I dont get this mentality at all. If a player is out there you think puts you over the top you do it. If a contender adds a big piece that could mean them beating us. Without adding Vonn LA does not get a ring last year. Kc is about to make a move, bank on it.
Would you do a 1st if it gives you say an 80% chance at a ring? I say yes all day. I know it's all speculation but people are overvaluing picks. I'll do multiple high picks if I get that one ring. There's risk in everything.
People keep saying the same crap without checking stats or context.