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Everything posted by Beck Water
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I'm really starting to love this WR room. We quietly got better
Beck Water replied to JerseyBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
I don't mind Josh going to the open guy. What I mind is when Josh passes up several open guys to take a very much lower probability throw that's a "kill shot" if he makes it, and kills the drive if he doesn't. -
I'm really starting to love this WR room. We quietly got better
Beck Water replied to JerseyBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
OK, I respect your opinion and what you see on the field. That's pretty cool if so. -
This is why I don't have a lot of respect for this Thigh Doctor guy. Where others are saying "OK, we need to wait for tests to know the severity" he's "all in" running with the worst case in both the surgery needed/no surgery needed case. Injuries are always "no bueno", but I feel like he's doomsaying for the clicks. So now we know it's a strain and won't need surgery, which still has a lot of variance to it depending on how severe the tear is, and if they haven't just slapped him on IR already they probably think it's closer to 4 weeks (or less) It depends on what you ask of your backers, right? They are choosing players who seem to fit their defensive scheme. I think every team would like a fast, athletic LB who is taller and heavier than average and has an A+ head for the game, but those guys usually get drafted earlier than the 3rd to 5th round.
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If you'll excuse my saying, I think that is pure revisionist history. I'd be glad to see your receipts on this topic. But I don't see how anyone could deny the quality and importance of Diggs contributions in 2020 thru mid 2022
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His angle-finder is solving for solutions his legs can no longer execute To be fair, though, I think I read that Cook's speed was >20 mph on that run - even a young Poyer woulda had trouble with that Is this verified?
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I didn't see a problem with the hold
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I'm really starting to love this WR room. We quietly got better
Beck Water replied to JerseyBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
There's something about this chart overall that doesn't pass the sniff test. What does "average separation" mean here? Are they talking about all of the receivers separation on every play, or only the receiver who is targetted? Take a gander at this clip from last night's game (Brian Baldinger, who everyone should check out every week if they don't) The first play in the clip is the 3rd and 12 33-yd play to Ty Johnson. From the pocket, Allen has Hollins (mis-ID'd as Coleman by Baldy) so wide open Hollins, short of the sticks, could probably pause for "a spot of tea" and still get the first down. He's got Kincaid super-open on a scramble drill. Neither of those are good enough, Allen wants to toast Jalen Ramsey like Ty Johnson is a fire and Ramsey's on a stick like a weiner. But the point is, there is separation all over the place, Allen just chooses the higher degree of difficulty throw. And this isn't by any means a unique play. -
I hope they IR him. I'm sure Bernard doesn't want to go on IR and will argue against it, but the Bills went down that road with Milano a couple years ago where they let him miss 2 games with a strain/partial tear and he couldn't lift his freakin' arm to tackle - it literally hurt the team for him to be out there plus, it cost him more time. Put the man on IR and let him heal. Fortunately, the Bills don't have to make a decision until when? a week from Monday? This is where I am. I think the Bills stay with Spector, AND they sign someone off the street, probably to the practice squad. Ouch. Actually Edmunds did have a shoulder injury - torn rotator cuff? He played worse than usual while recovering.
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Was it misting or something, and the field was greasy? Never believe an opposing player on whether a catch is good or a ball is tipped.
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Right, but why did he decide to lower his shoulder/head? He was past the first down marker at that point. Give the guy credit for knowing they're down 3 scores and wanting to make something happen, but it's 4th and 3 at the Buf 13, the minute you pass the 9 yd line PROTECT YOURSELF. He had no chance of scoring a TD there.
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I looked at the highlights, and I'm pretty convinced that it was not tipped. There was a Dolphins player who jumped up with a hand, but I found a shot where it looked as though the ball was heading wide L before it got to the Dolphins defenders. I do think Bass slipped a bit as he planted to kick, though, which considering how everyone else on the field was slipping and falling would not be a huge shock.
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All that you say is true, but the point remains that Tua made uncharacteristic mistakes. He threw a pick on the very first drive. Yes, you're correct, it was 3rd and 13, but he had Jonnu Smith wide open short, with a chance to get YAC and make it a short 4th down; he had Chosen who looked open; Bernard had Grant DuBose covered like a blanket. This is the first drive, "feeling the other guy out" territory. Tua had no reason to press like that. After a successful TD scoring drive to tie the game, Tua threw his second INT on 1st and 10, just after a successful 12 yd gain by Hill. Tua had space around him and room to step into his throw, he just overthrew Chosen (who would have been open to a better throw) and it sailed right into Bernard's waiting hands. Again, at this point the score was 7-7 and the Phins had scored on their previous drive; it was just a bad decision/throw on 1st down.
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So for reference, here is an article from Kyle Trimble (BangedUpBills) when DaQuan Jones tore his pec last season. He goes over the anatomy of the pectoral muscle and various injury mechanisms https://bangedupbills.com/2023/10/09/analyzing-buffalo-bills-daquan-joness-pectoral-injury/ He lists a number of players with pec tears and their RTP timelines. Feliciano, who tore his pec lifting weights, described it as the "worst pain he's ever felt in his life". Since it's thought that Bernard tore it several plays before he finally came out and went to the tent, either he's way tougher (possible) Or, it's not a complete tear. Injury review from Dolphins game. Trimble points out that we won't know what's going on until Bernard gets an MRI today https://bangedupbills.com/2024/09/13/buffalo-bills-vs-miami-dolphins-week-2-injury-review/
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I haven't wanted to "go there", but I will at this time. Bear in mind that in 2022, Tua had a horrible 2nd concussion complete with fencing response on Thursday night....after he had what every "injury spotter" doc and even talking heads felt pretty sure was a concussion on Sunday afternoon vs the Bills Prior to the concussion last night, Tua was having a "terrible, horrible, no good very bad" game against the Bills. One of Tua's calling cards is being "careful with the football": having good judgement, knowing when to check it down or throw it away, being "careful with the football" (maybe too careful). In 2022, McDaniel's 1st year, he had 25 TD to 8 INT. Last year he took more chances, but still 29 to 14. It's not that he's never thrown a 3 INT game before, but only one other since his rookie year. I've wondered if careful scrutiny would show a possible concussion that went un-addressed during the Mia-Jax game leading to uncharacteristic mistakes. Yeah, Damar basically stood there like a wall and Tua lowered his helmet and ran right into him. I mean, c'Mon man!
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I'm really starting to love this WR room. We quietly got better
Beck Water replied to JerseyBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
You'll have a happier life if you stop looking over the fence into the neighbor's field and performing comparative analysis of his pasture quality. In the two games we played, the Bills have 59 rush attempts (58%) to 42 pass attempts (42%). The reason is, the Dolphins were vulnerable against the run, and Joe Brady seems to live by the mantra "if it's working, we're gonna keep doing it until you stop it". So he kept running. You can see this in the fact that Knox (who can block in-line and downfield) actually had more snap counts than Kincaid (whose blocking is improving, but still mostly limited to being in the right place at the right time and giving a little shove. Look at the snap counts, which are out already. They're interesting. 91% is "I played the whole game" because they pulled the starters after that. Keon Coleman basically didn't come off the field until they pulled the starters at the end. I would love to know what routes he was running because unlike Hollins, who had the second highest snap count among the WR, Keon is not in there to block. He can block, but like any rookie he's learning how it's done in the Big Leagues. Samuel saw 12 snaps in last night's game. MVS saw 4. So I'm not sure where you're seeing "they didn't get separation downfield" because, they were barely on the field, and sometimes when they were, they did; MVS had separation on a dangerous off-platform pass from Allen which he shouldn't have thrown. -
Von Miller proves the doubters wrong
Beck Water replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I came here to share this -
Maybe the coaching staff should put their bodies in harm's way by trying to Do Their Job and make a tackle while Rapp is launching himself head-first into their knees and ankles
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Not sure I registered it, but didn't he have a really strong PBU in the endzone yesterday (Bishop I mean?) It was at the end of the game, but good coverage. This. Ingram is not playing safety, he's their dime back, which is a role Lewis was filling until Johnson went down. And he's filling it well. But we're not gonna see Ingram competing with Rapp or Hamlin at safety.
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Sharp is correct. I don't know what Phifer is seeing. Hamlin can be a "thumper" but in this instance, he was not at all prepared to "thump". That was such an unnecessary hit. Po going "Rapp" on his teammates, flying in for a hit when there were 2 guys already there.
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Josh is rationalizing in favor of his personal preference, which is to keep running and put his shoulder down or stiff-arm defenders. He enjoys that, and by now, every defender in the league is like "*****, here comes that MF. He ain't gonna Posterize ME!" so there is a higher risk of a late hit by a revved up defender who doesn't expect him to slide. Tua, on the other hand, should not be putting his head down. He just isn't built for it.
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Ingram isn't a safety
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Thank you. Yes, Hamlin played well last night. See this? There are two reasons for this. One is pressure. The other is solid coverage.
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I'm having trouble parsing this. You're saying Tua might have felt it was safer to keep running with a safety right there than to slide?