Einstein

Very true. But the Titans have looked bad all season.

Removing the vig lowers the Titans probability of pulling the upset (it lowers both teams in relation to the vig). I'll explain this below. I did have old odds for the games. Taking the updated odds of -190 for the Jags and +155 for the Titans, we have 100 / (155 + 100) = 39.22% the Titans win. You can then double check my formula and math by using an odds/probability calculator The Jags at -190 results in a formula of 190/(190 + 100) = 65.56% To remove the vig, you calculate the combined implied probability (the sum of both team's implied probabilities), which will be more than 100%, and in our case is 104.72. The extra 4.72 is the vig (here is a simplified equation): (100)-65.56+39.22 = 4.72. Then you divide each team's implied probability by this total to adjust for the vig. 65.52%/104.74% and 39.22%/104.74%. Therefore, here are the adjusted probabilities with the vig removed: 62.55% the Jaguars win and 37.45% the Titans win. The Ravens are also +155 now, which means both Ravens and Titans have the same probability at 39.22%. The Steelers sit at -190. Same probabilities and same math, equaling the same result. So we have a 37.45% the Titans win and a 37.45% chance the Ravens win. What you are doing is taking the singular probability of two events (P(team A) + P(team B) - P(team A * team B)). It's a fair take. We shall see what happens. .

No idea how you figured that, but it’s not accurate. Steelers (-195) vs Ravens (+165) implies the Ravens (who we want to win), only have a 33.9% probability of victory. Jags (-265) vs Titans (+190) implies the Titans (who we want to win), only have a 22.9% probability of victory. I’m guessing you’re taking the singular probability of two events (P(team A) + P(team B) - P(team A * team B)), which would be 49% in our case. .

The more the Titans lose, the more i’m starting to like Vrabel 😂

FIFTH alternate!? It’s time to end the Pro Bowl when we need 5th alternates.

Hope you’re right! Question though: Who is he throwing too? Zay Flowers has a calf injury and hasn’t practiced the last two days. Doubt Beckham plays. Maybe he hands off a ton?

13 of the 15 were either “limited” or “did not practice”. If you’re a player, you’re hurt, you’re on a 5-11 team… are you pushing to play in a meaningless final game? 🤷🏻‍♂️

Any given Sunday, yada yada, but it’s looking like Division title or bust. Obviously we all know that the only way the Bills get in with a loss is if Pitt or Jacksonville lose. Well, a couple pieces of news today: 1) Ravens (playing Pitt) announced they are making Lamar Jackson inactive. In addition to this, the Ravens reporters on Twitter expect many more starters to sit out or see very little action. 2) The Titans (playing Jax) have 15 people on their injury report. That’s nearly 30% of the roster. The Titans are terrible as it is - they can’t afford any players to be injured. .

Yeah you probably should have let it go because that’s factually incorrect. (a) to (e) are not the only relevant sections. There is a reason why an entire extra paragraph exists below it. It exists to add further information about situations where a player may (or even MUST) be reported that fall outside of of (a) to (e). Your justification of “weasel words” is simply your interpretation, but the letter of the law is there - in black and white. If we are going to play the weasel words defense, teams could attempt to weasel their way out of even (a) to (e). Considering we are talking about Diggs this entire time - a key player of the Bills - i’m not sure why even debate.

There was no additional context that was relevant. I see you bolded "may be reportable", which is irrelevant, considering our situation involves a key player that the very next paragraph states clearly "must be listed". Therefore, the entire context for the situation we are speaking of, was included... I guess they could. But the NFL could also say "Yeah, nice try, here is a nice fat fine". Like they did with the Falcons just two weeks ago. And the Steelers a couple years ago. But maybe the team figures "those fine are worth it". Especially since they're "fat" for a fan but not for a billion dollar team. .

Depends what you mean by "local". It was on TV in much of NY (Cuse, Southern Tier, etc) just not Buffalo and part of Rochester.

Basically, if an injury has the possibility to affect a players performance, it must be reported.

I was of the same opinion until McD recently said Diggs has no injury. Prior to that, I figured the Bills could hide behind omission of truth. Now, they would be outright lying. That would not go over well with the league office. Im starting to think what McD said is true - we just aren’t going to him as much. FYI - The following is direct from the NFL:

Because the point of the league is not to make the playoffs. I know there are some who believe “just make the playoffs every year and hope you get hot”. And I get the reasoning. But Nate Peterman (just to make up an example), is never winning you a Super Bowl, no matter how many playoff chances you give him. Nor is Tyrod Taylor. etc etc etc. So that logic doesn’t fly for me.

I get what you’re saying (you will marry the ugly bride because you see no beautiful women on your horizon), but football teams always have the option to not do something stupid. The Giants had the option to not sign Daniel Jones. Browns had the option to not trade for Deshaun Watson. etc. I would rather enter the unknown than be chained to an mediocre guy.

31 years after the greatest comeback of all time, this season reminds me a bit of that game. Down 3 games in the division with 5 games to play, we play for the division this Sunday!

I think the Dolphins game plan could involve a healthy dose of running the ball. Not Von’s strong suit at this point.

https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/dalvin-cook-jets-mutually-agree-to-part-ways Running back Dalvin Cook’s short tenure with the Jets is coming to an end. Cook’s agents at LAA Sports announced on Tuesday, via Tom Pelissero of NFL Media, that their client and the Jets have mutually agreed to part ways. The hope is for Cook to catch on with a team going to the playoffs and he will be subject to waivers once his departure from the Jets becomes official.

I'll be surprised if the Ravens win a single playoff game. We have seen this movie before.

I wonder if Diggs simply lost the ball in the sky, because that seemed pretty catchable to me. At worst it’s a slight dive and catch.

1) Here are the defensive rankings for each of the defenses. Didn’t bother with his rookie year, but 10 of his last 13 December games were against top 10 defenses. 2) 11 TD’s and 2 INT over his last 6 december games is pretty good… Update: one of the Jets is wrong. I missed that it was in January, making it the previous year season. Tough to edit the image on a phone so putting this edit in text.

You feel the 5 yards would have made a difference on the punt? I’m not so sure.

I like McD and want him to be the one who brings us home a Super Bowl. He is a good man. But there are still some gameday issues that bother me. For example, yesterday, when we did the whole “fake like you’re going to go for 4th and 1” game… why did he call a timeout? Just take the delay of game if you’re going to punt regardless. Save that timeout. The other flaw that bothers me is his persistence in keeping bad players on the field for too long. Von should have been sat weeks ago. I understand he is coming back from an industry but he is not helping us as a team yet. So sit him. Same with Murray. Stuff like that bugs me, but I guess no-one is perfect.