dave mcbride

The chances of the Bills making the SB with the bye are far, far, far better than if they don't have the bye. Disagree with this logic.

https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/bills-are-favored-sunday-but-chiefs-with-patrick-mahomes-are-11-3-as-underdogs

The problem with this comp is that Allen doesn’t throw rainbows like Aaron Rodgers, Hurts, and Russell Wilson that allow receivers to track. His arm is frankly too strong for that and his deeper throws are therefore lower trajectory. It’s an apples and oranges thing. It’s also crazy to blame Kincaid for that play. Allen gave him no chance on that one.

I think that’s because he took over for a well-acknowledged legend, John McKay. There was always a sense that he inherited a total powerhouse and all the recruiting that came with that.

… which means he is dependent on other players for his success, which also means he’s a … semi-JAG. Difference makers make differences no matter who surrounds them (ie, Josh Allen). Oliver is an OK to decent player. Not much more than that. The pretty solid cast of DEs on the Bills suggests that he should be taking advantage of the surrounding environs, but he’s not. Lotta DTs still put up numbers after their partners go down.

Excellent headline: https://nypost.com/2024/11/11/sports/aaron-rodgers-has-been-swallowed-and-eaten-alive-by-the-same-old-jets/

Kincaid is an excellent receiver who excels at getting open and then becoming elusive once he has the ball. He has very good hands too. His stats aren't a good measure of his talent, and it's still early days anyway. The counting stats are a function of the Bills system, not him.

I didn't watch much of Williams in college, but when I did (vs UCLA last season, for instance), he looked to me like a player who might have trouble transitioning to the pro game. I am sure I missed some amazing games of his, but he was sloppy with the football and seemed to have trouble reading the field. He held the ball way too long and took a lot of sacks. Notre Dame made him look pretty bad too.

I now want the Rams to lose a little faith. I am ok with them losing. Not saying it’ll help the Bills, but I’m looking for any edge!

Either that or they are in a "heads have to roll if we're going to revitalize our season" mode. At 4-5 they are not out of it, but things are slipping away and if they want to save their season maybe they think they need to take drastic action. The weird thing is that he led the team in tackles vs the Rams (their most recent game). Tackles are an overrated stat, but still.

The other INT (vs TN is garbage time) was a vulture INT - he wasn't the cause of it.

11-1 in 1988. Kincaid did come back in the third but went out again later. The fact that he came back after having his knee examined has me optimistic that the injury is minor and won’t keep him out of the KC game.

Shakir is quite probably better at what he does than both of those two at this point, but granted, he plays a very specific position in the WR system.

I literally just said the same thing to my wife and sister in law a couple of minutes ago. This is shades of NE at Buffalo in January 2022. Also, that Bills victory vs AZ was a quality win. They are good.

Again, pretty sure it was tipped. He is very good. And the Cardinals are a good team with a lot of studs. That comeback win in week one was a very good win for the Bills. A quality win.

Pretty sure it was tipped. Regardless, you HAVE to kick the FG there to make it a 2-score game. 4th and 4 completely takes away the run option.

They did take slightly over 2 minutes off the clock.

It didn’t deserve a penalty. The defender laid off.

Chris Hogan played the second half of the 2015 season with a torn wrist ligament. He had a lot of drops and wore off his shine in Buffalo as a consequence. Next season, he's catching four key passes in a Super Bowl victory for the Patriots. The injury definitely impacted his play, but he did play through it.

I think Miami would definitely have gone for two if there had been, say, 20 seconds on the clock when they scored. With 1:38 left, they had to kick the XP because even if they make the 2P conversion, you're giving the Bills four chances to get ten yards instead of three (assuming the Bills would have punted on a fourth down and not in FG range). With Allen, that one extra down is one too many chances. McDaniel said as much. They also could have failed the 2P conversion, and bear in mind that going into yesterday the success rate on 2P conversions this season across the NFL is 31 percent.

I just don't know. Maybe playing with it doesn't aggravate it but simply hampers you? I don't know the diagnosis.

My take: turf toe is a really crappy injury to have to deal with. I'm guessing that it's really limiting him.

Updating this: The collective passing game numbers for the RBs (Cook, Davis, Johnson): 41 targets, 34 receptions: 83 percent completion rate 384 yards on 34 completions: 11.3 yards per reception 384 yards on 41 targets: 9.4 yards per target turnovers (fumbles, INTs on targets): 0 touchdowns: 4, for a 9.8% TD rate on passes thrown their way (a sky-high rate) Allen's passer rating when targeting RBs in the passing game: 138.21 (Also, if Cook makes that easy catch yesterday and takes it in, the rating would be 147.31, but I digress.)

Mack had a sack and 2 TFLs today in a dominating defensive performance for LA: https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401671629/chargers-browns

The Colts offense has scored precisely zero points tonight. All ten of their points came off turnovers. They didn’t get a first down after the INT that led to a FG. It’s really hard to score zero points on offense in the NFL. It was a perfectly fine and easily catchable throw.