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Won't play at all in '22 Chance to be back 100% by '23, but certainly no guarantee he's back fill steam by then. A lot of talk that it sometimes takes 2 years to come back all the way from an Achilles tear and feel back to 100% I think the very soonest he'll go is pick 50 and could fall as low as 75. Likely goes 50 spots lower.

It's definitely a big swing for the Raiders, but giving up a 1st & 2nd plus forking over $28.25M per yr to a WR that will be 30 in December may not end up being a smart move. There are some WRs that produce into their mid 30s, but there are more that hit a wall @ 31-32.

Be careful with Adam Caplan. There guys in the media that are passing on real knowledge Then there's a Lotta guys that are wannabes. Caplan is closer to the latter. Not saying he didn't hear it, but hes not a guy I'd put a lot of trust in

Sam Monson @PFF_Sam · 2h They just signed a QB for $15m a season. If that doesn't affect your status with the team, your status was a backup to begin with. Quote Tweet Gerry Dulac @gerrydulac · 3h The Steelers plan to have Trubisky challenge Mason Rudolph as the replacement for Ben Roethlisberger, per sources. The deal does not affect Rudolph's status with the team and he is not expected to be traded or ask for a trade. I'm not sure if Sam Monson, of PFF. Is just spitballong that'll be in the $15M range or if he's heard something, but this the first I've seen a value assigned to what Tribusky signed for. If it is indeed for $15M per year we are in line for a 3rd round comp. Pick assuming we have a net loss of FA's. A nice gift!

Think Marino uses OvertheCap. Myself, I'm a spotrac.com guy. Ginnitti is really good at what he does.

I'm not a big fan of Tremaine, but @ that APY for 5 years, YES I would do that deal. That'd be pretty team friendly, especially down the road. $10M a year for a LB will look pedestrian in a year or 2

Probably. There will probably be 1 or 2 middling contract acquisitions, maybe like an Engram for $7M per, but it just seems like there's not going to ve anything big.

Mike Ginnitti of Spotrac on one of his recent visits on WGR radio, on One Bills Live, very casually but confidently stated he expects a trade back from the Bills. Not sure if that has any part in this, but if you were thinking a trade back is in the works hosting a Day 1 Draft Day Party would be odd. That said, they could certainly set something up fro Day 2. Day 2 is better, IMO anyways. More for the diehard draft fans.

Glad to see that duo gone from Fox. Aikman and Buck are so boring and stale. MNF booth was already bad, so I don't expect much different. At least now there's a chance Fox upgrades to a booth that'll actually tell you something insightful. This is a win for Fox, IMO.

Haha, you nailed it. There's a handful of Buffalo media/radio guys that I've come to realize are full of shiz. Nate Geary is one of them.

I like Kirk. He's a solid slot WR, but I don't see him as a $12M a yr WR. I'm not saying he won't get it, but I'm not sure I want my team paying that price. If he wants to come in on a discount I could get behind it, but I don't think paying big bucks to a slot WR is smart roster management.

The article states the Pegulas have to come up with $200M of which less than half will from PSLs. It also stated the cheapest PSLs will cost $1,000. So I'm guessing their benchmark for PSLs will be in the $80M range, through the sale of 50,000 season tickets. So you're looking at roughly an avg PSL of $1,600. With the cheapest being $1000, you're probably looking at PSLs being in the 1k-2.5k per seat depending on where your seats are. I still think PSLs are going to gut demand for season tickets. I know personally I've had season tickets for 20 years (4 of them) and I'm 100% throwing in the towel once I owe PSLs. I'm in section 134 so I'm predicting about a $2000 PSL per seat and there's just no way I'm forking over 8k to the Pegulas just for the privilege of forking over another 6k a year to pay for my tickets. I'm only able to get to about 2-3 home games a year and with StubHub fees up around 45% (ludicrous) I just lose way too much money to justify paying for PSLs. I'm curious what other Season Ticket Holders are thinking. You guys prepared to fork over 1-3k per ticket on PSLs?

Tony Pauline @ ProfootballNetwork had an article stating the Steelers are set to make a run at Tribusky, but that they may have competition from the Giants. He reported it could take big money to sign him. A month ago I was of the mind that Tribusky would get a $6-8M deal for a chance to compete, but after this chatter that he may be in demand, I'm wondering if he might not go for a lot more. You look back and there has been some crazy contracts handed out to marginal QBs in the last decade: Foles Dalton Glennon Is it possible Tribusky finds $13-16M? I think it's rich, but I'm starting to think itll be closer to that than my original projection. I'm going to set the over/under @ $12M per year. I can easily see him finding a 2 year $26M deal. Obviously if he signs for anything north of $10M the Bills will net a 4th round compensatory pick for him. If he signs for $15M + we'd be in line for a 3rd rounder (in 2023). Come on Steelers and Giants get that bidding war going!

Factoring in what I think the Bills covet in a WR prospect coupled with who I think has a real chance to be available @ #25: Jahan Dotson Tough, great hands, separates and can play all over the formation. What will be interesting would be if both Jameson Williams & Dotson were both available @ #25 I'd be curious who the Bills would prefer. I will say I don't think Drake London is a prospect the Bills would be interested in and I think hus hype in the media is a lot different than what happens on draft day. Slow WRs that can't separate aren't guys I want in the 1st round. A mid round pick I like later on is UCLA, WR, Kyle Phillips. Another mid/late round pick I like as a speed merchant is Danny Gray, WR, SMU. Guy can fly. Much like the Gabe Davis draft year it appears WR is so deep it wouldn't surprise me if the Bills waited until round 3 or 4 on a WR. This would give them the opportunity to fill some other needs like DL, CB & OL with their premium picks.

It's a fair question and my answer would be this: Derek Carr is probably somewhere between the 10th-15th best QB in the NFL and if some desperate team comes calling you at least listen. If you can get a bounty for the 12th best QB in the league who's about to need a new expensive contract.....why not do it?

Just now on NFLN, Beane confirmed

He includes himself, but in a coy way, where he also lets you think it was proabably soemoen elses fault. To me if it was 99% on him, he should've come out within 48 hours of the game and owned it. By leaving it to everyone's imaginations he's doing the coaching staff and team a great disservice. It got to the point where our kicker reposted videos of him squib kicking a day after the game on social media because so many people started speculating that he messed up. McDermott talks the talk, but if it was his fault and he's hiding from it, than how can anyone on the team take him serious? If a player fumbles, McDermott will bench them and ridicule them......but if he's responsible for some truly bone headed decisions he seems to protect himself behind "organizational communication & execution". That's weak, really weak.

He's in the $10-12M per yr range now, IMO. With a big season I think he could push into the $13-14M range If Beane could lock him up for 4 years $45M now it'd be a deal

Any high end QB, of which there are 3 (rumored to be possibly on the move): Aaron Rodgers DeShaun Watson Russell Wilson Coming to the AFC, or more specifically into the AFC East would change the math.

Upon further review I probably shouldn't have put Burks and London in the same bucket. Burks does create separation, just not to the same degree as some of the others I like more. He's more of a build up speed type of guy. It takes him a little bit, but once he gets into 5th gear he's moving. I'm with you 100% on London though, I dont see him a a 1st round WR prospect. I saw Matt Miller comping him to Mike Evans on twitter today.....I don't see that at all. Mike Evans was 230lbs at the Combine and had some speed. London is probably 15-20 lbs lighter, and I don't see the speed/quicks to separate. He wins with physicality atthrcatch point and I think that will be totally neutralized in the pros. I see more Limas Sweed than Mike Evans. I just think the Bills have a type they covet @ WR & I don't think London fits what they like at all. I could see them talking themselves into Burks, but hes not totally their type either. For those drooling over Williams, the speed is intoxicating and had me drooling too. I do want to point out though that he's not a natural hands catcher. A lot of body catches and double clutches is somewhat concerning. The one guy that's been growing on me is Dotson, from Penn St. A little undersized, but hes got it all. Speed, quicks, physical......can win at the catch point. Plus he's a dog, and loves football. I could see him being a guy the Bills fall in love with

I'm not as high on the 2 bigger Wrs, London and Burks. Neither one creates much separation. I prefer the quicker, faster shifter guys like Wilson, Williams, Olave and Dotson. I also think the Bills prefer WRs that create separation and IMO Burks does not fit that description.

On his most recent Spotrac podcast, Mike G. broke down the FA class with some value projections as well as where some players "could" land. I put could in parentheses because I've found Mike G to have what seems like some insider knowledge when it comes to the Bills. Thats why when I hear any predicitions he makes regarding the Bills, I perk my ears up. Last year he said sownthing to the effect of "keep an eye on Tribusky to a team like the Bills for a team friendly 1 year deal." Then about 3 days later it happened. Maybe it was total coincidence, but common sense says probably not. In his most recent episode he talked Christian Kirk coming alive in the Cardinals offense once Murray started pushing the ball down the field more. He linked him to a team with a QB that can get him the ball down the field, and specifically predicted with Josh Allen and the Bills. Had his value pegged @ 4 yrs - $48M. A little later he said he liked Cowboys Guard, Connor Williams, to land in Buffalo where he'll be a better fit scheme wise on a 3 year - $21M deal. I think cutting Feliciano is a given, but a move like this I would assume means the Bills would also cut/trade Daryl Williams. Connor Williams plays RG, so no way you're paying him $7M a year without moving Daryl, IMO. That Christian Kirk move would be a pretty sick addition though. And would probably also forecast them moving on from Beasley. Mike G. didn't dive into the weeds on who he'd expect to be cut to make room for these moves, but I'd be interested to hear his take on that.

It's a fair quibble, I almost pulled him out of the comps realizing he was a much more physical WR. $20-$22M is going to be in the 5-10 range for WR money in a year. Hopkins new deal gave him $27.5M per fir 2 years & you'll see Davante Adams get a similar # this offseason.

Stefon Diggs is in the prime of his career & just turned 28 in November. He's underpaid thanks to a very team friendly contract he signed w/ the Vikings & I think this is the yr. he's going to get a big $ extension. But how many prime yrs. does Stefon have left in the tank? I thought of 5 WRs to compare to Diggs to see when their cliff came. Based on physical traits my comps were Marvin Harrison, Antonio Brown, Steve Smith, Reggie Wayne & Isaac Bruce. They are not physically imposing or pure burner types, but more of the crafty, route running, technician type WRs. Marvin Harrison's cliff came in his age 35 season. Antonio Brown is tough to use in this exercise because his cliff is a result of his off field stuff, so let's throw him out. Steve Smith hit his cliff during his age 34 season. Reggie Wayne & Isaac Bruce both hit the wall @ 35 years old. I was actually surprised to see how old these guys were before they hit their wall. I would've guessed their stats dived around 32 years old, so seeing productive seasons until 34-35 makes an extension much more palatable. & while it's nice having 2 years left on an extremely team friendly deal I don't see Diggs being cool playing for 60% of his value any longer and so I think something gets done this offseason. We know Beane will hand out top of the market deals to key players (Allen, White, Dawkins), but we also know he likes to keep the remaining yrs of the current deal & tack on the big $ as an extension. Diggs has: 2 years - $27.2M left on his deal & his current valuation via spotrac is $22.1M per yr. So I think Diggs is in line for a 3 year $67.5M extension & they'll keep the remaing 2 yrs @ $27.2M as part of the deal. This way Diggs & his agent can promote $22.5M per year, but the team gets a more manageable 5 years of control @ $95M for an avg APY of $19M per. The Bills will also give Diggs a nice chunk of change up front in the form of bonuses, which players desire and it'll help drop his cap hit for the '22 season and maybe even the '23 season before a sizeable jump in 2024 (when the sakary cap itself will be much higher.) He's currently set to have an $18M cap hit in '22 & with the extension above his cap hit could easily be cut in half although I'd expect Beane to massage that # to around 12M. This gives the team an extra $6M in cap space this year. Lastly I'd expect guaranteed money to run 3 years, so there'd be a possible out after Diggs age 31 season, but would probably be more palatable from a dead $ standpoint to move on after year 4 if need be (when Diggs would be 32). And after doing the research on other WRs producing well @ 33-34 I don't think it unrealistic to think he could play out all 5 years at a high level.

Just from a raw #'s standpoint we ste going to need a few DL. Now there's FA, trades and the draft but we're set to lose at least a couple of DL & given Beanes history drafting one with a top 100 pick is likely. FAs: Hughes Addison Phillips Butler Obada Possible cuts: Star Lotulelei So as you can see even if we resign a couple of our own FAs we are still going to need to add.