That's exactly what happened. I was telling my coworkers, "This is a huge mistake if Buffalo defers. Neither team is going to move the ball, but who has it with the wind at the end of half and the game is going to win."
And what do you know, they win, by losing the flip because Coach McD can't coach big games. He did it again by wasting a challenge on a play where the ball wasn't visible on replay.