dave mcbride

Good info on the Moore comp! Moore was always kind of an ideal backup - the guy that gets you to 2-2 when the starting QB has a separated shoulder or a hamstring injury. PS - this is a good read too if you haven't seen it yet: https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/how-davis-webb-has-become-the-most-intriguing-qb-prospect-in-the-nfl-draft/

I’m a bigger believer in Webb than Fromm simply because he has more physical talent. He impressed me in the Cal games I watched too. The Bills did talk him up late in the season, and maybe that was for a reason. Edit: Not a bad read: https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/how-davis-webb-has-become-the-most-intriguing-qb-prospect-in-the-nfl-draft/

Beane was hired literally ten days after the draft, which means conversations were well underway beforehand and most likely well before the draft. Agreed. He’s going to surprise the dime-a-dozen folks.

I get the numbers; I’m referring to the eyeball test. He regularly breaks tackles and gets positive yardage, is clearly tough, and has good vision. He’s not a speedster, but he’s fast enough. As for his counting stats, he spent most of the season as the number 2, although by late in the season he seemed to be the primary back.

Yes, misinformed. Watson was a booster of Saleh. Actually, the Palmer situation is very similar, and it worked out great for Palmer, who had a late career renaissance after escaping from the tire fire that is the Bengals. My money is on Watson never playing a down for Houston again. People don’t realize how much value guys like watson place on winning.

@MAJBobby in his analyses nailed it I think: Edmunds doesn’t guess because his physical talent is so freakish that he doesn’t think he has to. It had always worked for him before because he was more athletic than anyone else on the field. Hence he plays in a reactive way because he has been hardwired to think he can catch up, but in the nfl that effectively means that he plays tentatively. If he guessed and attacked more, there would be more bigger plays (and more misses, but that’s possibly a price worth paying). He has to learn not to be reactive and trust in his superior physical talent because everyone is good in the nfl. @MAJBobby surmised that AJ Klein’s improvement stems almost entirely from him resorting to guessing, which makes sense to me. Let’s say he has a very good game (3 sacks) as opposed to a ridiculous game. 10.5 sacks is still more than any Bill since Mario Williams.

He was only pedestrian because he tore his groin in the sixth game of the 1996 season. He was never the same again. He was dominating for the first 6 games of 1996. It was injury, not one-dimensionality, that brought him down.

Yup, and the 4th and 3 one is more makeable. On that one, KC has to guard both the sticks and the end zone. That's tougher to do.

He changed position, and turned out to be excellent at that new position. Whether he's versatile or not, he makes plays. I remember when GB let Paup go, and the word out of GB was that he was too "one-dimensional." After he tore up the league in 1995, I remember Ron Jaworski saying, "yeah, he's got one dimension, and that dimension is 'great.'"

To be fair, not so long ago you were arguing that Allen is better than Mahomes. He's not (it's not even debatable, actually, so people shouldn't try), but that's OK. He's still a great player.

It was a package deal. They blamed Peters for being overweight, they blamed him for JP getting sacked vs the Jets, they blamed him for holding out, they blamed him for not liking the fact that the Bills gave him a RT contract and then immediately moving him to LT, etc. etc. I lived through it. Calling @PromoTheRobot...

Fans HATED Peters for years here. I suspect some still do. It was irrational, but it was definitely a thing.

I feel like I can say with some confidence that JJ Watt will not be playing for the Bills in 2021.

I dunno. I think it's probably more a story of a talented player finally learning how to play the game and thus pushing himself to an elite level. Guys do actually improve with experience. Also, it's not as if he's out there chasing one final contract.

Yeah, these numbers are all over the place. ESPN has him at 8. Who really knows? PFR is my go-to site, but I can't say with any certainty that they're better on this stat than others.

I definitely remember that! Re taking sacks, I remember when Rob Johnson started and was the most sacked qb in the league (indeed, he still holds the record for sack percentage), and then Flutie comes in and gets sacked 4 percent of the time (and the Bills start winning). So often it's on the QB, and they don't get enough blame for it. It's not as if the Bills' o-line is super talented. Allen's decision-making and ability to process quickly drastically improved this season.

I'm not really passing judgment one way or the other; I just expect with near certainty that a trade will happen. There's always a way to figure the finances out. The salary cap is a house of mirrors for a reason.

It's more than that -- he played over 90 percent of the snaps, which is crazy for a d-lineman. He may have played the most snaps of any d-lineman in the league; no one on the Bills came close to his rate. Of course, you'd think the counting stats would be higher because of this ...

Watson is awesome, but he has one big flaw in his game: he takes too many sacks. Over four seasons, he's never had less than an 8.2 percent sack rate (he was 8.3 percent this year). Allen got his to 4.3 this season, which is excellent. He was at 8.0 in 2018 and 7.6 in 2019. Sacks basically kill possessions, and getting sacked once out of every 23 dropbacks vs. once out of ever 12 dropbacks has a huge effect on offensive performance. The yards don't add up to much, but a sack almost always steals a possession from you. Houston punted 54 times this season and Buffalo punted only 41 times.

Don't know. It's one of those "in the eye of the beholder" stats like pressures, but it shouldn't be -- it's pretty clear cut.

He is a FA, and he's a lot more appealing to me than Milano (who I also like). I don't think we'll get him, but man, did he blow up this season after a mediocre first three years (young talented players do get better!). He'd 12.5 sacks and finished 3rd in the league in tackles for a loss with 15. That's 27.5 negative yardage plays. He also had SIX forced fumbles and four passes defensed. He also runs a 4.52 40. My guess is that he gets north of $15 million per. One can dream.

PFR has Addison at 7 (you have to sort by TFL): https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2020/defense.htm#defense::tackles_loss

I don't disagree, but 14 TFLs is a lot. He finished 6th in the league in that category.

Ken Dorsey, maybe?

7.4 (always account for sack yardage lost on passing plays) but your point is taken. If you account for sacks in 2016 (Tyrod got sacked a lot) and treat the sack plays as passing attempts, they averaged 5.8 yards per passing play (vs 5.3 per rushing play). Incidentally, because of those garbage-time bombs to Davis, Barkley averaged 9.4 ypa!