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PBF81

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Everything posted by PBF81

  1. You just hit on one of that study's issues as it person's to our discussion. Christian Benford suffering an ACL injury would likely end his mediocre career, if not immediately then likely within a season or two tops. Why? Because he's not very good to begin with. White is different. Not that that disputes its conclusions, but I didn't see any provisions for age or how good a player is. I mean it's pretty certain that a player that is fortunate to make a roster, with an ACL tear, would be finished in the league anyway, regardless of surgery results. It opens up after that and gets more statistically complicated as well. Just throwing that out there as one of its nonconsiderations.
  2. I'm not sure that flawed is the right descriptor there. Like many or even most studies it's limited. Unless I missed it, I didn't see any accounting for age e.g. It definitely presented some interesting and relevant stuff.
  3. At The U Dorsey always had either Reggie Wayne or Andre Johnson, and Shockey or Winslow. He also had Portis and McGahee as an aside. The question there is age/health. If they're not in the field...
  4. Shhh!! Beane doesn't have a weak spot! Besides, that's not at all true, just look at his draft history: 2nd Round: 1 RB 3rd Round: 2 RBs 4th Round: 1 WR 5th Round: 2 WRs 6th Round: 3 WRs (none still here) 7th Round: 1 WR (no longer here) Day 1: None Day 2: 3 RBs Day 3: 7 WRs (only 3 still here, one likely in his last season, the other two from this past draft and last year's draft) So it's clearly not true, and probably best never to challenge Beane's methods here again. (sarcasm) Sidenote: The only great WR he's ever brought here, we paid top dollar for and had a drama history. I'm curious how good everyone would think that our roster would be if Allen weren't on it. We'll never know the answer to that, but I have my suspicions.
  5. Which brings up another issue on offense. We'll see how things go this season from the coaching side of things. You can have all you need on a roster, but if you don't put them all to their most effective use, and appropriately in the right situations, then it becomes problematic.
  6. Throw in another player and you're over 100. 😁 Seriously tho, Miller was a high-risk acquisition and unfortunately, although I wouldn't say surprisingly at 34, we reaped the risk end of that deal. At some point it's not unreasonable to question our team building methodologies. The other thing that I've not seen mentioned so far, is that we also still don't have a proven MLB. Given how bad our rushing D was at times, that should be of concern.
  7. Sounds like a lot of risk and hassle for training camp tix. Too much for me anyway.
  8. You may want to go anyway. I think there's places to get at least some of a view outside the pay area. At least there used to be. You can go there when nothing's going on, park and take a look around for possible vantage points. Parking during practices is probably a pita.
  9. Article linked on the home page says $160. Shameful!
  10. Hopefully, and you'd think, but the league seems to bend the rules for marquee players too.
  11. 2022 team drop % Singletary 11.5% (1 TD/15 1st-Downs) Shakir 10.0% (1/7) Davis 9.7% (7/35) Cook 9.4% (1/5) McKenzie 9.2% (4/27) Knox 6.2% (6/25) Diggs 5.2% (11/74)
  12. Is that really true, or more narrative than truth? Did you look at the data before saying that?
  13. Your post isn't lost on me. Many simply don't know how to analyze this stuff and instead resort to the simplest interpretation of stats in isolation and in light of that. Consider, if a WR drops a ball, but subsequently makes a big catch for a 1st Down, that's huge. I'll take that all game long. For most here, they can't get past the drop% narrative and can't help hating on the guy despite his specialty in running low percentage routes. It's similar with sacks, other than to prop up a player's perception, which can be valid, what good is a team logging two sacks on a drive that results in a TD. Drive-ending sacks (on 3rd-downs) would be a much more useful data point/stat, but they don't keep 'em. You have to research those yourself, which takes a lot of time. Davis is a big-play generating machine. That's why the team likes him. I've tried to point this out but some simply won't have it. He compares favorably with Davante Adams in some ways. Diggs & Davis were responsible for over 50% of the team's receiving 1st-Downs. Davis had 44% of Diggs' catches sand 47% of Diggs' 1st-Downs, yet Dogs is heralded while Davis is slammed. Players around him that have the same number of 1st-Downs, typically have notably more catches required to do it. Some here, by implication, would have you think that 2 catches, say one for 9 yards on 3rd-and-12, and another for say 7 yards on 1st-and-10 on a drive that stalls on that series otherwise, going 2-for-2 (aka 100% catch%) is more valuable to the team than dropping a ball on 1st-and-10 but then catching one on 3rd-and-10 for 17 yards and a 1st-down (aka 50% catch%) and extending the drive. Missing for most on that scenario is your 1st-Down %: first player, 0% 1st-Downs, second player 50% 1st-Downs. Same with sacks. 10 sacks on a drive that results in a TD are worthless, other than in fantasy football, whereas one single sack that ends a drive is very meaningful. The game is about sustaining drives and scoring TDs, Davis does both well, very well. The problem is that to many people these days view real football like they do fantasy football or simply don't put two and two together to relate the stats & data to the actual real game ramifications. It's easier to do and requires less thought and definitely less of an analytical regimen and aptitude.
  14. It's bigger than the Clarence one. I know that freddyjj provided the maps link, but it's where the MacGregor's on Empire Blvd. used to be, on the south end of Irondequoit Bay. Great place, not sure why MacGregor's didn't make it. Lockdowns presumably.
  15. Mid-July, per them. It's a restaurant, so all kinds of things can delay it, but that's their bogey.
  16. IMO Pederson/Taylor is notably better than McD/Dorsey. The two teams aren't that much different otherwise, they have a better RB situation, particularly with the one they just drafted, we have slightly better WRs, which could change depending upon whether or not Diggs explodes, TE situation seems to be comparable. OL, I'd probably take theirs over ours. On D their starting lineup appears to be younger overall and comparable otherwise. Offensive HC is key there.
  17. On top of that, Lawrence's 2nd season was better than Allen's, and he had no better WRs. In his rookie season he had Urban Meyer as a coach, ... YUCK! They're a well-coached team, by offensive types. I'm pretty sure that they'll do just fine. IMO Press Taylor's going to be a hot commodity for a HC gig following the season.
  18. I'm sure that some said the same thing about the Eagles last season. Just sayin'.
  19. Lawrence isn't a fluke. Do with the data what you will. 🙂
  20. They started 2-6 but won 6 of their last 7, and 7 of their last 9. Remember, they had that ***** Meyer as coach the year prior. Lawrence in his third season now. They also played respectable in the playoffs and made @KC a game into the 4th Q despite being outmatched. Not one should sleep on them.
  21. I think that a blue metalic helmet could work as long as the Buffalo were white with a red stripe.
  22. Yes, good stuff there. In thinking this entire extension through, I've been trying to figure it out. Yesterday it hit me, Pegula's doing the exact same thing with the new stadium & PSLs/Ticket-Sales. I think that's why he did this, he seems to think that if there's a change then it could impact ticket sales and enthusiasm going into the new stadium in 2026, which IMO is going to be 2027, which is why he made it only two years and 'til then. I could be wrong, but that's the only logical explanation I can think of. But here's the rub, exactly what you said. In trying to achieve "stability" and "continuity," if McD has another two seasons, maybe even just one, of playoff futility and egregiously bad coaching, there's going to be a monster shift in the narrative surrounding McD and quite possibly even Beane, that could end up being worse. And what if they cannot harness Allen and he suffers a bad injury, that will send them packing as well. We'll see, just my theory. As everyone says, it makes no sense on the surface and Pegs has come out and made reference to it having to do with the grand opening.
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