Beck Water

So it's kind of a trick statement. It raises the question "what do you mean by a top 3 WR corps?" If you mean, "had the most top producers at WR": Diggs was the top WR in the league in 2020. Top in targets, receptions, yards; second to Davonte Adams and Cole Beasley for catch % in the top 32 WR. Beasley was just outside the top-20 for yards and receptions - 23 and 21 I think. One can make an argument for KC that year, with Kelce and Hill, beiong the best receiving corps, then the Bills, then Minn with Jefferson and Theilen. Carolina with DJ Moore and Chosen would be up there, and Tenn with AJ Brown and Corey Davis would be in the mix. If by "top 3 receiving corps" you mean "overall talent in the 3-4 receivers on the field", then "Nah". But there really weren't any dominant Chase-Higgins-Boyd trios that season.

Not even on the side of the highway. Blocking a lane on the freewayl

Absolutely no disagreement about the need to surround a top passing QB with top receiving talent and a top pass protecting OL I *think* that Brady emphasized the run so much last year, especially for a couple of games (Cowboys and Chargers, which skewed the overall stats) - not because he intends the Bills to be a "run first" team but because Allen injured his shoulder worse than they wanted anyone to know, and it was getting re-aggrevated to the point that it was seriously affecting his passing motion. So they tried to give him "rest in place" games. But that could just be wishful thinking on my part. Facts, after Brady took over we had 5 games (including WC playoff) where we had more run plays than pass plays, 3 games where we had more pass plays than run plays, and the KC division loss was even. So make of that what you will. It's really the key unanswered question of the Bills 2024 season, "what exactly are Brady's intentions for the offense, and will he be able to fulfil them with the guys he has in the room?" PS it's a nit, but IMHO it's selling Samuel way short to call him a "gadget guy". While he can execute gadget plays and line up in the backfield, he is a capable slot receiver and can run routes from all the positions. He gets 600+ yds routinely when healthy, which is way more than the "gadget guy" manages.

I think that Jones has the pocket awareness of a stoned snail. And that's a problem. To be fair, Isaiah Hodgins wasn't their best receiver in 2022, and they grabbed him up because Sterling Shepard, Wan'dale Robinson, and finally Darius Slayton (who is their best receiver) was playing hurt. However and to your point, when the team's best receiver is 26 and has never had more than 50 receptions or exceeded 800 receiving yards, that is a problem. I can't. Why can you "live with" a drop off in protecting the only true and demonstrated "freakazoid" on the offense and one of the best players on the team? The Bills didn't have the fewest sacks in the league because their OL is brilliant and can afford Allen great protection if they drop off a bit, they had the fewest sacks because of Allen's ability to extend the play, move out of trouble, and scramble

It's a fair point. I'd counter that prior to his injury, DaQuan Jones was averaging just a scootch over 50% of the snaps (rising to 55% and 60% in the playoffs) If you look it up it says 43% but that's silliness arising from him going down with injury early in a game. Ed Oliver on the other hand has been a rising tide, with as many as 80-90% of the snaps in some games. Overall 72% last season and I think they'd like it to be a bit lower, they just ran out of quality bodies when Phillips went down. Personally, I think there's an argument to be made for the starter/rotational player with one guy getting 70-80% of the snaps and his backup giving him breathers, but McDermott has pretty much made it clear he will ride-or-die with a DL rotation as HC, and the impacts that has on cap and draft strategy - and this is one area where I would bet lunch money that McDermott influences draft strategy heavily. The point I was trying to make was not to label you as a teeth gnasher, but that as fans, our viewpoint about the wisdom or un-wisdom of a pick really depends upon how the player works out (and I include myself in this, just to be clear). Right after the draft, there are always "that guy was a reach" and "WTF, Beane, we need a MLB and the one thing that guy isn't projected as is just that". Then, in a couple years, if the player bombs with us, some are happy to thump their manly bosoms and say "I told you all that was a waste of a pick with no chance to work out here" and if he succeeds against predictions, you are a welcome exception but others will post their retraction in fine print on page 44 FWIW Lance Zierlein projected DeWayne as a 4th-5th round pick, but also as the 11th best DT in the draft (and he was the 8 DT drafted), so Zierlein would agree with you on the "reach". I'm not sure how much that means, as every year even the better draft pundits grade some players higher and others lower than the teams.

All McDermott's DTs are "rotational guys" I'm gonna sound like a gol durn broken record, but there was much ranting and wailing and gnashing of teeth about Beane drafting Terrel Bernard in Rd 3 - a guy who was too small and light and projected out as a weak side LB in the NFL. Well, so far the evidence says that it may have been a good pick (and may also be an example of drafting to fill an essential position before it's a desperate need), since he and Tre Edmunds overlapped a year. Even more wailing and gnashing about Dorian Williams last season, if he works out this season Beane looks smart and look, drafting before it's a desperate hole. Ditto DeWayne Carter - we drafted him while he has a year to develop. Of course, if he doesn't work out, like Cody Ford didn't work out on OL and Zack Moss didn't work out here at RB, then Beane is dumb.

I get it people have hopes for Shorter and there's also Tyrell Shavers and another UDFA Bryan Thompson who the Bills liked enough to hang on to after a season on PS. I do think the "Beane Should Have Double Dipped" folks were thinking of late 2nd through early 5th round

And I would respectfully disagree. When a former 2nd round pick who racked up >800 yds his first two years is regarded as such a bad actor that he's traded mid-season from a losing team (which then proceeds to win 7 out of 9 for a winning record), then repeats with his new team to the point where he's ordered to stay away from the facility, then barely contributes to his 3rd team offensively - what exactly leads you to regard that as moldable? When a guy who has caught passes from 2 of the best QB in football has never rocked higher than a 52% completion, what exactly leads you to regard that as moldable? As for Hamler, he may be moldable 'cuz he basically only played 1 year, but as far as injuries go, if he didn't have bad luck he'd have no luck at all. Do guys ever turn that around? It kind of seems to me some guys just can't hold up at the NFL level.

Can you list what, in your opinion, constitute the "smart teams" that in your opinion, consistently draft players at high impact positions before they become crippling needs? Thanks

Wow! Wonder why the Panthers didn't jump on that.

Claypool was a 2nd round pick. MVS was a 5th The thing is, while reclaimation does happen in the NFL (everyone who had "Geno Smith age 32 throws 30 TD and QB Seahawks to Playoffs" on their 2022 Bingo card please stand up), it's far more rare than learning that recent past performance predicts future outcome. So while I'd love to see Claypool return to 2020/2021 60 reception, 860 yd form he had with Big Ben, the reality is, he's been a Hot Mess the last 2 seasons I'd love to see MVS crack 60% receptions, but the fact is, he's caught passes from two of the best, most accurate QB in the league and has never cracked 45 receptions, 45 ypg, or 55% catch rate - and that's while seeing the field ~60% of the offensive snaps in all but one of his years. The difference between signing these guys or KJ Hamler (another former 2nd round pick, stifled by repeated injuries) vs a rookie is that the rookie is a blank slate and moldable clay. You don't know what he'll be capable of initially or become capable of. I think that's the difference that disappoints many here.

The thing is, the Bills spent a lot of time on Franklin. My memory is a bit hazy here, but if I recall correctly in addition to attention during the college season and interviews at league-wide events like Senior Bowl, they had him into the facility for a top-30 visit and did a private workout with him. So for whatever reason, the logical conclusion seems to be they didn't like him for some reason; sometimes when a team spends a lot of time on a player, it's not because they really like him, it's because they have questions or a poor first impression and want to see if that improves on more acquaintance. (Reportedly, the Bills thought Allen was too quiet and shy initially at the Senior Bowl but that impression quickly changed when they went to visit him at Wyoming and saw him where he was comfortable) It's not just the Bills, either; every team in the league passed on him in 3 rounds. It was reported he had visits with the Bills, Jets, Browns, Patriots, Panthers, and Broncos, and they all passed 3x before the Broncos took him in the 4th.

LOL

Leaving aside fragility or the lack, what's the Eagles OL, specifically the IOL? Can they run block? Who is their center? They're listing Cam Jurgens, who played C in college and was last year's RG, but has missed time with foot injuries - is he gonna really be able to step up and replace Kelce? Then who are their guards? For that matter, if they were happy with Jordon Mailata at LT what's up with drafting Tyler Steen in the 3rd last year? Interesting that Morgan started out with two ones LOL. Burns was traded to the Giants for a 2nd and a 5th.

I have not deleted or edited any posts with responses in this thread, and yes, I knew your "dumbass" and "dumb" remarks were a response targeted at me. Sorry.not.sorry to bust your "posturing" bubble You appear to devote an excessive level of time and energy to gratuitously insulting and taking shots at people on this board and to have a peculiar fascination with myself, whereas I normally ignore your posts. Consider adding a hobby. I hear stamp and coin collecting are favored by a certain type of obsessive personality; you might consider them as an additional hobby. Please don't take up training animals. I would hate to think you might re-direct your keyboard warrior vituperations at living creatures present in your locale.

The first two para's are all fair points. I agree and have posted, that at this point we may see some potential in the WR group, but thinking it got better needs to be stamped "not proven" in big letters until we see it in action. As far as the "double dipping", though - Beane had a bunch of holes on the team as well as places where he has been plugging in FA, such as DL He also has several late-round or UDFA developmental guys and a couple of former 2nd round FA who have been dogged with injuries. Did we want Beane to pass up the chance to draft Bishop, Carter, Davis, and Van Pran? Or did we want Beane to "double dip" in the late rounds? Perhaps he felt the late-round receivers were not likely to make the team over the guys we already had on the roster?

It's my understanding they both report to Pegula, who has fate control over them both. They both have said things in interviews at various times that indicate this isn't the case, for example that Beane has on occasion done things that McDermott disagreed with and only reluctantly accepted. I doubt anything will persuade you out of an opinion you hold, though.

Um....Kincaid and Diggs were both here in 2023

If DeWayne Carter and Cedric Van Pran turn out to be solid adds to the roster, we'll be taking your statement at face value and saying "yep, Good News!" Two things are possible: 1) Beane is wrong that there was ~ equal talent among the WR drafted at or after our original pick, and the guy(s) who stand out are not our guy 2) Beane is correct and /or Coleman is the pick of the lot No one knows as of yet But I can't shake the sense that the real issue for many here is that Beane failed to trade up into the top group that went with the first 10 picks

This. @HappyDays it echos a concern I've expressed a couple of times, at least once with snapshots of Carolina's roster build and how they prioritized (or didn't) the offense compared to what Beane has done. I don't follow college football enough to understand if it's the same as far as the tendency to draft high ceiling/low floor guys late in the 1st

Just a little note that last season, when the WR corps consisted of rookie Rice, Watson, Valdez-Scantling, and Skyy Moore, Reid did not get 4500 yds out of the WR group.

Wasn't he spoofing that with the cryo chamber during his post-draft visit?

Can't speak for how Allen is thinking about his career in B'lo. Neither can you. But as for GB: Oh boo hoo for poor Aaron. He can't have it both ways....there was a point a few years back, 2019 I think, where ol' A-rod was all smiles and nods because "we finally have a defense". Well, if you want a defense, you need defenders, and with Rodgers contract that means draft 'em. Rodgers started out his career throwing to Jennings (Packers 2006 2nd round pick) who had 3 consecutive 1100+ yd seasons, top 10 and top 5 in the league, with the aging but still capable GB homie Driver putting up 1000 yd seasons right behind him. They drafted Jordy Nelson with their top pick (it was a 2nd rounder) in 2008, who took a couple years to push his way into the GB starting lineup but then developed a pretty legendary connection with Rodgers. 2011 added Randall Cobb in the 2nd and 2014, Davante Adams, who became one of the best WR in the league when playing for GB Did drafting Love in the 1st round piss Rodgers off, sure. Did the Packers spend too many high picks on defense over the years? OK, I can get that argument. Stuck with McCarthy too long? I'm listening. Underinvest in WR after moving on from Adams? Yes, certainly, although some of the same room Rodgers had in 2022 were looking pretty good with Love last season, so perhaps Rodgers was part of the problem. But let's not re-write history to act as though the Packers didn't provide Rodgers with WR talent the first decade of his career. Jennings, Driver, Nelson then Nelson, Adams, Cobb (not necessarily in that order) were two pretty potent WR rooms. And, as pointed out above, at the point where Nelson moved on from GB, Rodgers still had Adams and the thing Rodgers himself took shots at was the team's lack of D Completely agree with this point. There may be enough in the WR room. Some of us are skeptical. Time will tell. But to anoint the room at this point as having gotten better? Nah. No basis for that.

Good on you for the moxie to come here and acknowledge that you were mistaken

In general for Diggs 4 years here, no, it's not a controversial claim. I think it might be a controversial claim for the second half of last season. And I asked if you had them, because you seem so very confident in your statements in the face of observations like Sneed;s [EDIT: this was actually Justin Reid's comment] "we didn't double him"; Sauce on Shakir in the clip linked above; Cosell's comments. If I could readily find them myself, I woudn't ask. I daresay some here will "shoot the messenger" but while he didn't provide stats on who was covering him and how, the somewhat controversial Tim Graham delved into a bunch of stuff about depth of target etc here https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5174435/2024/01/03/stefon-diggs-buffalo-bills-snap-counts-targets-analysis/ Sal Maiorana pointed out Diggs catch rates against top corners were abysmal at the end of the season