BillytheKid

I know some don’t like PFF but thought this was a good 14 minute video. Showing how Brady uses the Tight Ends and how good they are with them and using Cook out 12 and 13 personnel. Even though Brady gets on my nerves sometimes he does a great job for the most part. Just needs to make sure no more games like against Atlanta.

It is definitely important. Since McDermott took over play calling the last 10 quarters of football played by the Bills they have given up 3 points in the 2nd half. 9 points to Carolina and 21 points to What everyone thought was the best offense in the league. 8 of those came because KC converted a 4th and 17 after Hoecht went out. So they are giving up an average of 13.3 ppg with McDermott calling the defense which would rank first in the NFL. Mcdermott needs to call the defense for sure and if Williams can play that position then by all means do it. Only big difference is he isn’t going to have the bull rush that Hoecht had because of the weight difference.

Knox is Allen’s best friend on the team and they like having the 3 TE’s. I agree business is business but if Allen says to keep him then they will keep him. It would be one thing if he sucked but he doesn’t so…. They aren’t going to piss off the most valuable player on the team.

That’s from yesterday so doubt anything came of it. But who knows. Maybe Beane wants to make people suffer until right after the end of the deadline.

I haven’t read through all of the posts so I don’t know if it has been mentioned yet or not and this is page 7. The Bills already have analytics guys that talk to the coaches. All teams do now. So he already had that before he made the decision to kick a field goal.

Yeah , Hoecht was the biggest reason for the great pass rush the last two weeks. He was helping to free everyone else up besides Whst he was doing himself. I don’t see how you are going to get another guy like him at the trade deadline, especially with no cap space.

Well the last two times the Blue Jays won the World Series the Bills played in the Super Bowl both times. The Bills lost both times. Since the Blue Jays lost this time around, it must mean the Bills will win the Super Bowl this time doesn’t it? Glass half full

Stafford is tied for third with Mahomes at +500 at one book and he is 4th at +550 at another book.

And just like that Allen is number one again for MVP odds. Maye 2nd. Mahomes drops to 3rd.

You weren’t watching enough I guess. Probably best to not say anything instead of making yourself look stupid. He was the biggest difference maker on this defense from an all around piece. Having Hairston has helped in the secondary and Bishop played well today but Hoecht was getting more pressures than anyone on the team and getting sacks, freeing Bosa and others up to get sacks and helping stuff the run. The Bills can still win games but to act like Hoecht wasn’t a big piece in the defense the last two games just shows you have no clue about football.

And it didn’t matter did it? 😀

Having Hoecht gone for the year was the worst loss this defense could have in my opinion. He was the missing piece to getting over the hump. He brought pressure from many different spots and helped Bosa and Epenesa get open for more sacks. I wasn’t even that worried about the Oliver loss because we had Hoecht. Now with both of them gone not feeling good about it.

Teams just like the (Chiefs tomorrow) who have won 3 straight home games and cover the spread in all 3 of them by double digits, then have to go on the road as a very small favorite (-1.5 or -2) versus teams that have a .700 (Bills) or better win percentage, don’t usually win so I would say the Bills have a great shot at winning tomorrow. This scenario doesn’t happen very often. Public perception is all huge recency bias and the books know that and they have already shaded the line an extra point towards the Chiefs. Nothing is guaranteed but having made a living handicapping Sports for over 30 years this is a spot usually the home underdog covers and wins outright. We shall see how tomorrow goes but Bills definitely won’t be blown out. At least 95% Chance they won’t. Most likely what happens in the worst case would be Chiefs win by 2 or 3 points. Best case Bills win by 7+ points which has happened plenty of times in this scenario before. what most likely happens in most cases it comes down to a one possession game and the Bills win. Just how these exact set ups go very very very high percentage of the time historically. Bills 65% chance of winning this game tomorrow based on this set up historically. Better chance than what most of you probably think.