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There's always gonna be outliers in either direction. I don't have the full win-loss ref list in front of me, but would guarantee there's some refs where the Bills perform amazing with. It's not bias. It's randomness. Chiefs fans freak out over Carl Cheffers. It's all noise.

The Chiefs are 74-22 (including playoffs) the last five years. Works out to a 77% win percentage. Their win % in Hochuli games is 78.5%. Their win % with lots of refs is likely the same or similar. This stuff is meaningless.

Not that it matters, but "playoff wins" is misleading for coaches and QBs. Belichick and Brady missed out on tons of playoff win opportunities because they regularly had a first-round bye. They bypassed the Wild Card round 13 times via having the first-round bye. That's essentially a playoff win. Mahomes/Reid on a similar trajectory with four first-round byes in six years. Granted, only one team gets that prize these days.

and the super bowl with an even better scramble (while reinjuring his high ankle sprain)

The two days is highly unlikely to be an advantage or disadvantage from a prep/scheme standpoint. These teams know each other better than they probably know their divisional opponents and played each other about a month ago. Both teams also surely worked ahead a bit (as all playoff teams do).

Chances of playing this week based on current info. Would you bet over (better chance) or under (worse chance) on the following? LIKELY IN -Baylon Spector 85% (likely spasms, mostly pain management thing) -Rasul Douglas 75% (putting significant stock in what he told Tim Graham, because he did not practice last week, and McDermott suggested he wasn't closer than Dodson was to play vs Steelers) -Tyrel Dodson 75% (seemed like he was closer to playing last week than Douglas, but always possible mcdermott is being overly vague/non transparent) TOSS UP -Sam Martin 50% (seems like a true toss up right now) -Gabe Davis 50% (seems highly questionable, don't have a lean one way or the other) LIKELY OUT -Terrel Bernard 15% (seems like a long shot to play despite better-than-expected postgame injury news) -Taron Johnson 25% (multiple concussions in same season, seems unlikely he would clear protocol given short week) -Christian Benford 35% (didn't return to game, seems like possible meniscus per banged up bills, but either way, seems more unlikely than likely)

DT Derrick Nnadi left with injured elbow and didn't return. He's semi important. WRs Skyy Moore and Toney remain out (Toney could potentially return). Jerick McKinnon is out, which is a big loss for the Chiefs on offense.

jerick mckinnon, skyy moore and kadarius toney are all out with injury. hardman missed nearly two months with injury. richie james missed two months with injury. justyn ross missed two months with suspension and now is injured. watson missed time with injury. kelce has had nagging injuries all year long. so basically every single member of the chiefs' already awful pass catching corps has been or is injured this year except rashee rice. pacheco has been out two separate times this year with injury (including vs the bills earlier this year). clyde edwards-helaire missed a game due to injury. the chiefs' starting left tackle donovan smith was out for over a month, then the backup LT wanya morris injured himself. (smith is now back). aside from LB nick bolton's two-month injury and S bryan cook's season-ending injury, the chiefs have been remarkably healthy on defense this year however.

the chiefs kicked four field goals inside 32 yards and didn't have a ton of real incentive to score late once game was out of reach. don't think the 26 pts is very reflective of how they played offensively. that being said, fins personnel was awful.

Bills are -3 at Circa in Vegas.

there's still a couple hundred seats left through the box office in the lower level (there's 60+ seats in section 130 alone and a fair bit of unsold seats throughout the stadium). the bills should do the right thing and give these seats to some of the shovelers imo, at least make sure the place sells out. why leave them empty?

Harbaugh would make the Chargers instantly better, but so many negatives with this job. 1. ownership is brutal 2. same division as mahomes/reid, highly unlikely to win division regularly 3. salary cap situation short-term doesn't seem great 4. every home game is a neutral site game at best w visiting fans regularly overtaking it

What's the best current guess (I know it's just a guess) for Monday playing conditions? Temps, precipitation, wind.

chiefs planet is a cess pool lol

cheering for injury, the classiest fan base strikes again!

discussed by the media? who...frickin...cares.

having six of your 17 games every year be against the same three teams is redundant and boring. i would be in favor of playing each divisional team once per year and alternate home/road. especially now that home field advantage is widely considered to be just a single point or 1.5 points in most cases.

Interceptions leaders by year. 2023: Howell, Allen, Mahomes, Hurts, Goff. 2022: Prescott, Mills, Cousins, Carr, Allen. 2021: Stafford, Lawrence, Heinecke, Allen, Herbert. Fewest interceptions by year (min 12 games): 2023: Zack Wilson, Herbert, Lamar, Prescott, Carr/Wilson 2022: Daniel Jones, Hurts, Brissett, Tannehill, Lamar 2021: Rodgers, Taysom Hill, Russell Wilson, Wentz, Cousins

Which of Allen's games this year rank among the top 10 or 15 of his career? From October through last weekend, I would say none of them, though he did have a nice overall day vs the Eagles in a game they should have won. This was a down year by his standards outside the three September games following the Jets debacle.

INTs are a mostly useless stat. Best guess: A player with single-digit INTs likely isn't taking enough chances and is therefore playing the position suboptimally. Russell Wilson had 26 TDs and eight INTs this year. So on a per-game basis, he had slightly more TD passes than Allen, and half the INTs. His completion percentage was higher. His QB rating was better. And.....who cares. If you watch Wilson, he's ultra careful with the ball, rarely makes difficult throws, takes a ton of sacks (avoiding sacks is the superpower of actual good QBs like Mahomes and Allen) and throws the ball away a ton. He is league average at absolute best, and likely below average in his current form. But traditional stats, rather than better measures like EPA, ends up ruling the day and becomes the narratives. Too much is made of Allen's INTs (I'd guess half of them came on downfield throws that QBs like Wilson wouldn't attempt) and his rushing TDs (most of these are a result of goal line variance, where Cook gets them down to the 1 yard line and Allen plunges it in for the finisher). Obviously rushing TDs are a nice stat and all, but those extra TDs, if we're being honest, formed the basis for his entire MVP candidacy. Because all of his passing stats were down this year relative to his better seasons. And again, much of that was due to defenses dominating the league this year - a whole bunch of QBs had it rough.

If you throw out the goal line runs for Allen, his play this year definitely a peg below his prior years. His entire MVP candidacy has essentially been his ability to score inside the 5 yard line. Tons of bad games on the year. Which has been true across the league with QBs. Defenses definitely punched back this year in a major way.

It seemed like Allen said something to Mahomes about the play and Mahomes, already heated, responded with his take on it. The two are friends off the field, I highly doubt it was some sort of intentional sign of disrespect. This is the same Mahomes who raced to console Allen midfield after 13 seconds rather than celebrate with teammates. When Allen approached Kelce after the game, Allen said something similar to Kelce.

If Bills converted a first down and turned it into any kind of points, it was game over with ball first out of half. 14-0 or 17-0 or 21-0 into half, then ball. Now, possibly 14-7.

It wasn't really support haha. He just said he's a good person. “None of us talk during the week. That’s just how it goes. We’re all so busy doing our thing. I can just tell you Sean McDermott is a heck of a human being. That’s what I do know,” Reid said.