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Everything posted by Beck Water
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Of course he is not. He's a troll. Tuck him in your ignore file and enjoy the improvement to the board.
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The Missus will not be happy to have to keep her bikinis packed Sept thru January, but I've always thought in the final run Poyer does not let her keep his balls in her purse where professional decisions are involved.
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It seems to me there's been a lot of talk on this board since the playoff exit, criticizing Beane's drafting and player personnel decisions. Somehow the Bills have managed to have a #2 or #1 defense 3 of the last 4 years with horrible personnel management and currently, no players on defense who would fetch a 2nd round pick. Go Figgur. I didn't understand the euphoria about Hines myself. Some people on the board were reacting as though he was our Budget Christian McCaffrey. I looked at his record with Indy and thought he was a signing for ST and as an injury reserve for Cook and for McKenzie, given that Shakir seemed to be struggling a bit to master the slot and get open and was not "all that and a bag of chips" as a KR/PR. Hines filled that role. Allen misses short options because his brain edits them out when he scans the field like the new Smartphone photo software, and Dorsey/Brady seem less able than Daboll/Dorsey at smacking some sense into him.
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I think it's quite possible McKenzie doesn't make the 53 man roster, but the Bills bring him into camp to compete with this guy and others. JMO. If this guy wins out, McKenzie will pocket $350,000 in new money (roster and workout bonus), the Bills will use his $1.87M salary and per-game roster bonuses to cover the expansion from 51 to 53 + PS McKenzie may then retire and plan his wedding and run his restaurant, and this board will look for a new whipping boy. OTOH, if Hardy gets injured in camp or doesn't work out as they wish, the Bills will take their lumps like they did with OJ Howard and keep McKenzie, like they kept Morris and Sweeney. That scenario sees it as a $2M-$5M gamble. Viewed that way, it's entirely consistent with Beane's MO: Corey Coleman for $3.5M in 2018 when we needed better OLmen desperately, OJ Howard for $3.5M in 2022, now this.
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"Big upgrade to McKenzie" OK - What does McKenzie look like for the same time period by the same metrics, did Cover1 say? Maybe this guy is a big upgrade. In his 4 full years with the Bills, McKenzie saw 451, 270, 257, and 555 snaps, during which he proved himself able to stay on the field. In his 4 years with the Saints, Hardy saw 66, 169, 298, and 24 snaps, during which he didn't prove himself able to stay on the field. So Hardy only has one season of comparable #s of snaps. The rest is a small data set. Cover1 tried to adjust only looking 3 years back, so that takes out the smallest data set. OK. In the last 3 years, from available numbers I can crunch, McKenzie has more yards, more receptions, more TD and more 1D and it's not close, because he's been on the field consistently. What about per route? I don't know, but the bottom line, Hardy has 1 year of better production when he saw comparable snaps (298), which is great - but it's 1 year. In addition to sharing your injury history concerns .... it's great that this guy has all these YAC. But we all know the biggest factor in enabling YAC is a QB who can and will hit the underneath guy quickly and accurately, in-stride. You and I have discussed this before, I believe - a big factor in our WR and RB not having good YAC has been Josh Allen hanging onto the ball waiting for something downfield to open up, then dumping off when it's clear to both him AND the defense there's no alternative so they close quickly. There's some other things, like McKenzie has much higher 1D/tgt - but that likely again reflects the QB, Josh doesn't like to make a throw that doesn't have a chance to convert a 1D. McKenzie's cap hit is $2.5M. If this guy's cap hit is $3.7M, that's a 50% increase. In theory, if he lives up to his best year 2021 and stays healthy AND Josh uses him appropriately, he could produce more. But as said elsewhere, "hope is not a good plan" and neither is theory.
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Concur. It's not just last season, it's that he's ended 2 of his 4 seasons on IR and has missed 2, 7, 4, and 13 games. If this move is because the Bills want to hand off the KR/PR responsibilities to this guy and keep Hines focused on the offense, I'm not sure they picked the right guy. I feel like half the board is hailing every signing of a small fast guy because they want to get rid of Isaiah McKenzie, their right, but this doesn't seem like it fills any of our significant needs on the team. We have a good KR/PR in Hines. We have a fast smurf who has far more playing experience running routes in McKenzie. We need a big-bodied guy who can't be taken out of the play by physical DBs, who can bring in jump or off target b alls, and who is available, not spending a lot of time on IR or injury report, IMO.
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https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/football/news/bills-deonte-harty-heading-to-buffalo/ Missed 13 games on IR with a toe injury last season. I hope it's at least contingent on him passing a physical. McKenzie is a Smurf at 5'8" 178 lb Hardy is a SuperSmurf at 5'6" 170 lb "The Best Ability is Availability" Hardy has played in 14, 9, 13, and 4 games Same stretch McKenzie has played in 15, 16, 15, and 15 games. If the Bills intended to cut McKenzie this spring, it's surprising to me that they haven't already done it so he could be on the market during the first burst of FA. That would be the usual courtesy to a guy who has gone hard for them: give him the maximum chance to get out there, but perhaps "things have changed" Hardy has been most active as a KR/PR
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Um, this is the "legal tampering period". Technically, Poyer is still under contract to the Bills (last year's contract) until the new league year starts Weds. So no, he's not a UFA - yet - and he can't sign with any team other than the Bills until the new league year starts later this week (he can agree in principle to a contract, but not sign one)
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Post-June 1 only applies to a player who is cut (I learnt yesterday it can't be applied to the accelerated dead cap resulting from a trade. In any event, it most certainly doesn't apply to signing a player; the rule is, you got to have the cap available before the deal goes through.
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It's not totally impossible that McKenzie knows something we don't - but I doubt it, unless it happens to be someone he's friends/former teammates with and in communication (and yes, Gabe Davis would fall into that category and no, we are not trading Gabe Davis for Nuk Hopkins) My best guess is that he's looking at what we're looking at - the fact that the Bills restructured both Allen and Von Miller, and after re-signing a few of our own "glue" guys, still basically have all of that cap space available (spotrac still doesn't show the impact of Milano's extension, so a lot of small re-signings are covered by that). It doesn't make sense that Beane would restructure Von Miller unless he's trying to swing a trade or sign another FA. Unlike restructuring Josh, it's not a good or even neutral move for the Bills. It's a move to clear cap quickly. So I think McKenzie's intent is cheering Beane on, like when he tweeted about Trevor Lawrence "Trevor Lawrence Prove them Wrong Then" during the Jags @ Chargers game. "Beane After Dark", hopefully it works (Lawrence won, 31-30 after all) JMO
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Good point - Cover1 follows 7.5k accounts, but has 29.1k followers This guy follows 1.4k, has 1.9k followers.
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So this is kinda like the Dolphins version of Cover1 Network? Eh, sometimes those guys know something
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The Commanders released RB J.D. McKissic.
Beck Water replied to Bag of Milk's topic in The Stadium Wall
Doubtful. They were very thin on punt returners with Crowder and Hyde on IR, and Shakir wasn't 'all that' -
Tre' White coined it
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Source on Twitter? 'cuz I was just searching Rapaport and Schefter and etc and none of them have it. With a "big cheese" like Rosenhaus as his agent you think they'd know
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Whoaoa, Isn't that leaving it a bit late? Matsko has an OL coaching pedigree reaching back to the St Louis Rams in the days of the "Greatest Show on Turf" and their SB win (1999-2005)/strong offense - 4 out of 6 years #1 or #2 offense. Definitely a WCO based on the timing of the QB footwork and the routes matching up, correct reads and accurate throws, although Martz did demand extended protection of the OL for a vertical passing game. Then after a bit of moving around, he stuck with Rivera and the Panthers from 2011-2019, basically Newton's entire tenure as starter (during which they had 4 playoff appearances and a Superbowl loss, and I never thought Newton had a good OL). Then he moved to Washington with Rivera. Wonder what happened there? Did he finally tell them they were asking him to make chicken ***** into fried chicken on the OL?
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Right. Well, I guess technically OBJ wasn't one of his weapons in Green Bay, but... If Rodgers doesn't like Garrett Wilson and Tyler Conklin, the Bills could take them off their hands.
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If you're not confused and you know how it works, then why are you confusing the data teams pay for, and the PFF grading system? If you read carefully what I wrote, nothing I said refutes the idea that former players and coaches do work at PFF - just the contention that they're intimately involved in the play by play, game by game analysis that produces the PFF player grades. Listing names does not argue that point. Nor does saying the initial analysis is QC'd. How carefully is each play QC'd and by whom? I'm outta here. Your choice of screen name is too ironic for me.
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Last season, the R side of our OL could be summed up as: Not Good Enough (actually, so could our L side but) So basically, your thinking is that Beane is just moving air molecules around when he talks about protecting Allen, and there will be no real effort to improve upon the weaker side of the line?
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Nyhiem Hines Restructures - Takes a pay cut to stay in Buffalo.
Beck Water replied to Draconator's topic in The Stadium Wall
Can you identify what you're keying on for us? He's so indistinguishable that...wait for it...some put him in an ignore file and never respond to him