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Are McBeane secretly creating an elite offense?
dave mcbride replied to BullBuchanan's topic in The Stadium Wall
When they signed Bosa, I immediately recalled a couple of games earlier in his career where he was an absolute beast vs Mahomes and the o-line. I just checked, and he a bunch of games with sacks and TFLs plus a forced fumble or two. Of course, being the Chargers, they tended to lose those close games in brutal fashion, including multiple single score losses and a couple in OT. But they didn't lose because of Bosa, who KC really struggled to handle. Anyway, I am guessing that Beane noticed the same. -
Opponents are converting 64 percent of their fourth down attempts vs the Bills this year. Yeah, there are worse teams, but it still strikes me as pretty bad. It's something I have been noticing. The Chiefs were 2 for 3 yesterday, which is par for the course. https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-fourth-down-conversion-pct The Bills' own fourth down conversion rate is 50 percent (22nd in the league): https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/fourth-down-conversion-pct
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Bills offense -- first in the NFL in yards per game
dave mcbride replied to dave mcbride's topic in The Stadium Wall
No, it's not perfect, but it is something. Teams that lead the league in yards have historically had excellent offenses. My concern, actually, is that this is the sort of stat that might convince Beane that he doesn't need to add a receiver. -
I generally agree with you, but they have actually drafted a bunch of good players in rounds 1-3. Just clarifying! I am all for trading picks this year, though. Dion Dawkins: second rounder (and while this happened in 2017, I strongly suspect Beane fed info to the Bills. The Bills jumped right ahead of Carolina to take him, and Beane joined the Bills the next month.) James Cook: second rounder Spencer Brown: third rounder O'Cyrus Torrence: second rounder Kincaid: first rounder Ed Oliver: first rounder Rousseau: first rounder Cole Bishop: second rounder Terrell Bernard: 3rd rounder although I'm unsure of his worth (he is a team captain, though, and was legit good in 2023) Dawson Knox: third rounder. He's obviously not elite, but he's a core player in their run game and has had a solid career.
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From a couple of days ago, but this Diane Russini piece is still relevant: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6767924/2025/11/01/nfl-trade-deadline-2025-rumors-news-tush-push/ 'Team and league sources tell me the following: Cleveland star Myles Garrett is not getting traded. Teams have checked in, but as one high-ranking source texted: “He’s a Brown and will remain a Brown.” Miami has received interest from the Eagles, 49ers, Patriots and others on OLB Jaelan Phillips (The Dolphins are looking for at least a third-rounder in return). They’re also getting calls on DE Bradley Chubb and OLB Matthew Judon. (Two days after the publication of this column, the Eagles acquired Phillips for a third-round pick.) The Eagles also asked the Jets about Jermaine Johnson. It makes sense, considering former Jets GM Joe Douglas drafted him in New York and is now Philly’s senior personnel director. However, New York has held a high asking price of a second-round pick or better. Many teams, including the Rams, 49ers, Lions, Colts and Eagles, have called the Bengals on numerous players, including LB Logan Wilson, CB Cam Taylor-Britt and, of course, DE Trey Hendrickson. For now, some teams don’t believe Cincinnati has any real interest in moving its core pieces. The Bills were one of the teams that inquired in recent weeks about Saints WR Chris Olave. New Orleans is still expected to retain its top wideout. The Raiders have fielded calls from the Steelers and Bills on WR Jakobi Meyers, but Las Vegas has set a high price. Pittsburgh is looking at other wide receiver options, too. The Giants do not plan to move pass rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux. They previously told inquiring teams that the price would be a first-round pick. The Patriots are searching for a pass rusher but feel good about their offensive weapons. Running back could be a possibility because of recent injuries. The Seahawks and Chargers are exploring potential offensive line additions. The Lions are looking for help at safety and defensive line. The Commanders are in the market for a pass rusher. The Broncos are monitoring the tight end market, even after signing Marcedes Lewis to their practice squad. The players the Titans are fielding the most calls on: DE Arden Key, LB Dre’Mont Jones, RB Tony Pollard and DT T’Vondre Sweat. The Chiefs have been actively searching for defensive line help. The Colts need corners and have been calling. The Ravens and Packers are also looking for corners. The Jaguars are looking for a defensive tackle. They have received lots of interest in WR Brian Thomas Jr., but no substantial offers. Most around the league believe it would take a first-round pick and then some to land the 2024 Pro Bowler. The Jets have been getting calls on RB Breece Hall for a while, and while there is interest, New York is looking for at least a third-round pick in return. Hall is in the final year of his rookie deal. Teams are also continuing to monitor DT Quinnen Williams, despite a high price tag.'
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11/2/25 GAMEDAY Bills vs Chiefs 4:30pm Post Game Thread
dave mcbride replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
How did Tre play yesterday? -
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/buf/2025.htm Kinda hard to believe given that they're 27th in pass attempts! They are fourth in points per game. They are also 11th in turnover differential (+3) and tied for fifth in fewest giveaways (6). Incidentally, Miami leads the league in turnovers with 15.
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Steelers ownership growing frustrated with Tomlin
dave mcbride replied to Gregg's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yet Rodgers up to this point has been the best player on the team! -
I feel like QBR has gotten to be a more reliable stat over time. When I look at the leaders at the end of the season and the overall pecking order, it rings true. I strongly suspect they've tweaked the algorithm over time so that it doesn't end up with the crazy results it had in the first 1-2 years of its existence. Sort by QBR on this page for the 2024 season and you'll see what I mean: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2024/passing.htm.
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One of the best WRs of this century, in my view. Definitely took him some time, though. As I've said elsewhere, I really wish the Bills traded for him last season. Maybe it was implausible contract wise, but I'm of a mind that everything can be maneuvered in that realm to make it work.
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That video link of Elam's play this season is pretty wow. Man, he is terrible. Just terrible.
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That's not true regarding awareness on the first play. Smith argues and shows that Coleman never looks at where the DB is, and the way he catches it illuminates this. This is a play that arguably could have gone for more yards if he catches it with his hands and turns upfield immediately rather than hugging it and slowing down. Maybe he's gunshy because of the fumble vs NE, but that's not elite (or even good) receiver-level play. As for the other one, it was a piss poor effort. I don't think that's debatable. During the game thread, commenters thought so too. He doesn't come back for the ball at all but just stands there. Maybe it wasn't a great route combination, but you gotta do better than that.
