I went through the simulator and got:
1. KC (14-3)
2. JAX (13-4)
3. BAL (12-5)
4. MIA (12-5)
5. CLE (11-6)
6. HOU (10-7)
7. PITT (10-7)
Outside looking in...BUF (10-7), DEN (9-8), IND (9-8)
I had Miami the last week of the season being win-and-in, and we lost (terribly Billsy of them).