Coach Tuesday

yes

Interesting if you're right. That would be a big jump for him - that was the defense he had the most trouble with last year.

Who are these demons you battle, eball? Name them!

Actually the ONLY look that gave Allen trouble against the Phins was Cover 0 and I was surprised they didn’t use it more. Not sure he really solved it last week and he still has some work to do there (going back to last season). I expect we’ll see a lot more Cover 0 the next few weeks.

Football Outsiders analysis of the Rams Jared Goff is -- to steal a Ben Muth quote we posted in Audibles in Week 1 -- a JUGS machine playing quarterback. You point him the right way and hope nobody hits him before the throw goes off. There's nothing entertaining about him. He crumples whenever what has been pre-diagnosed falls apart. So it brings me no great pleasure to report that the Rams are at it again behind a more complex McVay offense and a running attack that is working without Todd Gurley.

That’s fine, they are unabashed Patriots fan stat geeks - totally good with calling them out for being mean. But slamming the entire analytical approach because it didn’t predict success for Allen is way too harsh.

Doubtful Akers plays but don’t sleep on Darrell Henderson - he hits the hole fast. Have been watching clips of him and he’s scary.

They didn’t do a unique analysis of Allen, eball. They ran the entire QB class through their model and wrote an article predicting outcomes based on past performance. His prospects were ranked very very low. They acknowledged today that their model may have failed. If that’s the case, they’ll try to fix it. I don’t know what your gripe is. Football Outsiders is an analytics website primarily for sports betting and fantasy football. They don’t have the bandwidth to go meet with Josh Allen’s pee wee football coach prior to running their predraft article on that year’s QB crop. if they had factored in that he was a late bloomer with relatively little football experience, the prediction would’ve been even more negative! They are pretty frank about not being perfect - no model is perfect. It just has to be better than any other model and if you think all of analytics is useless because it’s never perfect, well, I don’t know what to tell you.

This is your best one yet. Well done.

It’s just the Cali accent.

You are vastly oversimplifying it and it's partially because you're in a 2-0 frenzy this week and need to calm down a bit. It's perfectly ok to have a measured discussion about football, eball, even with the Bills off to a hot start. You're misunderstanding what FO does. They didn't simply say "he's inaccurate" and roll from there. They create (and constantly tweak, perhaps unlike PFF) predictive models based on historical performance. What they did was say, based on Josh Allen's college comparables, here is what our model predicts - and it wasn't an optimistic prediction. Predictive models aren't 100% accurate and, often, they need to be tweaked when an outlier like Josh comes along. I suspect, if Allen develops into a consistent high-performer, FO will acknowledge as much (as they started to this week) and take a hard look at how their model may have missed and what they can do to tweak it. Not everything is black and white. Life is complex. There are a bunch of very vocal posters here who HATE nuance more than anything else and it's exhausting.

Right. They factor in both the result and the intended result. It's a much better model (though still not perfect). That said, I'm amazed to see Josh ranked #1 this week in QB DVOA, never thought I'd see the day.

You are talking about PFF, not FO, right?

He made a real impact against the Dolphins!

Carr is dealing.

Zay Jones!

“They can’t stop Josh Allen, the Miami Dolphins - they have no answer for him.”

Does this mean we should take your view about Edmunds with a grain of salt?

Would pay good money to see a pull-up contest between Levi Wallace and Casey Middelstadt.

Probably an over-reaction by the coaches after the blitzes kept backfiring but goal was not to let them score quickly.

Not the kind of offense we struggle with tbh. Big receivers with QBs who get the ball out quickly and throw jump balls give us fits - hence yesterday’s issues. Rams are more traditional, scheme vs talent, Bills match up better. It’s odd but that’s how I see it.

If anything they were too aggressive on D yesterday. Really didn’t like the consistent double A-gap blitzes which Fitz kept burning them on. I think (without evidence) McD was livid at Frazier and became involved in the playcalling by the fourth quarter. They had no business blitzing up the middle and leaving the area inside the hashes exposed - that’s Fitz’s calling card. Baffled me.

Adam Gase ...too soon?

He can’t change direction quickly enough as it is, and it looks like he gained weight and is even more lumbering. Has had an even tougher time setting the edge so far this season.

Spain was throwing pancakes. But he did get pulled for Bates at the end of the game, perhaps just rotating.