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Everything posted by Beck Water
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That could be so, although, he was "mad bombing" it a bit during the Jets game, before the injury, and dirting balls in the 2nd half of the Vikes game. There was some speculation he dinged something, shoulder or elbow, in the late 2 Q of the GB game, possibly on his 6 yd run in the Red Zone 2nd to last drive. Notable that Allen was 11-8 (73%) with 2 TD, no INT in the first half, and 14-5 (36%) with 2 picks and a couple of dirt balls in the 2nd half. Was then 18/24 next week in the Jets game (53%) with 2 INTs. Pretty big plummet in his completion % those 2 games.
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If Hopkins not available, then what? We DO need another good WR!
Beck Water replied to Deadstroke's topic in The Stadium Wall
Draft. There are pages describing WR and TE draft prospects who might work Beane has also said the Bills haven't closed the door on OBJ -
Will DeAndre Hopkins be available this offseason?
Beck Water replied to NeverOutNick's topic in The Stadium Wall
I have the impression (from the flyer taken on OJ Howard) that Dorsey would like to use 2 TE sets. So if he's a solid 1st round pick who is ready to at least function as an NFL WR as he learns the rest of his job, I'd be for it. -
Will DeAndre Hopkins be available this offseason?
Beck Water replied to NeverOutNick's topic in The Stadium Wall
What do you think about Jordan Addison? Greg Cosell named him as a WR he thought might be there who would fit the Bills needs -
Will DeAndre Hopkins be available this offseason?
Beck Water replied to NeverOutNick's topic in The Stadium Wall
OK, I misinterpreted "A little harder for the skeptics to paint this as a mirage speculated on the basis of IG posts and pseudo-NFL Insiders on Twitter." Nothing pseudo about Rapaport, but still speculation and conjecture. -
Will DeAndre Hopkins be available this offseason?
Beck Water replied to NeverOutNick's topic in The Stadium Wall
That's how I see it. When we traded for Diggs, several posters here critiqued the deal saying that it's not just "we traded a first and stuff for Diggs, a great WR, and the Vikes got Jefferson in the first, so we both won". The Vikes got a great player on a cost-controlled rookie deal while we got a great older player for whom we had to pay a fat contract. I still think the deal was a good one: the Bills got a savvy vet who could help Allen develop and help raise the level of the WR room; the Vikes got a youngster who could learn to do things as their savvy vet QB wanted them done. But that's not where we are now. If the Bills are going to sustain success, they have to get production from cost-controlled drafted players. -
Will DeAndre Hopkins be available this offseason?
Beck Water replied to NeverOutNick's topic in The Stadium Wall
I see your point, but I also think it's "reading the tea leaves" to see that tweet as singling out the Bills. -
Will DeAndre Hopkins be available this offseason?
Beck Water replied to NeverOutNick's topic in The Stadium Wall
Or, maybe some team with a young QB (or a capable QB with minimal weapons) and big cap space will pay something closer to it. The Bears have more cap space than they know what to do with, for example, and a young QB who could use a savvy vet WR who can catch anything flung in his general direction. They have extra draft picks after trading their first to the Panthers. The Panthers have 2nd most cap space, made it clear they're taking a QB who could benefit from a savvy vet WR, and they still have their own 2nd and 4th round picks as well as the 3rd and 4th rounder they got from SF in the McCaffrey trade. The Lions have they 3rd most cap space. They are going into Dan Campbell's 3rd year, have Goff under a manageable contract for 2 more years, and lost 5 games by 3 or 4 points. They may feel the clock is ticking for them, and feel like adding a second top WR to Amon-Ra St Brown would put them over the top and flip those games, giving them 13-4 or 14-3. They have the 3rd most free cap space and 8 draft picks, 4 in the first 2 rounds so they're well-positioned to trade a 2nd round pick without hurting their board. Good NFL WR can be arrogant. They feel that they can make catches and yards with anyone throwing to them - Tyreek Hill saying to a reporter "I could make yards with you throwing to me." My sense of DHop is that's something he would say. So it's probably more important to Hopkins to go to a team that can pay him, than it is for him to go to a team that has one of the best QB in the league. See above - I made a case for 3 teams with a buttload of cap space. -
To my point about Allen playing as though the "governor" were off his Ferrari - Allen had gotten markedly better about taking the checkdowns in 2020 and even better in 2021. And even last season, he had games where he methodically moved the ball down the field - the loss at Miami, the win at KC. Last season, he mysteriously stopped taking those chain moving throws AND started running like a maniac again. The $93.7M question for Allen, Dorsey, and McDermott is how to reverse that trajectory.
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His point is: if the board is flooded with it, by definition it is NOT an unpopular opinion.
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Will DeAndre Hopkins be available this offseason?
Beck Water replied to NeverOutNick's topic in The Stadium Wall
I'm sure, but I searched the thread for what I thought to be likely keywords and couldn't find it. -
Will DeAndre Hopkins be available this offseason?
Beck Water replied to NeverOutNick's topic in The Stadium Wall
I musta missed the actual news about AZ's price. Is that what they want? The 49ers took a lot of criticism for giving up essentially the heart of their draft board this year (2nd 3rd and 4th) plus a late pick (5th) next year. But, they got a 26 yr old player under contract for 4 years, with a minor salary in 2023 and a reasonable $12M/yr going forward. And, he was a true difference maker. To ask that for a 31 yr old player who gets $19.5M this year and $14.9M next, for a guy who only played 19 of 34 games last two seasons, ended 2021 with an MCL injury, took PEDs and was suspended 6 games in the healing process, and reportedly missed the last two games of 2022 because he "tweaked" that injury - Wow. I do NOT want the Bills to pay that price. Maybe that's just me. But Hopkins would not be a "final piece" for the Bills. We need an MLB, another 3TDT, and IMHO at least solid RT competition for Brown. Rapaport is legit, but to take what he tweeted and apply it to the Bills sounds like heavy speculation to me. -
I dunno, Gunner. Last season Josh was pulling ***** he hadn't pulled since his rookie year and somewhat his 2nd season. Hurdling guys, trucking guys. It was like someone took the governor off his engine. He was not doing that stuff in 2020 and 2021 to the same degree. I think he must have finished the season bruised and beaten to hell, and it hindered him, and he and McDermott both know it. I don't think you'll take it out of him entirely, but I don't see why he can't at least go back to what he was doing in 2020. Have you looked at the all-22 to verify that there were no underneath options that would have moved the chains om some of those? I have not. I ask, because in earlier games where Josh was throwing deep a lot, there actually were players open underneath that would have gained yards (on 1st and 10) or moved the chains (on 3rd and 4, 3rd and 2. I can't tell you if Josh doesn't see them, or doesn't trust them, or doesn't trust himself to hit them. But I can tell you they were there in previous games, and I believe they were probably there against Cincy.
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Absolutely! As I said, totally understandable to want an upgrade - but let's give the guy credit for what he's asked to do and what he's done.
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In fact, he does not lead the league in drops https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2022/receiving_advanced.htm He's like 14th in drop percentage, which I think is the most meaningful number. I'm not saying he doesn't have too many drops, but why exaggerate? What are their metrics? Because by passer rating when targeted, he's pretty low - but that's a metric that speaks at least as much about the QB and when/how he targets the WR. Gabe can have a low passer rating when targeted because Josh is throwing it away in his general direction a lot, or throwing him off-target, uncatchable balls. By most metrics which most people use to assess WR, he's quite a bit better than that - you know, receiving yards (33), yds per game (34), Y/R (2), TD (19) 1D (49). His catch % is low though (186) but again, I'm not sure that's all on him - I think Josh did him no favors with the target #s. That's not to say that you, or I, or the Bills, shouldn't be wanting an upgrade at #2, but why not recognize what the guy did, and did well?
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Concur. Also as I've said elsewhere, Beane has talked about "his process" for want of a better term - he likes to focus on our impending FA, on FA, and make contract changes/extensions only as he needs to to get under the cap and sign his FA. Then the draft. Then he gets to work on contract extensions.
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Will DeAndre Hopkins be available this offseason?
Beck Water replied to NeverOutNick's topic in The Stadium Wall
There had been talk the previous fall when Diggs went AWOL and got fined. But the Vikes said "no". When it happened, there was none of this long dragged out schtuff. Diggs tweeted something about a new beginning, Beane's people called Vikes "hey, is he available?" and the next thing we knew he was in Buffalo. -
Will DeAndre Hopkins be available this offseason?
Beck Water replied to NeverOutNick's topic in The Stadium Wall
Why should we give credence to a dude called "ErieCountyBulls" who is following almost as many people as he has followers? I mean, I know a guy has to start somewhere but for someone who joined Twitter in 2014, 9 years ago, those are miniscule numbers Has this guy ever said anything else that shows credibility? https://www.audacy.com/wgr550/sports/bills/brandon-beane-address-deandre-hopkins-speculation?utm_campaign=sharebutton&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_term=WGRAM -
Taylor Rapp Signing with Bills
Beck Water replied to hellofellowbillsfans's topic in The Stadium Wall
I think we'll see a DaQuan Jones extension, and possibly from comments Beane has dropped an Ed Oliver extension. Beane has made it clear in the past that before FA and the draft, he focuses on renegotiating contracts/extensions only as needed to generate cap. Then after the draft, he gets busy looking at extensions. I'm sure they'll draft DL as well, the question is where? -
Taylor Rapp Signing with Bills
Beck Water replied to hellofellowbillsfans's topic in The Stadium Wall
Crass to follow my own post, but I got news On Ed Oliver. Beane sounds like he plans on him being here and even mentioned extension: Also, it's reported Jordan Phillips has been to Buffalo on a FA visit. Since he knows the facility, I would assume that would be for a physical check and maybe a look at how he's working out, maybe a chat about the defense? -
Scouting Report Daiyan Henley ILB rounds 2-3
Beck Water replied to PrimeTime101's topic in The Stadium Wall
I mean, I read his scouting report - I read Bernard's scouting report. I never said that I thought speed and size are the only things that matter. I asked how the two of them differ. Your answer? -
Scouting Report Daiyan Henley ILB rounds 2-3
Beck Water replied to PrimeTime101's topic in The Stadium Wall
Please say more about this belief. Seriously - based on his scouting report, preseason, the 6 games where he saw snaps on ST (mostly early in the season), the 12 snaps he saw on D - whatcha got? PS in case not clear - pure request for information and understanding -
So you can't change who he fundamentally is, but you can change how he applies who he is. Fundamentally, Josh Allen is very competitive. So if you persuade him the best way to win is to give other people the ball and let them make plays, that's what he'll do. If he gets into a mindset like "Sebastian the Frog" where "You want it done right, you got to do it yourself", he'll run. Case in point: Josh ran less in 2019 and 2020. Less attempts per game, less yards. In 2019, he was given Brown and Beasley. In 2020, Diggs. So Josh saw that the way to win was to get those guys the ball and let them make plays. In 2021, Emmanual Sanders was not what we hoped and Beasley had fallen off, and the run game was moribund, plus, teams had figured out how to defend us more effectively. So, Josh ran more. In 2022, even more so - the scheme was less effective, the way Josh was executing it was less effective, Josh went into "superhero" mode. Get him more tools, and he'll use them. INteresting perspective. I think he had several. One was named Lee Smith and he was traded to Atlanta in 2021. One was named Daboll and is now coaching in NJ The damage they do to black cars - yeah, looks ain't everything
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Bills Draftees Don't Contribute Much
Beck Water replied to hondo in seattle's topic in The Stadium Wall
Interestingly, a very similar statement using very similar language was made in another thread about 6 days ago, and corrected there (see below) "Ironically, the one time Beane DID give up pretty quickly and trade a drafted player away, said player immediately became an All-Pro elsewhere. Unfortunately, that incident only seems to have increased Beane's willingness to stick it out with other, lesser players." Teller did NOT instantly develop into an All-Pro guard. In his 2nd season (1st with the Browns) he started 9 games, then 11, then in his 4th year went to Pro-Bowl (was not all pro). Not taking away that today he is a very good guard, but it wasn't "instant all pro" when he went elsewhere. The explanation has been made multiple times. @Bleeding Bills Blue's explanation is correct, minus a few details. The Bills were determined to give Allen a functional NFL center. They demand positional flexibility from their backup guards. Morse was in concussion protocol most of training camp. Teller was slated into a backup role, but was not as good at switching sides as Bates and Boettger, nor did he have experience starting at C like Long or show promise at C like Bates. So Teller was odd man out. In hindsight, both Feliciano and Bates can play C and play it better than Long, but the GM has to make decisions based on the info he has at the time. -
McDermott "officially" calling D plays
Beck Water replied to DrDawkinstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
Someone when this was first brought up asserted that some fantastic number - 3/4 or 2/3 or something - of head coaches call plays on one or the other side of the ball. When I asked "who are these coaches then?" or where the info game from I got blown off, but it's actually an interesting question to me. Here's a list of NFL HC, anyone know how many of them call plays? I went on a picnic with my Dad and came home with my Mom....Wait, What?