Brand J

Simmer down, guys, we’d be 0-5 with Mahomes. @GoBills808 said so!

Stay safe out there! Probably not the best time to say it, but I still don’t know why anyone would choose to live there. You guys get hit with a tropical storm or hurricane seemingly every year!

Allen and Mahomes definitely handle pocket pressure differently, no one can dispute that. Overall, their ceilings are comparable, but Patty’s floor is still much higher than Josh’s. Mahomes has never looked as bad as Josh has at his worst. I’m still loyal to the laundry over any player, so if you gave me the option to trade Josh for Patty - as annoying as Mahomes is - I’d do it in a heartbeat. It’s not that I don’t think Josh can win a championship with less around him, I do, but Patty has that extra little magic and consistency that I believe in a little bit more. And yes, I know he also has Chris Jones who has a knack for making the big defensive play at the most opportune time. Josh has never had that player on defense, but I’d still roll with Pat.

You notice how he whirly derbys in the pocket too, he doesn’t just beeline to the sideline when the pocket breaks down or he doesn’t like what he’s seeing. Brady was the master side stepper, Mahomes is the whirly derby. It’s annoying to watch him buy time by spinning circles around the DL and then fire an accurate pass for a first down.

I’ve got two favorite deep ones: the ball to Robert Foster against the Jags and the ball to Gabe Davis against KC in the playoffs. Both were thrown with such touch and accuracy that the receiver couldn’t help but catch it. It’s in Allen to complete these passes more often than not. He needs to figure out why he struggles mightily with them.

McD said in the presser he didn’t get to see either on replay, given we were in the Texans house, so he deferred to his people whether to challenge or not. They told him not to.

Have you played receiver? A deep ball that comes down on top of the receiver is the hardest one to catch. It’s similar to the one Diggs dropped against KC, those aren’t easy and even the best fail to bring them in. Josh could’ve made his job infinitely easier if he just simply allowed Hollins to run under the ball, throwing over his inside shoulder (the one Hollins was looking over before he was forced to adjust).

As much as the players around him need to get better, if Allen hits those two TDs to Hollins and Kincaid, the outcome would’ve been very different and this post wouldn’t exist.

We all respect the work that YPP, Cover 1, and all the other home analysts put into this, but YPP is absolutely wrong here. No one worth their salt would look at this play and tell you “yes, the ball should’ve been thrown to Mack’s outside shoulder, towards the sideline.” The difference between Stroud’s deep ball placement (inside) and Allen’s deep ball placement (outside) is a TD and an incompletion, respectively.

Maybe half the QBs in the league are to be honest.

Maybe Josh started the game already concussed from the hit he took a couple seasons ago in Green Bay? In all seriousness, I don’t know what it is, but he always comes out every September and lights it up, followed by a half a season of malaise, culminating in everything coming together once the playoffs are in picture. It’s the same pattern every year since he became a starter. What does it mean? Why is his focus gone? Why are we chalking up mind numbing play to concussions, or constantly making excuses for why his trajectory trends in a U shape? Why can’t he be an efficient robot like Tom Brady? 😂

Two problems: Josh isn’t trusting his protection and he isn’t fully comfortable with who he’s throwing to. He senses pressure even when it’s not there and is bailing from clean pockets - always to the right which reduces half the field. You see other QBs dance around in the pocket until someone shakes free, but Josh loves to head to that right sideline. The only way I can see a fix for this: in training camp, coach orders Josh to stay in the pocket, manipulate it if need be, because the defense will be allowed to bring him down. That won’t ever happen, so maybe there’s no fix. He’s what, 7 years into his career, so he’ll keep escaping to his right whether the pocket is clean or not.

The safety? C’mon, it’d be akin to Stroud throwing a deep ball towards the sideline to force Nico to adjust because Cole Bishop was inside. Seriously? The safety wasn’t part of the equation in either deep ball, both got roasted. A properly thrown ball to the inside with the same amount of distance is a ball Hollins can run under and catch, the same one Nico was afforded. This ball forces Hollins to slow and re-track as the ball is headed towards the sideline and gets on top of him. It was bad ball placement, period. Josh said he overthrew him in the presser. It wouldn’t have been an overthrow if it went over the proper shoulder.

I know it was David Edwards’s man that smacked Allen and took him out of the game for a bit. Edwards dropped his head when he realized Allen was hurt. The IOL is definitely weaker than the tackles and it’s mostly due to confusion than being physically overmatched, I think. Kromer has to raise their level of play.

Yeah I think when the coaches look at the tape and realize they were playing 9 on 11 in a situation where the offense only needs a quick 5 yards, they’ll bring at least one of them in the box to cover the QB scramble or the RB leaking out. I def wouldn’t go cover 0 in that situation though, that allows them quick yardage if the pass is complete.

The fact he couldn’t run UNDER the ball is what caused him to slow up and have to track it over the wrong shoulder. If it was thrown with the same amount of velocity over the correct shoulder he doesn’t need to slow and can simply run under it for a TD. I know it’s popular to tar and feather Hollins right now, but that play isn’t all on him. It’s on both, with more blame on ball placement.

I’ll take my chances on Houston completing a low percentage pass versus getting quick cheap yards for a closer FG. No team, NO team is thinking TD there. If it happens it’s due to a broken or extended play, all of which eats up the clock. A 60 yard FG is more likely to be completed than a singular throw for a TD in that situation.

Unbelievable. Because he was so concerned the Texans were gonna throw a bomb deep? The safeties aren’t even on the graphic they’re so far back! We’ve learned nothing since 13 seconds. Teams want cheap, quick yards, not time consuming plays. Bring your safeties up!

My fault, I should’ve also included that the pass was a bit out of reach, like the one Allen threw. If you still imagine Nico running full speed, and having to adjust to a pass thrown to the wrong shoulder just out of reach, you have a vivid imagination 😂 It’s not as easy a catch as some of you believe, even for professional receivers. That’s the entire point right there. Ball needs to go inside over his left shoulder, the one he’s looking over. Not to the outside headed to the sideline. If the ball was inside and just a touch overthrown, it’s MUCH easier to catch than over the outside shoulder.

No, sir. If a receiver is running down the right side of the field he’s not looking over his right shoulder for the ball. It’ll always be his left, that’s how you adjust to the pass. I don’t have the field view to see if a safety was even in the vicinity, but from the replays it doesn’t look like that was an issue. You know how Nico Collins roasted the secondary and was looking back over his left shoulder for the pass? Imagine how much more difficult the catch would’ve been if it was thrown over his opposite shoulder, headed toward the sideline. It was bad ball placement by Allen and it’s okay to admit that.

He didn’t track the ball well, but Allen could’ve made the pass far easier to catch. As it is, it’s coming down on top of him because the ball is heading to the sideline, over his outside shoulder. If Josh leads him down the field where Hollins can look over his left shoulder and simply run under the ball, versus having it thrown above him headed to the sideline, it’s an easier catch to make. Have you ever played receiver? The placement here makes the completion more difficult than it had to be.

Exactly how I saw it. A yard or two too far and over the wrong shoulder. Pass should’ve been lofted up there over his left shoulder so he wouldn’t have had to spin around. Shades of Gabe Davis at the end of the Eagles game. Allen seems to throw those bombs to the opposite shoulder the receiver is looking.

A Dexter Lawrence in this defense would be nice.

PA bootleg with Kincaid running his way would’ve been nice. Option to run or pass, but Brady has called runs on first down a crazy amount of times this year. I’d love to know the percentage.

I would’ve ran on first to see how the Texans were gonna play it. If they called a TO, I’d play action the 2nd down and look to pick up the first.