PBF81

As to our offense, it will be interesting. Despite being a negligible part of our cap space, for as much of a whipping boy Davis is for the forum, he's largely been responsible for our playoff success in the passing game. Over our past four playoff games he has 18 catches for 389 yards and 6 TDs. He has a 70% Catch%. Say what we want about him during the regular season, he's been money in the playoffs and the sole reason why were even in the 13-Seconds game. All of our other WRs combined have 43 catches for 564 yards and 2 TDs. The TDs were by Beasley and Sanders. Beasley vs. Miami last season, Sanders vs. NE in '21. Either way, that's an average of 11 catches for 141 yards and one TD every other game.

Good link. Having said that, this entire discussion isn't complete without a comp of positions, starter-to-starter. The Chiefs' receivers aren't exactly striking fear into the hearts of opposing defenses this season. Mahomes has about 2/3 of the passing yards that he's had the past several seasons, about 75% of the passing 1st-Downs, and a significantly lower Rating, YPA, YPC, INT%, and Success% than any other season. It's not the Chiefs' offense that should be a problem.

Agree The Chiefs' situation isn't ideal either. An aging vet TE and a rookie WRs are their only consistently reliable weapons on offense in terms of receiving. Imagine if that's all we had, the amount of kleenex that would be needed. All we're missing on offense and remarkably, many seem to think that it's addition by subtraction. As to Davis, for a WR that's put up three times more receiving TDs than the rest of the WR field combined over the past two seasons' playoffs, about 2/3 of the total yards of all other WRs, including Diggs, and with a 70% or so catch% in the playoffs, we'll see how it plays out, but Sherfield ain't gonna fill in. Mahomes has passed for more than 306 yards only once this season, and that against one of the league's worst pass Ds. We have one of the best. Mahomes has also had only two games with more than 2 passing TDs this season. Again, both against siht Ds, one of which is the same as the aforementioned. So yeah, no complaining, no excuses. It's also difficult to imagine that this won't be the most hyped up crowd at OBD ever. The fans in attendance will be doing their part in spades.

Numerous crappy teams and teams with scoring defenses ranked in the 20s, two in the low 20s, have held KC to 21 or fewer points. Six in fact. The 30th, 17 points. The 27th, 19 and 9 points. The 24th, 13. The 23rd, 20. If our 4th ranked scoring defense cannot manage to hold them to 21 or fewer, even with injuries, which are common to every team ... In fact, one of the teams we beat to get here, a win without which we wouldn't have made it, had their starting QB, a top one, their only decent starting WR, also a top one, and one of the best DEs in the league all out. As merely one example. Same with our offense in our own house. KC is as offensively weak as we'll ever see them with Mahomes as QB. GO BILLS!!! Get this done!

LOL Where the hell did that come from. To start, I was responding to another's comment in a similar vein. Some of you guys, you can't seem to comment without making it personal. Sorry to disappoint you, I've enjoyed it quite thoroughly. See if you can wrap your mental arms around the fact that if we can't win today then we'll have won a grand total of one D-Round game on McD's entire watch. IDK, maybe multiple thoughts push you over the top in terms of capability. LOL Too much to grasp, along with the ramifications of it? Honestly, if you can't argue the topics, why bother? I truly feel sorry for anyone that struggles to do that.

We won for straight AFC Titles then, so not even. It's quite arguable that this team is better than the '91 team that spanked KC in the playoffs 37-14.

Or even an AFC Championship. This is a huge game for McD. We're the better team today, at home, this will likely be the most insane 12th man ever, and they are no excuses, not even injuries. GO BILLS!!!

I'm tellin' ya, can you imagine Allen on that Niner offense with that offensive coaching. Don't know about that 6 games thing w/ Purdy though, he's good as well. NFL records being set with Allen though!

Outrageous! 😎

He's been planning this for years.

LOL If that ain't the truth. Just like the TV announcers contradicting themselves repeatedly and from week to week. e.g., That's why [insert team name] can come back in games, because of [insert player's name] ability to step it up in the 2nd half. vs. ... 10 minutes later, ... That's why [team] struggles, because opponents focus on [insert same player's name] and shut him down, and in the 2nd half they have to start going to [team facet] more, because he's ineffective. It's mindboggling. The schizophrenia is hilariously amusing.

The best course of action upon entering the GDT is to make damn sure you've got a good sense of humor. The GDT is comedy gold! Gold Jerry!

Generally speaking I agree with most of that. I will say however, that the past seasons' success of the Chiefs seems to be leading the charge on any projections for this season. Yes, obviously. But keep in mind, we're not trying to defend HIll and Waddle here either. The only non-JAG WR on their entire team is Rice, who's a rookie and has already outperformed rookie expectations for any rookie. Now he faces his first post-season game ever, in as adversarial conditions as he'll ever see in the NFL much less his rookie season. It's far from unreasonable to suspect that our depth CBs can cover their JAG WRs. Hyde and Poyer are both fine, which is probably more important in this particular game in talking about matchups. Kelce's had his worst season in years. He's at less than half of his TD production over the three seasons prior to this one. His yards-per-reception are at a career low. His 1st-Down production is the worst it's been since he took off as a TE. This Chiefs' passing team is far from the best we've faced on the season. It shouldn't require an all-star secondary to defend against it. After Rice there's not a WR worth mentioning, as pointed out at the beginning of the season, and again, he's a rookie facing a game that he's never experienced before. If we cannot at minimum match our rushing output from the first game, then it's high time to have a serious conversation about our coaching on the offensive side. Agreed, per above. This is where McD earns his status and proves to all of his skeptics that he's the one for the job. Pacheco did not play in our first game, but if we can limit him, then we should be fine. He's a dual-threat. Kelce's on the downward trend and Rice is a rookie, as mentioned. Pacheco is key against our 15th Total Yards and 28th Yards-per-Carry against rushing D that quite frankly, hasn't faced much top-10 rushing competition, either from a team or a RB perspective. Philly and Miami are the only two teams among the top-12 rushing teams that we've faced in YPG. Fins 6th, Eagles 8th. Neither are in the playoffs at this point. As well, we've faced only two teams, the same two, ranked among the top-12 in Yards-per-Carry rushing. Perhaps not directly, but obviously stats have a lot to do with it. The coaching staff is obviously using metrics, aka stats, to formulate their game-plan as we interact here. At the end of the day however, if we cannot hang at least what we did in KC in terms of rushing on them, here, in Buffalo, then it's time to have a more serious conversation about our coaching, particularly on offense. Also, Mahomes and the Chiefs are 7-0 when they have 266+ passing yards. They've crossed the 300 passing yard mark only twice, against the Chargers and Bears, and neither of those two teams has a good defense. Even banged up, ours is better. Of those aforementioned teams, only one, Jax, finished with a winning record. So, at the end of the day, if Mahomes has a big passing D, and we cannot run effectively against them, then we'll be in the shallow end of the talent pool in terms of teams that failed to do so, and again, it will be time to have a more serious discussion re: our coaching. I'm expecting a 20 point victory by us. Finally, the thing that I've not seen a lot of mention of, is Davis in addressing your concerns about our passing game vs. their secondary. Strangely, Davis has been our most consistent performer in the past two seasons' playoffs, obviously not including our last game since he didn't play. In his four playoff games otherwise, with 26 targets, 18 catches (69% Catch%), for 389 yards, and 6 TDs. He posted two 100-yard games with 4 and 1 TDs, more than even Diggs. He was the sole reason alongside Allen as to why we've won our only D-round matchup under McD. In those same four games, our other WRs collectively had 33 catches for 564 yards and 2 TDs, with a much lower aggregate catch %. Those 2 TDs came from Sanders in '21 and Beasley last season. No one currently on the roster as a WR has done much in the playoffs. We can argue as to why, but that's a fact. Diggs has had one good game in those four. Last week our leading WR went 7 for 52, no TDs. That was Diggs. I for one am curious as how it goes w/o Davis, but also why that is. 48 hours from now we'll know more. GO BILLS!!!

See my post here as my reaction to that. I agree with the above to a large extent, the first sentence to a T. But we still have a worse record than last season, with an easier schedule. In fact, this schedule is the easiest we've had since 2008. https://www.twobillsdrive.com/community/topic/252672-this-is-why-our-team-is-in-good-hands/page/2/#comments

Once again, they're a .500 team that has beaten one and only one playoff team all season, Miami, which again, probably says more about Miami than it does about KC. We appear to be notably better than Miami. And once again, we're talking about our offense, not our back-7, the latter part of which has been injured to one extent or another for two seasons now. Poyer and Hyde are both fine, so I'm not sure I'd say decimated. And yes, we might be down our 3 starting CBs, but that's doubtful as they're all listed as Questionable. Either way, that has nothing to do with whether we produce a balanced offensive game-plan or not. Sorry, but relying on a defense, at pretty much full strength, that allowed 24 points to a team led by a 7th-round rookie QB draftee in his third, and only second consecutive start, at home, in the snow and cold, and 27 points, 30 1st-Downs, and 412 yards the following week to a team featuring an backup OL, doesn't appear to be a wise thing to do, particularly when that same defense has worse season metrics than that prior defense. Offense will determine this game for us. If all we can do is muster 14 offensive and need STs or D TDs to win this, then good luck to us. Having said that, hopefully Brady has come up with something a little more creative than merely allowing Josh to ad hoc everything and we'll produce a balanced attack with 150 plus in the rushing category against the league's 17th ranked yardage rushing D and 24th ranked yards-per-carry rushing D. Many of these discussions go on as if KC has no weaknesses. They have plenty, to be exploited by those knowing how to do so, this season. To start, their rush D sucks. Their WRs suck with the exception of the developing rookie Rice, Kelce's play has clearly diminished as should have been expected at his age of 34. The home crowd is going to be raucous and IMO the harshest yet for an opponent. It's difficult to envision many Chiefs fans in attendance either. It's tough to envision them scoring much despite a few injured players that also might all play. Against playoff teams during the entire season, the Chiefs have put up 14 & 26 offensive against Miami, 20 against Detroit, 17 against Philly, and 19 against Green Bay, and 17 against us. That's an average of 19 PPG against playoff caliber competition, and of those defenses, we have the best, and it's hardly as if the others are barking up our rear in the rankings. 26, 20, 19, 17, 17, and 14. Philly has the 30th ranked scoring D, Detroit the 23rd, Miami the 22nd, Green Bay the 10th, and us the 4th. IOW, if we allow more than 20 points at home, with Mahomes having a difficult time hearing himself much less his team hearing him, and if we ourselves cannot put up at least that 20, then expect a fully justifiable cascade of criticism. Having said that, I expect our O to put up that 30+ in this game and KC to get sent home unceremoniously packing. GO BILLS!!!

We have almost no significant injuries on offense. And our DL is just fine. We're talking about scoring on KC.

You may want to reserve judgement until after the playoffs, whenever that is. We've played and beaten only two of the current field of playoff teams remaining. They are the two weakest offenses among them. We barely beat both. One of those teams got in at 9-8. Our D hasn't been known for stepping up in the playoffs. We've had the easiest schedule we've had since 2008. Those are facts. We're all optimistic but let's see if McD can get a monkey off his back.

From Pegula yes, from fans& media no.

It certainly raises the question why we don't perform better in January then. Either we start winning some January games (plural) or that's going to be the topic du jour for many jours.

They is no reason why we should lose this game, none! KC is both weak contrasted with prior seasons and overrated. We are at home. They're 0-1 against playoff teams on the road, having lost to GB 27-19. We can cross that bridge once we get there, but one single Divisional round win in 6 seasons when you have Josh Allen definitely invites questioning at the absolute minimum. Having pointed that out, GO BILLS!!!

I'm not sure that, and given our season history here, that we can afford to sleep on any QB. ... most of all Mahomes. Just sayin'.

I wouldn't sleep on Mahomes coming back even if we're up by 17. Per my initial post here, if we go up and start playing conservatively on offense to "kill the clock" or whatever, IMO that will be a mistake. We need to try to score on every single drive. Otherwise, to add to what you said, TOs will also be key. We are 8-2 when the opponent commits 2+ TOs. We are 3-5 when we commit 2+ TOs. So there's that.

My gut's telling me that this is an incredibly winable game against a team that's incredibly overrated. To start, the Chiefs have been playing .500 ball since the last weekend in October. Their offense has averaged 20 PPG over that stretch. They've beaten only one playoff team, Miami, despite having beaten them twice, which probably says more about Miami than it does about KC. Of their 6 losses, three were against playoff teams (GB, Detroit, Buffalo) and the other three were against bubble playoff teams. If our offense is schemed properly and we take advantage of matchups and adjust accordingly, not merely at the half, but in-game, there's no reason why we cannot hit the 30 mark. The Packers hung 27 on them and we're better offensively, when we choose to be, than they are. Bothering me is that in the Pitt game it seemed as is up by 11 in a game very much still in play, it seemed as if we went into run-the-clock-out mode in the middle of the 3rd. Our team is solid. We've won one Divisional Round game in 7 seasons under McD. If anything prevents us from winning this one it'll be coaching as McD is going up against one of the best coaches in the game today. Offense is our strength, particularly now with some injuries on D. The DL is fine and our secondary's been banged up to one extent or another for two seasons now. It's the LBs and they're questionable, but either way, Klein comes in as well. Not a great matchup for Kelce, but as I've pointed out all season, Kelce at 34 would begin to diminish and the WRs that KC has are JAGs other than for Rice who's come on, but is still a rookie. He's good, but far from great. KC depends wildly upon Pacheco playing well to win. Furthermore, KC is 3-5 when they allow 118+ rushing. 1-3 when they allow more than 123. If we can't get 150 yards rushing with Cook having come off a decent game vs. Pitt and Allen, it would be stunning. With our fans being rabid, I see a repeat of the '91 season playoff game where DeBerg couldn't hear himself think. ... again, assuming that Brady/McD don't shell-up once we get a marginal lead.

Look over your head, ... that thing with contrails behind it is humor.

If you want to save some money, just go to Dollar Tree and buy a dish for a buck-and-a-quarter.