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Everything posted by BillsFanForever19
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Keon Coleman success by route - Not pretty
BillsFanForever19 replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
Average to slightly above average is underselling a lot of good to very good players that have been Drafted. There aren't many teams that have Drafted multiple truly "elite" players and if they have - they haven't been picking where we pick on a regular basis. If the team was filled with average to slightly average players across the board, we wouldn't get to where we go consistently even with Josh Allen as our Quarterback. -
Keon Coleman success by route - Not pretty
BillsFanForever19 replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
And some fans give up on young players and declare "sometimes they are what they are" too quickly... Keon Coleman just turned 22 years old and is entering Year 2. Like many Rookies, it was a mixed bag. Some good, some bad. He was showing improvement before that brutal hit from Jordan Poyer derailed things. Was he the guy I wanted from the Draft or the guy most of us wanted? No. But the league is filled with players, even here in Buffalo, that took 2-3 years of development before they showed who "they are". Am I sure he's going to be great? No. But i'm definitely not ready to say he's a bust after one season. -
Keon Coleman success by route - Not pretty
BillsFanForever19 replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
I seriously can't believe i'm still talking about McConkey. The whole way leading up to the Draft I was saying "he's not an Outside WR, he's not a fit for us". People fought tooth and nail with me to say "he's an Outside WR". Some even saying "wait until we Draft him, i'll have the receipts loaded". Draft comes and he's on the board. We don't pick him. We pick someone who is a full time Outside WR. As expected. Because we already had Slot WR's and guys who will split time in the Slot and literally nothing else (save for Mack Hollins). The Chargers pick him in the 2nd. Proceed to use him in the Slot for 65% of his snaps. While having almost nothing on the Outside. The Chargers lose Josh Palmer this offseason. Rather than say they're going to switch McConkey to the Outside, they spend a 2nd Round Pick on a WR for the second year in a row to fill the role, after bringing back Mike Williams as their Tre White like insurance with us. Yet still, here we are, with people saying "it's criminal they didn't take McConkey". It's utterly baffling to me. If you need a Boundary CB, you don't take a Nickel. If you need a 1T DT, you don't Draft a 3T DT. If you need a Tackle, you don't Draft a Guard. If you need a Middle Linebacker, you don't Draft an Outside Linebacker. And if you need an Outside WR.... you don't Draft a Slot. McConkey was a WR, but he wasn't the right type of WR. It's as simple as that. -
Keon Coleman success by route - Not pretty
BillsFanForever19 replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
... @Billl's a Chiefs fan lol -
Keon Coleman success by route - Not pretty
BillsFanForever19 replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
He's had 2 years in the league. A pretty solid Rookie campaign and a step back in his Sophomore year. Which isn't uncommon. That's why the term "Sophomore Slump" exists. You don't take a guy in Round 1 and then trade him away for peanuts after just 2 seasons. You give a 1st at least 3 years. Whatever we could have got for him after his year last season wouldn't be much different after this season if we decide to move on. Joe Marino put it best on his podcast: "As far as trading Kincaid, I am far more concerned with missing out on Dalton Kincaid's potential ceiling than gaining whatever minimal Draft capital you would get by trading him now". Not everyone develops quickly. There were posters who argued Khalil Shakir brought nothing to the table and should have been cut after his Rookie season for Andy Isabella. Posters who felt Spencer Brown should have been benched or traded. Dion Dawkins had people here saying he should have been traded during the 2023 offseason bc he was underwhelming and looked "fat". Terrel Bernard was a "wasted pick". James Cook was looked at as a liability after his Rookie year. You have to give guys more than a year or two before you determine what they definitively are or aren't. And the higher the investment, the longer the rope. Hell, Elam was given 3 years and he couldn't even get on the field. -
They should have revised it more. At least at the guaranteed money level. 5.42m guaranteed on a 6.69 contract makes his deal almost fully guaranteed. I may have still signed him. But i'd have given myself more of an out in case the Draft board fell a certain way, or someone became available after the Draft that we could have all year, and/or another issue with him pops up. If he or his agent balked at it, i'd have said "go out there and see what you can get after your suspension was announced and give us a call back with those numbers". I wouldn't have guaranteed more than 3m.
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Keon Coleman success by route - Not pretty
BillsFanForever19 replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
Dude - McConkey was right there and they chose someone else. If they felt McConkey was just as good of a fit, they'd have taken him. He had Coleman on pretty much every metric, except for size and fit for what we needed. It's funny that you're telling me I "can't make that assumption". Meanwhile, you're assuming that he can be a full time Outside WR - even though his Scouting Report said otherwise. Even though when he got to the league, he was used otherwise. Even when their Outside guys were less than desired. And even after losing one, rather than moving him there, they spent a 2nd Round Pick (a year after spending a 2nd on McConkey) for a True Outside WR and then also brought back Mike Williams as insurance. As for your other point, you haven't seen Shakir catch the ball downfield? I can think of a number of times just off the top of my head. Offensive Scheme plays a large part in that metric as well. We run a scheme in which most of our plays are short to intermediate passing. The long ball isn't Josh's bread and butter. You know who does like that though? Justin Herbert. There are a number of Slot WR's that have longer average depth of target. That doesn't make them an Outside WR. This idea that you can take a guy that isn't even 50/50 on the Outside and make him a full time WR is the true assumption. One in which Scouts and his Drafting team have thus far not agreed with. Posters don't want to do that because most of them had a hard on for McConkey pre-Draft. Even before he was used as a predominantly slot WR by LA, they were being told that's what he was and refused to believe it. It's baffling to me that after they've seen it at the NFL level, they still argue that they know more than NFL Scouts and Coaches. They also don't want to do that because if they compare Coleman to the WR's they should compare him to, they can't make the argument that it was a mistake to take him as well as they can by pointing to what McConkey did. Bc the stats of those guys are somewhere between marginally better than Coleman or worse than Coleman. -
Even if I decided that 11 games plus the Playoffs was worth keeping him, I would have lowered his guarantees to a level in which I could easily move on depending on how the Draft fell and what may become available after the Draft. It's one thing to decide to go ahead with the deal. It's another to go ahead with a 1 yr/6.69m deal and guarantee 5.42m of it. That's the real head scratcher to me.
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Short of hopping in a time machine and watching each supplement he took into his body and the circumstances surrounding it - how would they discover that? You think a "trainer" that is being paid by Hoecht wouldn't lie for them and say "oh yeah, that was my mistake. There was something in it that I didn't know was on the list"? Ultimately, it really doesn't matter if they knowingly or unknowingly took a banned substance. The perception is the same and the punishment is the same. I just think it's ridiculous to not question whether he or Ogunjobi are telling the truth when literally everyone who gets popped has the same song and dance explanation. And especially to imply as the poster who I initially replied to did that Rice's punishment should be based on Hoecht's suspension while assuming their innocence.
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Keon Coleman success by route - Not pretty
BillsFanForever19 replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
No, he's not. If he was someone that is that good and just as good on the Outside, he'd be on the Outside full time for the Chargers. Instead, he took 65% of his snaps from the Slot - while having guys like Quentin Johnston and Josh Palmer on the Outside. And when they lost Palmer on the Outside, did they announce they're moving McConkey over there? No. They spent their 2nd Round Pick on Tre Harris and brought back Mike Williams. Why? Bc McConkey plays his best Football out of the Slot. Ladd McConkey is a great WR. But there's a difference between a True Outside WR and a guy like McConkey. In certain situations, against certain DB's, McConkey can take reps on the Outside. But he's small and has difficulty with bigger, physical CB's. He's not a guy you can expect to take 75% or more on the Outside. We lost Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis. Two true Outside WR's. And all we had was Slot targets or guys who are primarily slot that you can move around now and again (like McConkey) in Khalil Shakir, Dalton Kincaid, and Curtis Samuel - who was said would be used on the Outside and still worked out of the Slot on 42% of snaps (plus snaps out of the backfield). We couldn't Draft another Slot guy or even another Tweener. We had that covered and that's pretty much all we had. We needed replacements for Diggs and Davis on the Outside full time. McConkey, as good as he is, isn't that. It's fair to question whether Coleman will be good. But he shouldn't be compared to McConkey. The guys to be 20/20 hindsight over if he isn't would be Xavier Worthy, Xavier Legette, Ja'Lynn Polk, Adonai Mitchell, and Troy Franklin. -
This is again assuming he's telling the truth. Again, *every* single person who gets busted for PED's has a similar story. Bc of that, no one really gets the benefit of the doubt. Even if he is telling the truth, he's just as much to blame. You know that there's a laundry list of things that will get you suspended. You shouldn't put any foreign substance in your body, supplement or not, without knowing every ingredient that's in it. Simply trusting someone else, an employee, a friend, whomever - and not looking into it yourself is DUMB! I can't roll my eyes harder at the "oh it wasn't my fault, it was my trainers fault". You're a grown ass adult. A Professional Football player. In a league where you're being regularly tested. And you're just blindly ingesting things?
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Purdy and 49’ers extension. 5 years 265 million
BillsFanForever19 replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
Another example of why people who think big contracts at the top don't rise all ships underneath are wrong. -
I mean, I don't know anyone that's going to pass up on a good Steak for a Burger. The thing with Steak is it's easier to F up and generally way more expensive. All things equal though, a good steak crushes a good burger and it's not even close.
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You are aware that's what literally everyone who gets popped for PED's says, right? It wasn't Ogunjobi's fault either supposedly. If they took everyone at their word that it wasn't their fault, no one would be suspended for PED's and the league would be full of Schwarzenegger looking dudes. With how strict the NFL Testing of today is, if a player puts something in their body without knowing literally everything that's in it or blindly takes something at the suggestion of another person that isn't a team doctor - they're either a.) pretty dumb or b.) flat out trying to skirt the system.
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NFL to Have Vote That Would Alter Playoff Seeding
BillsFanForever19 replied to Doc Brown's topic in The Stadium Wall
I don't know. it would take us winning the division by not a lot and there to be a Division that has multiple teams in it with a better record than us. That seems to be a pretty unlikely scenario for this current team and what the records are for Wild Card teams generally. -
Von got suspended so quickly bc it was announced there'd be no criminal or civil charges almost immediately. The league doesn't suspend until the legal process has completely played out. Save for incredibly heinous acts that will have a player put on the Commissioner's Exempt list until the legal process plays out.
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Does the placement of the bye week really matter?
BillsFanForever19 replied to Billsfed1's topic in The Stadium Wall
Mentioned this in another post, but one plus in the Bye Week coming after Week 6 is that it gives Hoecht and Ogunjobi two full weeks in the building before they hit the field. It may allow both to hit the ground running in Week 8 with extra preparation. -
He was used as essentially another Offensive Lineman on the field. I wouldn't want Josh to be looking his way on anything but his last read.
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You'd think James Cook walked up to you and your family, stared you dead in the eyes, and then slapped your mother across the face. I just don't get the anger and multitude of demeaning posts about him. It's just business my dude. Like it or not, he was our best offensive weapon last season and likely will be this year too. I look forward to your posts when he wins us games this year, like he did last season.
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I'm not saying Douglas and Henry are the same caliber of player. The difference between Douglas hitting the wall and Henry hitting the wall is that Douglas doing so equates to being completely toast and out of the league - wherein Henry losing a step would still have him as a servicable RB. But your argument is he'll still be the force he was last year for up to two years. I think that's a pretty big gamble to take. He definitely doesn't have to "get comfy with 12m at the max". If Josh Jacobs is at 12m and 29 year old Alvin Kamara is at 12.5 - he will easily surpass that. Derrick Henry will be 32 in the Playoffs this season. That's why he's making 15m instead of 21m like Barkley. You know that there's much more that goes into contract value than stats and performance. If Cook hits the market next offseason after another season like last year, I would bet you Dollars to Donuts he's exceeding 12m and probably by more than a couple million.
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He'll be 32 when they're in the Playoffs this season. While I agree it's probably likely he'll still be a force this season, I don't agree that there's often signs the previous year before players hit the wall. Players seemingly hit the wall out of nowhere more often than not. Especially at RB and especially when you get years into the 30's. Again, I wouldn't bet money on that happening this season. But I wouldn't bet money against it either. And I certainly wouldn't say with any kind of certainty he has another 2 full years and at 33 he'll still be going as strong as last season.
