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Everything posted by Beck Water
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Ah, OK, thanks for clarifying! That seems like a stat which ought to be available, but, I’m not sure where. Do you know a source for these stats?
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Just a little point that Josh has 16 fumbles and has lost 6 of them, which is a bit ahead of the 50/50 odds these things are supposed to have, and supports maybe "average" luck?
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Greg Cosell Preview of Bills vs Bengals on One Bills Live
Beck Water replied to Beck Water's topic in The Stadium Wall
One of Cosell's comments is actually that there's no "synchronicity" (his word) between the Bills running game and passing game - meaning that there aren't connections between the run plays and pass plays they run where defending the threat of one opens up the other. -
https://www.buffalobills.com/video/greg-cosell-bengals-at-bills-in-depth-preview for those who might still be debating the INT on the pass to John Brown - Cosell leads off the show talking about it. Says that it's a "flood concept", the play is designed to go to Dawson Knox as the first read but he's covered. Says John Brown is running a clear route and you never want to go to John Brown on that play, but that's the way Josh thinks. Puts the blame on Josh for that one. As always, a good listen. Overall, my impression is that the Bills offense kind of puzzles Cosell. He sees it as "erratic". But then he looks at the end result, where the Bills score a lot of points, and sort of throws up his hands. He acknowledges that it's the best 3rd down offense in football, so "something must be working"
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If he never practices, how come he had no designation for W and Th practice? If he's paid a lot of money, how come he shows up on the Spotrac Bills Salary Cap list as playing on a Veteran Salary Benefit contract? If he's invisible on the field, how come I always see him on coverage and return ST? 🤷♂️ Recent high visibility - Hines 2nd KO ret vs Pats who is to Hines R as he finishes the run? Just cuz there was no Pats left to block, doesn't mean he wasn't in the right place ready to do the right thing. At 34, can't argue with you on the "old" part tho. But Hines can really scoot - and look who was right there with him You got it!
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As has been said. Troll. Ignore.
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Just a troll poster, Ignore him.
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LOL because firing a coach always works out so well for a team. Denver: 9-7 with Trevor Siemian unacceptable 1 year after we won the Superbowl, let's fire Kubiak and move on from Wade Phillips! Denver since 2017: Waaaaah, we suck! Haven't had a winning season since we fired Kubiak! Cowherd can bite me. Lots of things this depends upon; Cincy has rhythm passing game and Burrows can get the ball out quickly and function behind a patchwork OL, he's had to most of his career. They don't depend much on the run, so maybe limited running chops won't hurt them. And then, what do they do on Defense and what do we do on Offense? Saying that Cincy is down 3 OLmen so if the Bills don't win the coaches should be fired is fools talk.
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I don't think he batted the ball into the air on that pick. He was trying to body catch it and his L arm was held down then the DB got a hand in to bat it up. The main concern I have with Beasley is that while his footwork and moves are exquisite, he still seems very slow. I think a couple catches were missed because he wasn't where Josh expected him to be in the route at the point the ball got there. That's timing that could be adjusted, of course, but that takes reps and of course, being slower means the D has more time to adjust.
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Now I'm getting mad - Burrow vs. Allen & Buffalo Bills talk
Beck Water replied to Billsfan1972's topic in The Stadium Wall
8 or 10 I think, but yeah. -
Right, so (and I didn't read the Ringer article because I don't have a lot of respect for Solak) this is where context matters. The completion to Diggs, on 3rd and 15 from the Buf 42, was a high value-added choice if it was there. There were open options underneath, but likely would have been tackled short of the 1D and outside of FG range. If we didn't convert, we were gonna punt anyway, so why not take a shot? The interception to Brown, on 1st and 10 from the Buf 47, is more ambiguous. On the one hand, we have two more tries to convert if if falls incomplete so why not take a shot? On the other hand, we had guys open underneath who could have gained at least half the distance to convert, and at that point we were leading 17-3. Taking the play with the higher probability of sustaining the drive may have more value there. I don't fundamentally have a problem with taking a shot, but need to be sure that it will either be an incompletion or a completion. Whatever caused the DB to be in better position to make the catch than Brown was, we can't have that.
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Wow, I guess this is one of those "eye of the beholder" things. Beasley had an INT bounce off his numbers in a play that some here think "any NFL WR should be able to catch"; I dunno about catch, because I see him as being held pretty hard, but he was in a position to bat the ball down or OOB if he couldn't catch it and prevent the pick. He had 2 receptions on 5 targets, a catch rate we have pilloried other WR for, in addition to the INT that bounced off him (which we have also pilloried other WR for). Beautiful that he had that TD catch, truly clutch. But how do the Bills assess the other 3 targets/the INT? If everyone is healthy, will his snaps stay where they are? Getting back to your question, I think Gilliam and Morris could both have big games, but I'd like to think Shakir is poised to break out.
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Like I said elsewhere, the Bengals have to choose. Either they were a great team of sportsmen who were also traumatized by thinking they just witnessed a brother player taken off dead, and whose players and coaches mutually decided with the Bills players and coaches that they couldn't reasonably continue the game OR they were screwed out of the #2 seed by a Bills team too soft for The Show Must Go On mentality they would have preferred to embrace and robbed of the win the first 10 minutes guarantees they would have gotten Either Or, Not Both
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I think you'd have to start by demonstrating that there is, indeed, some kind of quantifyable difference in how Josh plays at 1 pm vs later.
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OK, please feel free to point us at them. Hit me in PM if you need to know how to link a previous post. Totally fair not to rehash what you've previously spelled out, totally not good enough to leave it at "He just is, for reasons" and expect to be taken seriously in a thread specifically about Dorsey. I think the "once in a while" is part of the problem. Eric Wood had a piece where he was discussing the Bills problems with screens and he said when the Bills were running them successfully under Gailey and with Roman as OC, they practiced them A LOT to get the timing down.
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I don't know what "to blame" means. What we don't know (and Solak doesn't know) is how the reads in the play are. Dorsey has said over and over again that his mindset is to be aggressive: "Play smart not conservative" The easy yards are indeed there, but Josh has instructions to read the play (probably from deep to shallow) and when to take the shot.
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I don't think we should cite Benjamin Solak here without posting a few of his receipts. Prior to the draft, Solak had this to say about Josh Allen: He didn't have Allen in his top-100 pre draft Basically, kudos to this mid-20s journalist for maneuvering his opinions from NDT Scouting into larger markets like "The Ringer" and making a good living at writing about football, but let's Contextualize his Writing with his demonstrated previous football acumen: sporadic accuracy. ------------------------------------- As far as the offense: People who spend far more time breaking down Bills film (Cover1) have said there is really only about 20-30% carryover between Daboll's offense and Dorsey's.
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