I had very little confidence last year. The whole team was just off at the end of the season.
This year if we get in I think we have as good a chance as any AFC team to get to the big game. Is anybody really that confident that the Ravens are going to make noise in the playoffs? This version of the Ravens has had plenty of playoff opportunities and choked them away. We've already blown out the Dolphins (we'll see how this Sunday goes). We've already beat KC on the road (and they don't look like themselves this year at all). Jaguars look a lot worse than earlier in the season when they beat us. Colts, Texans, Steelers would be upsets if they beat us. The Browns are intriguing. Flacco is turning the ball over a lot but their defense is elite.
If we get the #2 seed, I would give us a 25% chance to make the super bowl, which is pretty good (if all the teams had an even chance it would be ~14%).