GASabresIUFan

A couple of trade ideas 1) 144 & 163 to Chicago for 122 (and maybe a late asset in 2025) 2) 128, 141 & 204 to Min for 108 & 177 This would leave us with 108, 122, 160, 177, & 221

Potential trade partners tomorrow (actually later today) Car - owns pick 101, but no picks again until 157 and then 200 Chi - owns 122 and nothing else NYG - owns 107 and then nothing until 166 & 183 Sea - Owns 102 & 118, and then nothing until 179 TB - Owns 125 and then nothing until 220

So how about that DeWayne Carter. I hear he is pretty good. I like this pick. I’ve seen him ranked as high as 79th.

Why the stated needs CB - a possible replacement for Douglas OT - possible replacement for Brown Edge - possible replacement for Von Miller RB - backup and change of pace for Cook C - insurance if McGovern does work out at C or Edwards isn’t good enough to start at guard WR - I have no faith in our depth after Shakir and Samuel. I also hate the Coleman pick. Possible surprise need - TE - Knox could be gone after this season and I’m not impressed with Morris.

I’m honestly shocked Van Pran and Walker are still on the board. I’m also surprised OT Christian Jones is still available.

Kind of sad Beane didn’t find a way back into the 3rd. Hopefully he can maneuver up to the top of the 4th. Still need a potential Miller replacement.

There are a couple of guys I’ve been looking at that I think can help our team that are still on the board C - Sedric Van Pran (Yes, I’m a UGA fan, but he is a very good center) WR - Tez Walker - Decent size and excellent speed. RB - Isaac Guerendo - 6’ 220 and ran a 4.33 40 at the combine. 99 athleticism score at the combine.

7 more picks to go. 1 - 4th - 128 4- 5th - 141, 144, 160 & 163 1 - 6th - 204 1 - 7th - 221 I doubt Beane makes all these picks. Given the FA signings, I’m not sure we have room for 10 rookies. Last year we sent two 7th rd picks to the practice squad and lost them both. I’m also still hoping for a trade up to the top of the 4th. Needs: Edge, CB, RB, OL & WR

Bold prediction: This kid will be outperformed by the 2nd receiver we draft on Saturday.

I wonder if Beane asked Kincaid about Bishop? I like this pick a ton more than the awful Coleman pick.

The comp to Ladd is Diggs, except Ladd is much faster.

Where’s Kelso when we need him?

Fixed What will the experts say when Kincaid goes for 1000 yards, Shakir and Samuel add 700-800 yards each and Mitchell/McConkey add 600+ with a bunch of TDs? They says the Bills have one of the best young groups in the NFL. Beane's goal is to make us younger, faster, cheaper and more talented at the skill positions. Out with Diggs, Davis, Moss, Singletary and eventually Knox and in with Cook, Shakir, Kincaid, and later today a highly skilled boundary WR. My money is still on Mitchell, but I'm ok with Franklin or McConkey.

I agree with the trade downs, but I also don't like giving Mahomes Hill 2.0. That said, the Bills were never drafting Worthy and the odds favor KC getting him at 32 anyway. It was more important for the Bills to get an additional top 100 pick given our needs than worry about KC adding another weapon. The other truth is KC hasn't really hit on their most recent receivers. Skyy Moore hasn't yet to make an impact and Rice is on his way to prison. Which is why we were never going to draft him and why Texas went to Mitchell when they needed a big play.

The only issue is we could miss on any of the good receivers

I’m a little surprised how much of my little prediction is coming true. I agree that with 6 picks between 128 & 163, the Bills now have the ammo to add another top 100 pick. I like that McConkey and Mitchell are still on the board. When I mocked this scenario McConkey was the guy, but I’d take Mitchell at 33rd. I’m not sure I’d keep moving down at this point. I doubt Beane makes 11 selections in this draft. The deal I’d like to see now is a 3rd in 2025 plus two later picks in 2024 for mid 3rd in 2024.

Combine Numbers Diggs - 6' 195, 4.46 40, 1.53 10 yard split, 35" vertical - Athleticism score 69 Davis - 6'2" 216, 4.54 40, 1.56 10 yard split, 35" vertical - Athleticism score 63 Shakir - 6' 196, 4.43 40, 1.49 10 yard split, 34.5" vertical - Athleticism score 78 Samuel - 5'11" 196, 4.31 40, 1.49 10 yard split, 37" vertical - Athleticism score 89 Hollins - 6'4" 221, 4.53 40, 1.59 10 yard split, (no vertical) - Athleticism score 69 Shorter - 6'4 229, 4.55 40, 1.59 10 yard split, 35.5 vertical -Athleticism score 58 Thomas - 6'3" 209, 4.33 40, 1.5 10 yard split, 38.5 vertical - Athleticism score 92 Mitchell - 6'2" 205, 4.34 40, 1.52 10 yard split, 39.5 vertical - Athleticism score 91 Worthy - 6'2" 185, 4.21 40, 1.49 10 yard split, 41 vertical - Athleticism score 98 McConkey - 6' 186, 4.39, 1.52 10 yard split, 36 vertical - Athleticism score 90 Walker - 6'1.5". 4.36 40, 1.54 10 yard split, 40.5 vertical - Athleticism score 86 The Bottom line is that we have no receiver on the roster anywhere close to the combo of size and athleticism of the guys in this draft. We have guys with size and guys with speed, but nothing like what we are going to get early in this draft.

How many times did you see him play in person? I went to most of his games at UGA and YAC, separation, route running, and effort were never a problem. How much YAC do you get when you make great catches in the end zone. This kid might be a little raw, but he'll be a very good NFL player.

I’ve got nothing.

McConkey only lined up in the slot 25% of his college snaps if my memory serves. I’m a Dawg fan so I’m partial to Ladd, but I’m taking Mitchell above Ladd, Worthy, Coleman, Franklin or Legette. I love AD’s combo of size and speed. I also like his ability to make the big play, 11 TDs last year and 5 TDs in 5 CFP games.

I don’t think BPA exists early in an NFL draft. Does anyone really think the 3 QBs are the best players in this draft? Bowers and Harrison Jr are probably the best two players in this draft. The Bills aren’t drafting a LB, QB, TE or RB at 28 or 60 regardless of who is available. It seems to me that teams are looking for instant contributors in the first three rounds. Take the Bills draft last year when they went after their two areas of biggest need at TE and OG in the first two rounds. Where Beane’s list comes into play is who is available at 28 that fills one of his needs at Edge, WR or DT. If we miss a WR at 28, then I can almost guarantee we take one at 60.

Marvin Harrison- Chargers Rome Odunze- Jets (NY Giants screw the Jets and take Bowers with the 6th pick) Ladd McConkey- NE Brian Thomas- Jacksonville Xavier Worthy- KC Bills Pick: Mitchell

I'm Ok with that, but that only gets us half way to the goal. We'd still need another Top 100 pick.

Love Canal

The more I read and the more mock drafts I simulate on the net, the more I've come to the conclusion that Beane needs to acquire two more top 100 picks in order to meet the team's needs for a starting WR, and good rotational players (and possible 2025 starters) at S, DL and Edge. When I look at rankings and the mock drafts there is a tier of WRs from 28-45 (Mitchell, McConkey, Worthy, Coleman and Pearsall), a tier of safeties from 65-80 (Bullard, Nubin, Kinchens, Bishops and Bullock), a tier of DL from 50-70 (Jenkins, Orhorhoro, Hall, Smith & Fiske) and a tier of edge players 65-90 (Isaac, Braswell, Booker, Trice & Elliss). The Bills currently have picks 28 & 60 and then nothing until 128. There are also some Edge players at approx 28 (Robinson & Kneeland), WRs at 60ish (Legette, Polk, Corley, Wilson).. I also like WR Devontez Walker as a possible 3rd rd steal. There are 4 approaches to get the picks we need. 1) Trade down from 28. This should garner us a top 100 pick for just moving down a few slots. 2) Trade down from 60. To get a top 100 pick this way, we'll have to add one of our 4th rd picks. A deal might look like 60 and 133 for 65 & 94. 3) The 3rd method would be to package our 4th rd picks and additional 5th or 6th rd picks to move back into the late 3rd rd. Lastly, I can see Beane trading our 2nd or 3rd in 2025 plus a later pick in 2024 to get back into the 2nd or 3rd rd, especially with the Minn 2nd in hand. Depending of how the draft falls on Thursday, I'd trade down from 28 to 31 for SF's 3rd rd pick (94). The second move I'd make is trading our 3rd rd pick in 2025 and a 4th in 2024 (133) to Atl for pick 79. When I mocked this, I walked away with McConkey at 31, Fiske at 60, Ellis at 79 (we like Utah players after all ) and Bullock at 94. I then added Green (CB FSU) at 128, McCaffrey (WR Rice) at 144 and my sleeper Guerendo (RB Louisville) at 160. Thoughts on the strategy(s)?