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Everything posted by PBF81
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What kind of season are you expecting from Josh Allen this year?
PBF81 replied to Alphadawg7's topic in The Stadium Wall
Not true. To start you said December, so let's keep it to that. (and January) Dec 2023: 1,092 Yards, 5 TDs, 5 INTs, 81.8 Rating Dec 2022: 1,100 Yards, 12 TDs, 3 INTs, 100.3 Rating Dec 2021: 1,336 Yards 11 TDs, 5 INTs, 80.0 Rating Dec 2020: 1,516 Yards, 15 TDs, 2 INTs, 117.5 Rating The average person would likely see a significant difference between last season's December games and those of the other three seasons. His average TDs/game alone is 2.5 times greater in the past three seasons. I suppose the definition of similar can be argued. This past season, the Dallas game was largely D and rushing that did the lifting there. His KC game was among his worst on the season and was easily his worst passing game ever against KC. His game vs. the Chargers was not good, particularly considering how terrible the Charger D was. His game against NE was his worst game on the season. His season-ender against Miami was also one of his worse games vs. Miami and he had some absolutely horrible throws in the red zone. Our Brady O scored only 14 points and needed that Harty PR-TD to win it. -
Really? Shanahan's done notably better with Purdy and Garropalo. Lewis did better with Dalton. Joe Gibbs did phenominally with Rypien, Williams, and Theismann, none of which are even in the conversation with Allen. Johnson did incredibly better with Aikman. Harbaugh did notably better with Flacco. There are others. That is simply not true. You're implying that Reid was no better in the playoffs with McNabb than McD's been with Allen, which is ridiculously false. Just look up their playoff records and performances in each of their first 7 seasons. That's such an intellectually lazy defense.
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LOL, it is a key difference. I made that change. I thought that was implied however since the context was playoff wins. Not our losses. But you implicitly raise a good point since the OP discussion is about McDefense's Growth/Expectations. Good coaches don't simply throw up a good game once in a while in the playoffs, the expectations, particularly with Allen, are to bring home the bacon. Who imagines that after 15 seasons of coaching, with Allen as a QB, that if we never even win an AFC CG, and finish that stretch with 8 or 9 wild-card round wins, while having played some good games in the playoffs close otherwise, would be considered acceptable in hindsight. We're at the midway point now with our crowning playoff achievement, amidst little else, being 13-Seconds. We're already looking at the 8th time's the charm now in the eyes now with a depleted team even. It's easy to envision the bawling over not having a bonafide #1 occurring pretty soon this season.
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What kind of season are you expecting from Josh Allen this year?
PBF81 replied to Alphadawg7's topic in The Stadium Wall
That sound great in defense, but did you actually look at the data as to whether or not that was actually true/factual? Take a look when you have a few, you'll find that it's the polar opposite of what you just said there in seasons 2020 - 2022. -
This is going to be a pivotal season for him. The narratives on Brady contradict reality. The team's MO is changing completely. It's been a very ad hoc situation when we've been successful, and come playoff time that simply let Allen do what he does, but that's not really coaching. Now we're switching from whatever mishmash that it's been to a c. '90s ball-control power running game featuring a passing game that Allen's never mastered. Whether he masters that or not remains to be seen. Whether Brady's worsening play at the end of last season is more the steady state than the Jets & Dallas games remains to be seen. At the end of the our talent on offense is not better, even by subtraction as so many like to point out, and our MO is not what suits Allen's style, and our defense, which rarely shows up in the playoffs anyway, has changed notably. Whether that's a formula for improvement and continued success, we'll find out in a matter of months. Also, whether Allen continues to run the ball an average 9 times/game as he did under Brady, for what would be about 150 carries on the season, remains to be seen. Is Davis capable of running the ball like Allen does in his place, again, we'll find out. Lots of unknowns this season. Perfection is one thing. Not making blundering errors is not synonymous with lacking perfection. Just sayin'.
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Funny how that expectation didn't arise until Allen hit stride. How quickly many forget how the heat was on McD prior to Allen's breaking out in 2020. In a win. I'll make the change. I don't consider losing taking it to anyone. And yeah, the 13-seconds game, but doesn't that support the playoff argument. I mean snatching defeat out of the jaws of victory should hardly be a feather in a coach's cap. LOL
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He's going into his 8th season as head coach. How is that measured? Wins & Playoff performance? Nearly half of Allen's passing TDs and yardage are gone. It's easy to suggest that someone will replace that, it's another thing to do it. For years we were crying about a #1 WR, got Diggs, who according to everyone made a difference, now we're expected to believe that it doesn't matter again. LOL Brady's got a huge mystery meat component to him. Will that impact the teflon-coated McD if he fails to live up to the hype? It's pretty clear that we're moving in the direction of being a ball-control shorter passing team with a greater emphasis on running. Is that the formula that has made us successful to the extent that we've been successful under McD to date? The data to reach an obvious conclusion is readily available. BTW, 4 of those 5 playoff wins, apart from three having been against teams featuring backup caliber QBs, and two nearly having been lost to inferior teams, were against weaker wild-card teams. Not once in the playoffs in seven seasons have we taken it to a comparable or stronger team for a playoff win. One could argue Baltimore, but given the way that Jackson chokes come playoff time and who is the antithesis of Allen in the playoffs, that's an uphill argument.
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Historical Fiction: How would drought coaches have fared with Josh Allen?
PBF81 replied to Chaos's topic in The Stadium Wall
Shouldn't the question be whether or not McD is getting more out of Allen than the other coaches would have? Why would a defensive-mind head coach with all but zero knowledge of offense possibly be in the running for such a distinction? The other question should be, how many games/season is Allen pretty much singlehandedly responsible for winning by himself without a great defensive performance or much other help from the running game, and in some seasons, mediocre OL play. Another perspective would be to ask how McD's Bills would be with Fitzpatrick, Orton, Manuel, Bledsoe, or Edwards. It's not really fair to suggest that he would suck with them but he's the reason for our success with Allen. I'd like to see what anyone with any kind of significant track record of successful offensive regimen would do with an O like this. We've never had anyone like that leading the O. Dorsey was OJT, so is Brady. Daboll's sucked, as in bottom-dwelling, without Allen everywhere else. -
What kind of season are you expecting from Josh Allen this year?
PBF81 replied to Alphadawg7's topic in The Stadium Wall
The same as what though? His TD and yardage difference in averages under Dorsey v. Brady were pronounced. People, not necessarily you, seem to be taking Allen's entire season numbers while ignoring the quite significant drop in passing production under Brady into any account whatsoever. That will be both the key to his as well as the team's season. If he succeeds to a significant extent it'll end up being a monumental development for him. -
What kind of season are you expecting from Josh Allen this year?
PBF81 replied to Alphadawg7's topic in The Stadium Wall
That part of your post is an interesting thing. That's actually true (6 last season, of 18), but is it actually Davis' fault? I know it's a mini-narrative. Davis wasn't well liked, but he will be missed from a performance perspective. Anyway, I looked at last season's INTs from Allen. The first two were thrown into double-coverage. The third (Cin) was sorely underthrown by Allen otherwise it's a good 25-yard gain. The fourth was a literal clothes-line into heavy coverage on 3rd-n-4. That play should have gone to Murray in the right flat, not sure he'd have gotten the first, but he was the only WR open. And if that's one of Brady's 3rd-n-4 plays, .... LOL & SMH. The fifth and sixth were @ Miami and both were off of Allen's back foot and absolutely atrocious passes. The first, if it's a good throw it's another TD to Davis. Point being that they weren't really Davis' fault except for maybe one, they were all on Allen and . If we want to blame Allen for "always looking deep first," fine, but that's not likely to change quickly. It certainly didn't under Brady's games last season. It's pretty difficult to envision anyone putting up Davis' deep numbers and TDs of who's on the roster Here's the video evidence; It's pretty simple, this short/high-percentage game simply isn't Allen's forte`. It's not. But that's what they were trying to force him to do under Brady. For a prediction this season, and it depends upon what the definition of "what kind of season," since many reduce it to Ws/Ls, but if we're talking passing metrics, I'll lean towards Allens' regular season production under Brady. If we take those stats and extrapolate them out for 17 games we get: 4,148 Yards 24 TDs 17 INTs 60.7% Compl. % 85.5 Rating The yardage, TD, INT, and Compl. % totals are fair given the circumstances. I'd bump up the rating slightly, maybe into the low 90s, but well into average range for QBs. Many are saying that his numbers will get better as Brady installs his game, but Allen's numbers last season under Brady were the best in his first two games under Brady where he had as many passing TDs in those two games as he did in the last five games. In the last five games Allen averaged 1 TD/game, 218 YPG, 1 INT/game, had an 81.8 rating, which is horrible, across the board. The offense is going to reflect McD's complimentary football definition. That much we know. Who knows, perhaps as was the case with Peterman McD throws in the towel to fan and media pressure and changes that. Unfortunately for anyone hoping for big passing numbers, that's not consistent with that philosophy argue as one may to the contrary. One thing that Allen has always struggled with in both college as well as the NFL is checking down and hitting his more open and/or higher-percentage typically shorter options. His metrics this season are going to be incredibly dependent upon his ability to improve there coupled with Brady's offensive game-planning/scheming. About the only sure thing is that it's not an odds-on prediction that Allen's metrics are among his best as his seasons have gone. Sure, it could happen, but it's not at all likely. -
Goodrich's third string on the depth chart. Doesn't sound like he'll be with the Chiefs come fall.
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And to think you can even go into any store and steal up to $1,000 with of good without any consequence too.
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Wanya's not here! That's not how it works the these days. Trial by social media has begun. A guilty verdict has been rendered.
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I haven't read a word of it, but if anyone that went to, as someone pointed out, a $250k college, then it's also pretty unlikely that they're disenfranchised. Besides, unless you know someone, then your speculating. If you do, then reference that person. Good to know that you have a handle on the world's morality. There's always another position as God open. Honestly, so many people have too much free time on their hands
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I have terminal difficulty in believing that anyone there that day left there traumatized or with "emotional injuries" despite the "microaggression." If anyone did, what would that say for their preparedness for life. People are so ridiculously emotionally soft these days.
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THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Receivers are a Dime a Dozen
PBF81 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall
It won't be long before our new Slot 4 Offense is unleashed and revealed! Buckle up! 🧐 -
Wait, isn't that what this place is all about? 😁
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Damn! Well, I'll just have to wait until it comes back down to where I can afford it without financing it. 😎😁
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No doubt. I'm sure that they're all permanently distraught, rudderless souls sans any hopes now, since they sat thru a simple commencement speech. All those things that Dean Wormer told Blutarsky are finally making sense to them. On a non-facetious side note, this just in, but many people do spend a lot of time and money on worthless degrees without anyone's prodding. And frankly, if a commencement speech really alters any 20-some year old adult's entire world view or causes them such emotional pain and consternation to much of any extent, other than the expected unnecessary waste of the duration of a commencement ceremony, then they probably did waste their time and money there. Good luck to them at the onset of their professional lives. All of a sudden you've shed some light on all of the adult tantrums that people have for varying reasons. 😎 The last commencement ceremony that I went to featured a guy running waaay long on how his family came to the States and opened a motel chain. After not too long there was a bunch of eye-rolling as to the entirely unnecessary length, increasing chatter amongst the attendees, and an extended case of a$$ numbness. I'm pretty sure that once it was over no one remembered much or cared. Is it $7 now? I'm PISSED! It was $4.99 last year. 😁
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You're not in proper form here. First of all, what does the Super Bowl have to do with football. Secondly, your not angry enough. I want you to get up right now and go to the window. Open it, and stick your head out, and yell, 'I'M AS MAD AS HELL, AND I'M NOT GOING TO TAKE THIS ANYMORE!' I want you to get up right now, sit up, go to your windows, open them and stick your head out and yell - 'I'm as mad as hell and I'm not going to take this anymore!' Things have got to change. But first, you've gotta get mad!... You've got to say, 'I'm as mad as hell, and I'm not going to take this anymore!' Then we'll figure out what to do about the depression and the inflation and the oil crisis. But first get up out of your chairs, open the window, stick your head out, and yell, and say it: "I'M AS MAD AS HELL, AND I'M NOT GOING TO TAKE THIS ANYMORE!"I want you to get up right now and go to the window. Open it, and stick your head out, and yell, 'I'M AS MAD AS HELL, AND I'M NOT GOING TO TAKE THIS ANYMORE!' I want you to get up right now, sit up, go to your windows, open them and stick your head out and yell - 'I'm as mad as hell and I'm not going to take this anymore!' Things have got to change. But first, you've gotta get mad!... You've got to say, 'I'm as mad as hell, and I'm not going to take this anymore!' Then we'll figure out what to do about the depression and the inflation and the oil crisis. But first get up out of your chairs, open the window, stick your head out, and yell, and say it: "I'M AS MAD AS HELL, AND I'M NOT GOING TO TAKE THIS ANYMORE!" The most important takeaway, worry about others and other peoples' business first. Don't worry about yourself or your own business. 😉😁
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How do you feel about the Bills upcoming team/schedule?
PBF81 replied to Gman10's topic in The Stadium Wall
That seems to be leaning on the dramatic side, no? It seems more like 2019 without the ease of schedule that propelled us to 9 wins. At the same time it's a seasoned Allen, not a breakout Allen. The division should be more difficult despite the fact that it was Brady's last season in NE then. NE and the Jets will both be better and they both beat us once with NE having nearly beaten us twice. The biggest issue seems to be that we're orchestrating the offense as if we have some game manager QB when we have Allen. It makes little sense. -
How do you feel about the Bills upcoming team/schedule?
PBF81 replied to Gman10's topic in The Stadium Wall
And Herbert along with Keenan Allen both -
I've provided much of the information you've asked for already. I have not gone through gbg and detailed them. As stated, I will, but when I have time. I will try to remember to ping you when I do. I'm actually going to splice the video together for all of them. Also, as I've stated, "drops" are subjective. There is no metrics criteria for drops insofar as I know. But the video is the video, and if you've watched it then you've watched it. I'll tell you what though, before I get to that whenever that is, why don't you ping us all on what you consider to be anything beyond routine catches. I think I counted three. It would be far easier to do that.
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Did you watch the video? It's facts, visual facts. I'm guessing that you did not. So far one person admittedly has, and that person's assessment was downgraded as a result. Not as a result of my words or anything that I said, but as a result of their own visual sensibilities. Stop making this about me and get over yourself. It's obvious that you don't like me, so deal with it. Otherwise, LOL, do you have any idea of how much "bias" there is here, or anywhere for that matter. That was a pretty funny statement.
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This might have some meaning if you didn't disagree with so much of what's in my posts, often simply facts.