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Estro

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Everything posted by Estro

  1. The myth, the man, the legend. For those of us that have been on the board the last few years, we know to trust Leroi over any of the other pundits....Why? What he says actually happens. His Bills big board (in order of preference): 1. Solomon Thomas 2. Corey Davis 3. Marshon Lattimore 4. O.J. Howard 5. John Ross Now let's break this down a little further. I won't go as far as saying S. Thomas is a lock to be picked before #10, but I have trouble envisioning both the Panthers @ #8 and the Bengals @ #9 passing on Thomas. Could the Bills flip a 3rd rounder & #10 to the Chargers if they're enamored w/ Thomas? I guess they could, but if they stay put at #10 I think Thomas is off the board. Corey Davis, a personal favorite, is sneaky. Most everybody in the "pundit" world would say Davis will be there at #10, but I'm not sold. His game tape is phenomenal, and he plays the most important position in football other than QB, IMO. He's a difference maker & I think the 49ers, Titans, Chargers and Bengals all teams that pick before us would love a WR like C. Davis. I'm particularly nervous about the Bengals. I believe the Bengals would take S. Thomas over Davis, but if Thomas is gone I think Davis will be in serious consideration at #9. Lattimore.....I thought there was an outside chance he could be there at #10, but with Sidney Jones injury and Conley's legal problem some of that nice CB depth is disappearing. I'm more confident that Lattimore will be gone @10 than I am for either Davis or Thomas. O.J. Howard. I like the idea of adding Davis because I want to add to our offense. The thought of Sammy Watkins going down and picturing what our offense would look like is scary. Even with Sammy healthy the thought of our WR's and TE's is pretty scary, in the bad way. Some of the draft analysts I really like, really like O.J. Howard & that works for me. Howard is the guy I'd be the most excited for on this list, with the exception of Corey Davis. Might be gone though, both the 49ers & Titans could pull the trigger a lot earlier than expected. Mayock has him going #6. John Ross would create a meltdown on this board. The injury history coupled with the belief that he could be had a dozen picks later would have most fans upset. This pick would surprise me, but if the 4 guys above him are all gone maybe we're in for a surprise. Final Analysis: 45% chance Corey Davis (#2 on our board and better than 50/50 chance he's available) 20% chance O.J. Howard (#3 on our board & 50/50 chance he's available) 15% chance Solomon Thomas (#1 on our board, but highly likely he's not available) 12.5% chance John Ross (our #5 guy, should be available. Will everybody above him be gone? I'd bet No, but it is possible) 7.5% chance of Marshon Lattimore (our 3rd ranked guy + least likely to be available = not likely the Bills pick) I'm hoping for Davis. O.J. Howard would be nice too. We find out in about 24 hours folks! Enjoy! And shout out to Leroi for adding to the excitement.
  2. Spot on. If you have 2 eyeballs and watch 1 game of Tribusky's you will see for yourself his arm is not very good. It loses velocity on throws outside the hashes. His deep ball same thing, loses velocity resulting in lots of underthrows. I watched everyone of his throws from 6 games last year and came away thoroughly unimpressed. I wouldn't even want him with our 2nd round pick, I didn't see it with him at all.
  3. My dream scenario for tomorrow is trading down with a team in the bottom of round 1 or top of round 2. Pick up an additional 2nd rounder in '17 and a future 2nd rounder in '18. I'd like to come away from this draft with some additional ammo for next years draft. I have my eye on Josh Rosen. Hes going to be a high pick so pocking up sdditional ammo for '18 could make the difference.
  4. Yea Cian Fahey has gotten way too much hype as some type of player analyst. Don't get me wrong, he's a good follow and he has strong takes. That said I take his opinions as seriously as I do mine or my buddies when it comes to the NFL. His defense of Tyrod being some type of good QB is comical. He's dug in so far with Tyrod, that I believe it's more important to him to defend Tyrod and throw shade at anybody who questions his analysis than to admit he was wrong and that Tyrod isn't very good. I'll take what my eyeballs show me.....and also what Andy Benoit and Greg Cosell think about Tyrod (that he's not good) over what some guy in Ireland who's based his opinion on Tyrod's 2 or 3 best games........and not the 15 so-so/stinkers he's had. I love Schopp, but he relies on Cian' QB analysis way too hard. It's what got Schoop excited about Mitch Tribusky. Cian really likes Mitch and doesn't like Patrick Mahomes. I on the other hand think Tribusky is bad and is going to be really bad in the NFL.
  5. Booked the Atlanta game. Live down near Atantic City, NJ. They had non stop flights AC to Atlanta for $85 roundtrip (Spirit Air). For that price I couldn't resist. Haven't booked hotel yet, but downtown hotels withing walking distance to the new stadium are pretty cheap too....$130-$200 a night. Probably going to be a loss, but the price and the new stadium were deciding factors. Any suggestions for good restaurants in the downtown ATL area?
  6. I don't like your thinking. I prefer total passing yards to yards per attempt. If you have an offense that's designed around minimizing the amount of times your QB throws the football I think that tells you a lot. Throwing for 165 yards in a game on 18 attempts, might look good as far as YPA, but in my book it's still a bad passing day no matter how you slice it. The Bills led the league in rushing 2 straight years and actually had really good YPA in the passing game in '15 (Taylor's 1st year), and I don't think anyone would argue their offense was good. Until the Bills start regularly appearing in the top 12 for total passing yards, as all good playoff teams do, nothing will change. Best way to accomplish that, obviously is to find a QB. Outside of QB the next best option is getting weapons for the passing game (Corey Davis, O.J. Howard).
  7. I'd like to see a passing offense that ranks in the middle of the pack, let's say #16 or #17. In the last 14 seasons our highest ranking for passing offense was #15 (2011). 10 of the Bills last 14 seasons we've avg.'d less than 200 yards of passing per game. Think about that for a minute. Bills Passing Offense NFL Rankings: 2016: 30th 2015: 28th 2014: 18th (Orton) 2013: 28th 2012: 25th 2011: 15th (Fitz) 2010: 24th 2009: 30th 2008: 22nd 2007: 30th 2006: 28th 2005: 29th 2004: 27th 2003: 28th 2002: 5th (Bledsoe's 1st year) If we are ever going to buck the trend of being a crap team, we need to fix this. We need to find a QB who can sling it. Don't fool yourself with Tribusky, though, he is not that guy.
  8. going to be in Dallas, TX. from a little birdie, actually from Rich Eisen. That'll be a cool setting for the draft. Dallas and football are synonymous.
  9. This is what I love about the draft. 2 prospects: Mike Williams and Corey Davis, and so much disagreement as to who the better prospect is. It's what makes the draft fun. For the record, Corey Davis is head and shoulders better! I think one of my favorite DAY 1 scenarios would be the Bills moving down a few picks picking up a 3rd rounder and taking Corey Davis. The best source on this board has the Bills liking: Solomon Thomas Corey Davis Marshon Lattimore O.J. Howard John Ross Loved to see C. Davis on the list, and overall I like that list quite a bit. John Ross, would hopefully be a trade down only option, #10 is a little rich for him and his injury history.
  10. Tribusky's agents seem to be doing a wonderful job pumping their clients hype with a week to go until the draft. Who benefits the most by creating a lot of false demand for his client? The the client and the agent. All the smoke you hear this time of year is agent driven and every agents job is to hype their clients prospects. Tribusky is in for a long wait on Thursday, IMO. I don't buy all this smoke about a QB going in the the top 5 and if one goes in the top 10 I think it'll be Mahomes not Tribusky. Just go watch Tribusky's games vs. VT, NC. St. and Duke on youtube. After watching those games tell me if you'd be excited about drafting him in the 1st round. If you have 2 working eyes my guess is that you will be totally underwhelmed with Tribusky. He's a mess. Many teams in the top 5 would love to trade down and "steal" an additional 2nd round pick so I expect to hear a lot more rumors & smoke to try and create false demand for those picks. The truth is no team is moving up into the top 7 picks to get Tribusky. He will likely be on the board when the Bills pick at #10 (unless the Browns make the mistake of leapfrogging us to take him), and the Bills will pass on him. He's not good folks! Check that VT game if you only have time to watch 1. You will see what I'm talking about with your own 2 eyes!
  11. http://bloguin.com/buffalowins/wp-content/uploads/sites/30/2014/05/WHALETBRANDON.jpg #HeDoesn'tMakeFootballDecisions? #NeverSeenThePlayoffs #Promotions #StillNoPlayoffs #MorePromotions #Bills&SabresPresident #BothTeamsSuck #Shocking Anybody else have some quality hashtags for Russ "Snake Oil" Brandon?
  12. Bush made $1.5M last year. Still way too much, but you're figure of $3 is incorrect.
  13. I'm actually pretty confident the Mitch Tribusky interest is total smoke. After really looking at his game I can't imagine the Bills being comfortable with his game. I just can't get over how that arm would look in Buffalo.
  14. He's closer to Trent Edwards than Aaron Rodgers. Just watch some of those throws, he has a very weak arm.
  15. I've been on the take a QB as high as you want bandwagon ever since the season ended. Tyrod is okay, but we all know the Bills must find a good/great QB if they ever want to experience sustained success. With that in mind I've taken a hard look at the "top" 6 QB's in this years draft. D. Watson, P. Mahomes, M. Tribusky, D. Kizer, D. Webb, N. Peterman. The first guy I took a hard look at was Tribusky because I happened to catch his bowl game vs. Stanford on T.V. & came away pretty impressed. Given the sudden buzz & early 1st round pick chatter I figured I'd highlight my thoughts on him first. After reviewing his game tape vs. Virginia Tech, Duke & NC St. my thoughts on Tribusky completely flipped. I found him to be very unimpressive. Some of the many things that really concerned me: - Avg. to below avg. arm strength. Listen to the pundits on ESPN & NFL Network, where they refuse to say anything neg. about prospects this time of yr. and you're led to believe Tribusky is big and has a really strong arm (can make all the throws "they say). I found the exact opposite to be true. His throws outside the numbers take a long time to get to the WR's and lose velocity. If he has to scramble and throw on the move his ball velocity is especially bad. Accuracy is more important than arm strength, but there's a certain threshold of acceptable vs. unacceptable when it come to arm strength in the NFL and Tribusky's is not comfortably in the acceptable range for me. Watch the VT game if you want to imagine Tribusky throwing at the Ralph on a rainy, windy day. He was an absolute mess in the bad weather. BIG Red Flag! - Deep ball accuracy is poor. To be fair, to Tribusky he has decent accuracy on the shorter throws and a pretty quick release, but the deep ball accuracy is a problem for me. He misses tons of WR's w/ both overthrows and underthrows deep down the field. There were many many instances of his WR's streaking wide open down the sideline for what should eb walk in TD that weren't even completions because Tribusky's arm allowed the defender right back into the play. - My biggest problem with Tribusky is he backpedals in the face of pressure. In order to be a good/great QB in the NFL you must have the innate ability to step up or side step in the face of pressure, find a small space of real estate in the muddies pocket, reset your feet & deliver the ball downfield. This is something I rarely see with Tribusky. He goes backward, often throwing off his back foot totally off balance resulting in bad accuracy and velocity. I've included 3 games (Virginia Tech, NC St. & Duke). If you have a little time to kill and want to get a better feel for Mitch take a look at these 3 videos. Let me know if you come away as unimpressed as I was. He's just a guy, IMO, I don't see anything special & I see very few "Wow" type of throws or plays from him. I saw more "Wow" throws watching 1 half of a Mahomes game than I saw in 5 complete games of Tribusky's. Whatever team takes Mitch will be making a huge mistake, IMO, I just hope it's not the Bills. Just watch these 3 tapes and I think you'll agree this is not an NFL franchise signal caller. VT NC St. Duke
  16. Qb is far and away the most imoortant position in football. Bills currently have a QB who is average I will never fault the Bills for taking swings at QBs. Until we find a good one we are no where
  17. Trade down a few spots if you can get an additional 3rd round pick. Trade down 8-12 spots if you can get an additional 2nd round pick. Trade down to the bottom if tge 1st or top of 2nd if you can get an additiobal 3rd rounder this year plus a 1st rounder next yr (this would be my favorite scenario). Take Watson or Mahomes in the 1st. If both are gone and we dont go QB, I want Corey Davis. In the 2nd round i want some secondary help. Desmond King (Iowa) and Marcus Maye (Florida) are 2 guys I like. King is a ballhawk. If we dont go for a WR in the first 2 rounds my favorite round 3 candidates are ArDarius Stewart (Alabama), Cooper Kupp and Amara Darboh (Michigan). Stewart, a Greg Cosell favorite, has the ability to be a very good WR. Check out his tape on youtube. Very good after the catch. Kupp is strictly a slot WR, but I love his hands and change of direction. My point is a trade down gives us another whack at picking up a solid player in round 2 or 3. There are so many players that I like in the draft, so I love the idea of getting an extra pick.
  18. I know. I always preface this situation with accepting responsibility that I effed up. With that said you are not the only one that was absolutely shocked to hear about the extensive involvement, in time, money and resources that homeland security spent on my situation with counterfeit jerseys. Who would have ever thought that the department that was formed to protect Americans from what happened on 9/11 would be policing intellectual property rights for a multibillion corporation, on their own dime. Once again, I made a mistake and learned from that mistake, but the entire experience was very eye opening.
  19. Yes, you are probably right. Due to Manning's star status he will likely get the benefit of doubt and slip out of big trouble. There will be fall guys though, who will pay the price. In my situation, both homeland security and the intellectual property rights of the sports leagues came down on me with authority, and they absolutely had the right to do so, I was in the wrong. I do suspect, though, that the sports league will be much more forgiving to Eli, considering he's an actual ambassador of the brand.
  20. This is going to be a big problem for Eli Manning. This is fraud, and I'd imagine if Eli got caught this one time he's done it many times before. Add to that, these pieces of authentic signed gear go for a lot of money and he could be looking at a very high fraud loss amount. That e-mail of Eli asking for 2 helmets that look "game used" is the smoking gun. I, personally, faced a big legal problem for getting involved with knockoff Chinese NFL jerseys, so I fully understand how big of a problem this can become. IMO, this story has the potential to be much, much worse than what I experienced just because of who's involved and the increased deception of faking game used items which sell for a very large premium.
  21. Picking up those options does not force you to pay. If you decide you don't want to pay it you can cut the player and owe him nothing. I've heard Andrew Brandt discuss this many times, insinuating the teams that don't pick up options must really not like the player, because the option is not guaranteed and simply allows you another season to decide if you want to pay it. If the Bills are truly contemplating not picking up the option, which I find very hard to believe, it would indicate McDermott has complete control of this roster, and that he's thoroughly unimpressed with the player.
  22. Mayock's rankings as the draft nears becomes more about what he's hearing and where he thinks they come off the board. We've known for a while now that Hooker and Adams are going before Peppers, we've also heard for about a week now that teams really like Gareon Conley and he's likely going to be the 2nd CB selected.......Mike Mayock's rankings now accurately reflect that. Kind of group think, if you will.
  23. I enjoyed his pressers come draft time. Always seemed knowledgable and unlike Whaley I thought he had really good communication skills. Must've been from western PA, too, if I had to guess. He Had that twang/accent when he spoke, similar to Tom Donahoe. RIP brother
  24. Gareon Conley and Kevin King are my 2 favorite CB's in this draft. Both would fit right in as zone and off man corner's. I like Conley quite a bit, he was actually the "next great CB" coming out of Ohio St., prior to Hooker and Lattimore's huge surprise years. I'm pretty certain Conley will be the #2 CB selected in the draft and think he's going to be selected right around #10 if not #10. If Lattimore's hamstrings scare a few teams away it wouldn't be a total shocker if Conley is the 1st CB, but I think he'll be #2. #10 might seem a little high for Haason Reddick, but I think McDermott would have no problem taking him there. WLB who can rush the passer and cover RB's and TE's. This is a very important position in our new defense and right now we have a big hole there on the roster. So, my answer is Reddick and Conley. Ideally, you could trade down a few spots, pick up and extra 3rd rounder and get Reddick in the early teens, but I just don't have much faith in teams wanting to spend assets to move up. That's always a dumb idea, IMO, and I think teams are starting to wise up and realize the same.
  25. Marcell Dareus is an untradeable asset. The Bills failed to include language in his huge contract extension that protected the team against his own stupidity in not understanding when he can and can't smoke weed. The Bills are reimbursed for any games he misses due to suspension which is general practice, where they screwed up is his suspension does not void future guarantees. It was pathetic on the Bills part to not include such language for a guy that already has a positive pot test on his resume. He is one slip up (which he's proven he's really good at) from a long suspension. He makes a ton of money, and has very big cap hits. He came in last year totally out of shape. Go back and watch him walking onto the field in street clothes during the LA RAMS game. It was obvious this guy didn't take care of his body at all heading into last season, hence the immediate hamstring pull when he was able to practice. It's a shame too because Marcell has the pure ability to be a Hall of Famer, IMO, but he doesn't have the drive and want of a Hall of Famer which has become very obvious. I hope Sean McDermott has something up his sleeve to get Marcell in shape and motivated because he can be a monster, but who knows. Last year caused me to lose a lot of faith in Dareus, he's simply not a player you can rely on.
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