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Beck Water

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Everything posted by Beck Water

  1. LOL me neither, especially where Baysian statistics are concerned.
  2. I should probably stay out of this, but fools rush in where What I think I’m hearing from you and @HappyDays seems to me like the somewhat different statistical conclusions reached by Bayesian and non-Bayesian statistics. It’s analogous to the “Monty Hall Problem”. The classical statistics approach is to look at the set conditions and calculate a generally applicable probability. The Bayesian statistical approach is to utilize additional information available to modify analysis. In the case of the “4th Down Bot” the information would include how successful the specific IOL is at the play, how successful the DL is at stuffing it, any other available details applicable to that given situation with those specific teams. JMO But if you look at the link above, you’ll see that the Monty Hall Problem was hotly contested by very knowledgeable smart people, both ways
  3. Some of both, but Bengals say “Hold My Beer” Wish they had more than a 3 point lead though
  4. I consider it a courtesy to someone I’m involved in discussion - feel free to put effort into a response, but do it knowing I won’t engage further If you don’t see it the same way, that’s fine, but I’ll follow my own standards, Thanks.
  5. Well crap. C’mon 49ers get the ball back and hang on to it, score again
  6. My Goodness! Burrows makes something happen!
  7. If only Boyd hadn’t dropped that TD Oh crap gonna be holding against the Bengals
  8. Doesn’t that show that the win % is higher if you successfully kick a FG than if you fail to convert a go for it?
  9. Lucky horseshoe sticking halfway out Mahomes butt
  10. MVS with the great catch
  11. As others commented, this really deserved its own thread. So I started one. You’re welcome
  12. Let’s join our 49er rooting interests where it’s 17-10 49’ers, they just picked Tua, and they’re driving Go SF!
  13. Down the hall, first door on the right for Dolphins
  14. I’ve certainly been frustrated by a couple games where the Bills went for it and in hindsight, they could have won if they took the points
  15. And I would generally have no problem if Josh could be persuaded to slide moire OK, Bengals, deep breath, go down and retake the lead
  16. And I would generally have no problem if Josh could be persuaded to slide moire
  17. Can we please find a Pacheco in the 7th or wherever he was?
  18. Great minds think alike 😃
  19. Lucky horseshoe firmly wedged up their posteriors
  20. If he isn’t, you couldn’t tell the difference
  21. That was horrible. Eagle should never never be allowed to announce another Jets game for a network
  22. Romo gabbling about how Mahomes and Reid are becoming a dynasty just as the KC drive stalls out, not a good look
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