harryS

Re: Badolbilz and the WRs No mea culpa needed yet. It's definitely fair for him to say to wait for Jan/Feb. What really matters is playoff football, and D-coordinators do make adjustments over the course of the season. Frankly, because it's only been 3 games, I think it's still more likely than not that Badolbilz will end up looking more right than wrong re: the WRs. However, I would say it's past due for Badolbilz to admit that firing Ken Dorsey and putting in Joe Brady was an upgrade, despite Dorsey being a former Cane. It's not waaay past due yet, but the milk is starting to emit a funky smell. (And here we do have at least some small sample playoff data. Under Dorsey, the Bills put up 10 points at home in an embarrassing loss to the Bengals. While Brady lost to the Chiefs, his offense went up and down the field on KC all game but was let down by the defense.)

This is not a WR. With his lack of speed, the Bills are going to convert Coleman into a zone corner, perhaps a good one for McDermott's defense. It's way past time to admit that McDermott and Beane are lovers, and McDermott uses his starfish to mesmerize and control Beane.

I will piggyback off your post for my own unpopular opinion. Sean McDermott is 49 years old, keeps himself in good shape, and should be able to live another 40-45 years or so. Let's give him a full 50 years of remaining life to make it a round number. The Bills winning the Super Bowl will increase the life expectancy of millions of Bills fans by at least one year. That's a conservative estimate. Most people would live an extra 3-5 years, imo. Millions of (collective) years > 50 years. Therefore, Bills fans should mob up and murder Sean McDermott in the street.

Stroud scored 3 points today. I think some folks got drunk on recency bias. 1-0 on my bets so far. I hope to finish 2-1. (Well, I hope the Bills win by 1 or 2 but if that's not possible I'd rather lose my bet and have them win).

The Ravens have been obsessed with their 2019 failure when they were the #1 seed and lost their first playoff game in this round. That obsession will either drive them to (A) put together one of their best performances in this game or (B) choke. I tend to think it'll be (A). Ravens -9.5 is my third favorite bet of this week following TB +6 (previously 6.5) and KC +2.5.

this is the cost of losing to the Jets, Patriots, and Broncos. if we take care of business, maybe we could've rested guys Week 18. additionally, if we don't choke away the game at Philadelphia, maybe we're not even playing in the wild card round. there's usually a price to pay for not taking care of business. but we're here now and we're at home. hopefully we can man up and next-man-up our way to a W.

That's true. I should've added I just don't want the Chiefs to have 2 extra days of rest. They also basically had a bye Week 18.

Sorry if already covered, but with the postponement, the Bills went from a 9-pt favorite to a 10-pt favorite, and the total went from 33 to 37.5 (crossing the key number of 37). It's probably true that the Bills have a better chance of beating the Steelers playing it Monday but given that we were big favorites either way, I'd have liked that extra day of rest to prep the Chiefs.

I mean, the Bills ripped Miami's hearts out last week. KC just put a dead-man-walking out of its misery, is all.

if we get the 2 seed, i'd feel our chances are as good as a typical 2 seed. maybe better because we have done well against the ravens in past seasons but the sample is small. if we get a wildcard, i'd also feel our chances are as good as a typical wildcard, meaning not so good. even during this turnaround, our road performances don't inspire confidence that we could win 3 road games in a row. KC could easily have been a loss, we choked away the Philly game (and look at their recent results), and we almost lost to the pathetic chargers.

i mean, Pitt is currently -4, so that's roughly an 11 point swing in the line if it were a normal week. i think the oddsmakers very much expect the Ravens to do a lot of resting of starters. even if they play a series or two.

I think both teams will be very motivated to win regardless of previous results

plus, nothing is official yet. okay i agree chubb is probably out but every other player mentioned could play. there's no reason to believe at this point that miami will be any more banged up than the average nfl team at this stage of the season. or that they'll be more banged up than the bills.

Expect a tough game. This would be the Bills' best win of the season (which is different from most dominant / impressive). We've only beaten one good team on the road this season, KC, and the Chiefs are .500 at home this season (beating the Bengals today got them to .500). Miami, on the other hand, is 7-1 at home this season. Add in the stakes -- it could be 2 seed or out of the playoffs -- and that we're playing to win the division against a hated division rival, this would be our best win. We've come a long way but this is everything here.

First of all, every single playoff team will have a bad performance on the resume akin to this win. Secondly, the pros who do this for a living (oddsmakers and pro bettors) have consistently rated the Bills as a top 8 team in the league, i.e. playoff worthy.