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kitchen sink

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Everything posted by kitchen sink

  1. I hope this helps; Garrett, is the best at beating double teams, even though his is one of the most frequently double teamed players.
  2. My guesstimate is that due to the growing use of analytics, the value of speed wide receivers might continue to decline (it might also be a reason for increased interest in high contested catch rate receivers). The reason for this is when you look at the analytics, it is much better to force a team to make as many first downs as possible to score. As such, teams might play more and more two high shell and other over the top defensive alignments. The data I have seen shows that the probability of getting a first down from 1st and 10 is 66%. Based on this, every additional first down required to score reduces the probability of the next first down by 33%, as shown in the table below. . This is also the math behind what makes chunk plays (20 plus yards), which reduce the number of first downs required to score, so big.
  3. Maybe just my opinion, but when you murder people in cold blood you should lose everything.
  4. I hope they didn't count me because I did not watch one second of that joke.
  5. My only concern with this is that we would be giving the other teams too much practice at stopping the play.
  6. Go and watch anything on YouTube about the game.
  7. I would need to see the statistics on this, before I could comment.
  8. If there is something other than this that I could care less about than this I don't know what it would be.
  9. Aim low miss low. I guess 100 billion dollars 🤣
  10. I have been so confused on the Bills this year. I mean Coach McDermott and GM Brandon Bean actually know their team better than all the NFL talking heads? How can this be? 🤣
  11. Welcome to the world of artificial intelligence. Is someone going to tell Jerry Seinfeld that he is engaged to Josh Allen?🤣
  12. I suspect that Josh Allen, who has a much more informed position than any of us, would disagree with you on this.
  13. 1. Nope 2. Nope These are some of the most interesting post on the site for me. I always have these questions in my mind about what experience people have on which to base their perspective. Have they ever supervised another person? Have they ever coached a team at any level? Have they ever supervised 80 plus other persons? Have they ever supervised a bunch of exceptionally high paid athletes in arguably the most competitive and highly scrutinized sport in the USA? I have always thought that most folks would have to answer no to ail of these questions, with everyone answering no to the last. As such, our perspectives are not very well based, but it does make for fun conversation and debate!
  14. For all of you who replied that the player was going for the ball and that this is no big deal, I disagree. If a player is going at a QB to block a pass, but hits the QB in the head it is a penalty. This should be no different. As a player you are responsible for the outcome of your actions.
  15. Sorry if there is another thread on this, but I did not see it if there is. I am not sure how many folks caught this, but on his touchdown run the second defender to hit him at the goal line #23 punched him in the head. It was a glancing shot, but if you carefully watch the video you will see Josh's head snap to his right. I think there was some discussion about the Colts defender throwing multiple bunches at Josh and hitting him in the head last week. This is starting to become a trend that can not continue! I am sure that both players would say they were trying to punch the ball out, but they need to be fined, severely, if they miss and hit a player in the head.
  16. This is based on what data and evidence, please? And please do not use team metrics like super bowl wins or appearances.
  17. Through his first six seasons Josh has averaged 8.83 rushing TDs per year. For 2024 he is on pace for 8.5 TDs. If he hits 8 for 2024, then he only needs to average 3 per year for the next 5 years to be at 76 (he would be 33 years of age). If he gets no more rushing TDs in 2024, he needs to average 4 per year for the next 5 years to be at 76. Barring a career ending injury, and based on the way he approaches the game, I think it is more likely than not that he ends his career as the all time leader.
  18. I would add one penalty for just 5 yards, when was the last time you saw that in a Bills box score?
  19. Per Over the Cap: Spencer Brown signed a 4 year extension with the Buffalo Bills worth $72 million in new money with $19.855 million fully guaranteed at signing including a $6.4 million signing bonus. Brown is due a $16 million option bonus in 2025, and a $7.1 million roster bonus at the beginning of the 2026 league year. The contract includes per game roster bonuses (up to $510,000) in 2025-2028, and yearly workout bonuses of $250,000 in 2025-2028.
  20. Spencer Brown signed a 4 year , $72,000,000 contract with the Buffalo Bills, including $6,400,000 signing bonus, $19,855,000 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $18,000,000. In 2024, Brown will earn a base salary of $1,055,000, a signing bonus of $6,400,000 and a workout bonus of $39,765, while carrying a cap hit of $2,593,801 and a dead cap value of $20,074,036.
  21. I think you need to see my reference to "opportunity cost" in the context of the full reply. That context being there is no better option based on evidence, just taking a chance on someone else. As such, you are wasting on opportunity to see if a coach generally regarded as one of the ten best in the NFL can figure out the last few items needed to win it all. It would be interesting to see how many coaches have even had a chance at a super bowl with the same team after their first seven years, as I would expect the turnover to limit that number.
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