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Beck Water

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Everything posted by Beck Water

  1. Yep, it's both irritating that the facemask was missed and the non-catch not reviewed, and encouraging that neither of them mattered.
  2. I was watching Allen throw some beautiful arching passes tonight (yes, tonight - was traveling, watched DVR'd game tonight)
  3. My nose bleeds blue buttermilk for that guy. Hope the Bills can help him out with a nice "L"
  4. Kincaid is 6'4", 240. If a 6'4" 220 lb receiver like Nico Collins can box out or we hope a 6'3" 215 lb receiver like Coleman can learn to box out in the pros as he did in college, Kincaid should certainly be able to do it. Kincaid is an effective blocker down field, at the second level on run plays. He started out with "just get in the way" and is now actually blocking. Kincaid is not effective as an in-line blocker, where Knox has learned to be, that much is true.
  5. Reception % does not tell you the whole story here. Kincaid is asked to run routes downfield. He's respected enough as a receiver that defenses shift coverage towards him. Kincaid is smooth and fluid in his routes and with his hands. Yes, Knox is a better blocker, though Kincaid has improved.
  6. "Kittle running like the Uruk-Hai at Helm's Deep"
  7. "If you listen to the fans, you'll find yourself sitting with them" - Buddy Nix
  8. $23M injury guarantee. If they don't want to stay with him next year, it makes sense to sit his butt and play for the top pick. The only question I have is whether Schoen and Daboll stay. will maintain that since the start of 2023, the Giants simply do not look like a well-coached team, and that Daboll allowed winning COTY to go to his head. I'm not so sure of that, but it's another story.
  9. This game and Houston/Detroit last night, it's like "are both teams trying to lose?" Good lord.
  10. Sure. On three…..
  11. Siren Neal sighting
  12. He was replaced as their starting MLB 2 games ago by Ernest Jones, who the Titans traded to the Seahawks for Jerome Baker and a 4th round pick. He played Will the last 2 games and either they evaluated during bye week and decided he wasn't good enough at Will, OR, he wasn't happy about being moved from the MLB spot.
  13. I just hope this doesn't follow the pattern of Tre' White and Von Miller, where the window was opened too early and resulted in a player having to be rostered but not able to play for several weeks.
  14. Given that Goff threw a "Peterman" of picks, there is, true.
  15. Houston IS winning it, by 2 scores
  16. So is Goff
  17. It just seems pretty improbable. The success rate of a 2 point conversion is between 40 and 55%. Assuming the success of 2 2 point conversions are independent, that would be what, between 20% and 36%?
  18. I thought making it a 9 point game was the way
  19. OK, so the idea is if they converted the 2 pointer, scored another TD, AND converted another 2 pointer it would be a tie game?
  20. Can someone explain to me why Detroit went for 2 there? If they got 2 it would have been 23-15, still a 2 score game?
  21. Does anyone else experience Cris Collinsworth voice like a cheese grater to the eardrums? Sheesh.
  22. You quote M L-J on that that large number of passes within 5 yards of the LOS like it's a bad thing? The Bills are 2nd in the league for Completed Air Yards so far this season - right behind the Ravens and ahead of the Lions, Buccaneers, and Chiefs. The fact that 4 of those 5 teams are 4 of the 5 teams with 7 or more wins at this point in the season, suggests that it's very good company. Advanced stats are only available on sources I can access from 2018 on, but it's important to note that Tom Brady lived on YAC and will go to the HOF on YAC. Of course, then the occasional deep bomb which drew a DPI and got them deep into their opponents territory was always a thing, but the ball went down the field on a diet of short passes over the middle to Welker and Edelman who made guys miss and took an extra 4-5 yds to bring down, or Gronkowski who knocked guys over for an extra 4-5 yds. So those 3-4 yd passes consistently put them in 2nd and 2, 2nd and 3 and were gone before the pressure got there. Mahomes has been able to do a similar thing the previous 3 seasons, and this season to date. 58% of his yards, passes within 5 yards of the LOS followed by 6 yds RAC. This represents a shift in Allen's game, since for a winning QB he's been scant on YAC. Between 2019-2023 only 41% of his passing yards YAC. But IMO, it's a positive shift, since it means he's "taking what's given" and not trying to force the ball in to a double- or triple-covered receiver. Players are drafted and acquired based on what they've been able to produce historically. What's that they say about the stock market, "past earnings no guarantee of future performance" or something like that? Based on past performance, Samuel was a solid bet with an injury-ridden downside. It looks as though we caught the downside. It happens (see Miller, Von)
  23. I don't know, you tell me. Why does this feel like 2022 to you, all over again?
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