescott's 40 given the injuries suffered by Brees (39 wins) and Roethlisberger (31 wins). Wilson has the same number of victories as Prescott. Aaron Rodgers' winning percentage is 61 percent. Deshaun Watson, Mahomes, and Lamar Jackson all have higher winning percentages, but Watson has played slightly more than two seasons (due to injury), Mahomes has played for slightly less than two (again, due to injury), and Jackson has played for roughly 1.6 seasons. You can be sure that most and possibly all of this trio of QBs will have a regression season at some point (with Houston, quite possibly this year). For the second time, I am not talking about one season, but about a much longer duration (in this case, four seasons). In that longer duration, slumps, injuries, and occasional team upheaval tend to even things out.

Not asking you! I know you'd know the answer. But I also don't think you're unwise enough to think that playing CB for the Giants or the Cowboys really raises your profile much. If the team is good and you're elite, people will know about you. The Bills have a top-shelf defense and a good team overall. Plus they are a good story. Hence more people are aware of White than the guys playing on the back end of defense for the most valuable franchise in the world.

It's actually 101.3-60.7. My mistake. As you can see, I am not talking about one season, but 64 games, which is a much, much larger sample size than 16.

??? The Cowboys D has finished in the top of the league each of the past 6 years in terms of points allowed and has twice been in the top 6. They were 8th in net yards per passing attempt - the key stat for passing - last season and in 2017. I didn't ask you; I asked Dopey - who by his response to me showed me that he didn't know the answer. I expect many people here would know; there are a lot of smart, knowledgeable fans here.

He did it on his own and knows the business, which is not nothing. Regardless, he's easy to slag, I guess, but this is a damn good interview. Yep. Spot-on comments.

He is a straight-up jackass. I will root for him to fail. Would he be? Like, say, Eli Apple? The Giants are bad, and one CB wouldn't have made them good. Quick: name the last few cornerbacks who started for the Cowboys without looking it up.

It would be highly ironic if Ramsey's star declines in LA because the team struggles, and we'll all look back at his Jax years as his "star" years. It is actually a plausible scenario.

Favre's first year in Minnesota was the best season of his career!

I'm nearly 100 percent certain I've had it - I started having a very dry and persistent cough (which I never, ever get) 20 days ago and it still persists. That was followed a couple of days later by a daylong bout of diarrhea and, after that, about five days of fever spikes (with one evening in the middle of it being particularly nasty). My 23-year old daughter had symptoms too, including the inability to taste anything for a week, a cough, and very mild fever spikes. Despite the nagging cough, which is finally diminishing, I'm fine now. Basically 100 percent. Neither of us are sick enough to get tested given the situation in Brooklyn.

Also NYC related: https://gothamist.com/news/surge-number-new-yorkers-dying-home-officials-suspect-undercount-covid-19-related-deaths [Thanks for posting - seemed inappropriate for me to "like" tho. ? This is pretty common in an epidemic situation. Very likely happened in China and is happening in Italy/Spain and elsewhere too. When the dust settles, statisticians look at seasonal deaths from previous years and calculate an "excess death rate" which may be attributed to the disease]

The better argument about Gore is noting that his three most productive seasons (yards from scrimmage; ypa) occurred in the previous decade! https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/G/GoreFr00.htm

Why would he retire? He'd have to surrender money. He's never, ever going to play again, but from a financial perspective it's far better to not retire and let the team either cut you, IR you, or reach an injury settlement with you. If you retire, the team doesn't have to do anything.

Not sure why you're arguing this point. All good baseball players have tons of bad games. For even the best class of hitters, it's a sport pretty much defined by probable failure.

Mike Trout had more than 30 statistically terrible games in each of the last five seasons. No player is perfect every game.

I do. He tailed off in the last 2-3 games back to normal, but in the first 13, he was as lockdown as lockdown can get.