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Everything posted by Beck Water
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Florio raises an excellent question:
Beck Water replied to Pine Barrens Mafia's topic in The Stadium Wall
This is actually a point I’ve been contemplating for a while. DL rotation is foundational to McDermott’s defense. I’m just uncertain how successful it actually can be to add difference-making players when you need, as you say, 8 or 9 DL who are good enough to see substantial snaps each game. The 3 CB aren’t an issue IMHO. You need 3 LB + 2 CB or 2 LB + 3 CB, the starters play almost every snap, I don’t think nickel CBs are more expensive than top LB. -
Florio raises an excellent question:
Beck Water replied to Pine Barrens Mafia's topic in The Stadium Wall
I can’t disagree with the sentiment here. -
Florio raises an excellent question:
Beck Water replied to Pine Barrens Mafia's topic in The Stadium Wall
So bunch of stuff here. First off, what does he mean talking about “team friendly deal” and “money I left behind”? In August 2021 when Allen signed, it was the 2nd biggest contract in NFL history (behind Mahomes) and had the most guaranteed money. So at the time it was drafted and signed, it was very much aligned with market value for a top QB. News flash, contracts go up,, and a contract that was at the top of the league in 2021 is gonna look like a bargain now. It’s a fair point that the Bills have underinvested on defense relative to offense overall. There was a really good article - I think in Buffalo Rumblings by Skarkrow - breaking down the draft investment using the trade value chart. I think it did FA as well. Fundamentally, while overall the draft investment of picks are roughly equal, the draft value (highest picks) are skewed towards D. Similar skew in FA signings, I believe. Yet in terms of salary cap investment - of the top 6 cap hits this year, 4 are on offense (Allen, Diggs, Dawkins, Morse) and 2 are on defense (Tre White, Ed Oliver). The next 6 are 5 on defense (Hyde, Johnson, Jones, Miller, Milano) and 1 on offense (Knox). So top 12, 5 on offense, 7 on defense. It’s not as though there isn’t siubstantial contract investment on offense. It’s weird of Florio to single out “cheap guard” and “AJ Klein”. Boettger was brought back on a VSB contract (cap charge of 2nd year player) and Klein is very likely to be close to minimum as well. Every team makes these moves, veteran depth on minimum salary. Overall in FA, the Bills offensive investment has outpaced its defensive investment. One can argue as to whether or not Conner McGovern is a *good* guard or Deonte Harty a *good* receiver, but the Bills invested $31.85M of contract $$ in them vs. $15.5M in their top defensive FA signings, so “cheap” doesn’t seem like the right descriptive. Last but not least, we have no idea the private conversations Josh has had with Beane and with McDermott. He may already have “made noise” as far as what he sees as needs to take the next step. -
Florio raises an excellent question:
Beck Water replied to Pine Barrens Mafia's topic in The Stadium Wall
If he asked, it was after the Bills lost 3 WR to broken leg, back surgery,waivers -
Josh Britt unverified Breakup rumour
Beck Water replied to loveorhatembillsfan4life's topic in Off the Wall
Muppy, darling....I was in direct response to you "Yeah Jim Kelly was arrogant and handsome. ............And a star athlete whilst at the U of Miami . ..............Who had relations with a lot of women there,,,,,,, .................And then he met Jill from Attica..................The rest is history.now a totally devoutly Christian husband, father and football icon NFL Hall of Famer,. #12 If you wish to post a pretty clear implication that Kelly's "wining and wenching" days were over once he "met Jill from Attica", that's revisionist history. Expect people to correct it. Posting something yourself about Kelly that appears untrue on the most straightforward interpretation, and then flouncing out with a whinge about "write every single bit of dirt regarding his life" "rehash every bit of #12's life" when others respond, is Weak Sauce. Merely pointing out the facts of what were disclosed in Jill Kelly's memoir is far from "every single bit of dirt" and "rehash every bit". We'd be here more than a minute if we did that. -
Josh Britt unverified Breakup rumour
Beck Water replied to loveorhatembillsfan4life's topic in Off the Wall
It's not that simple, Muppy. Kelly was still running around cheating on his wife for years after they married in 1996. Reportedly his mother-in-law once gave him an ultimatum: tell his wife himself what was going on, or she would. And, he pretty much left his wife to soldier through the daily burden of caring for a special needs child with a fatal genetic disease while being a mother to two other girls. A lot of the wives from that era of the Bills apparently made a decision to overlook serial cheating (Patti Thomas, Janine Talley, Jill Kelly etc) It seems plausible that if the team as a whole had been less into partying and wenching (at least during the season) and a bit more into working on their game, we might have a Lombardi or two in Buffalo. Most people are complicated, and Jim Kelly was more complicated than most. And yes, he is a devoted Christian husband and father now....but he wasn't for many years after he married, more than a decade according to Jill's memoir. -
They’re BAAaaacK! Players back in Orchard Park for workouts
Beck Water replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall
Word. I can name many of them, but a lot of new faces. -
Pitts RB Israel Abanikanda. Maybe a 3rd rder?
Beck Water replied to Tipster19's topic in The Stadium Wall
Wait when did Bills re-sign Taiwan Jones? -
I like your enthusiasm with regard to Sherfield and Shakir. I like your feelings of certainty on a healthy Gabe, as well. I'm not sure I share them. I think Sherfield is what he is - a career journeyman who plays ST and can fill the #5 WR slot as an injury backup. I want to see the Bills bring in real competition for #2 and #3 with Davis and Shakir. I have a little different take on the WR class. We are drafting at pick #27. Last year, there were 6 WR drafted in the top 18. But that doesn't affect a team drafting at 27, unless we want to trade all the way up into the top 18! What really matters is the quality of the WR who might be available when we pick. So actually, I think the fact that the WR talent is seen as lower, might push a good WR down into the position where we can draft him. Since this is the "Do Not Draft" thread, I'll say that I don't understand the Jaxon Smith-Njigba love, and he is a player I would say "Do Not Draft". I don't like that he missed the entirety of last season with a "hamstring injury" - either that injury is so bad that he might not be the same player, or it was a "career decision" pointed towards the draft. He's coming out after a missed Jr year, he didn't play a lot of man coverage which means he needs to learn how to release against press man.
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Laid off from ESPN in 2017 Hasn't been heard from since Amazing to me that Skip Bayless has any credibility left but he's still employed! (Bayless if you might recall is the one who tweeted, "No doubt the NFL is considering postponing the rest of this game - but how? This late in the season, a game of this magnitude is crucial to the regular-season outcome")
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AJ Klein Expected to Sign with Bills
Beck Water replied to Warriorspikes51's topic in The Stadium Wall
That was a helluva play. I think Klein sacked him by the ball. -
Pitts RB Israel Abanikanda. Maybe a 3rd rder?
Beck Water replied to Tipster19's topic in The Stadium Wall
I'm not going to say this won't happen. But after using 2 consecutive 3rd round draft picks plus last year's 2nd round on RBs while investing a 4th and a 5th round on WR (and yeah, I know about the Diggs trade - he was a 5th round pick who developed himself) I'm like WE'RE A PASS FIRST TEAM Invest in the OL, then just about anyone can run behind them Invest in the OL, give those late round WR more time to get open and Allen more time to find them Invest in WR and TE The Chiefs found a good RB who contributed to their Superbowl win, where? I will now go smell grass and lilacs and spice bush blossoms and try to calm down -
They’re BAAaaacK! Players back in Orchard Park for workouts
Beck Water replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall
That could be part of it. But Diggs in particular seems to work out, off season, like a little demon. It could be he sees OTAs and their restrictions as detracting from that. -
They’re BAAaaacK! Players back in Orchard Park for workouts
Beck Water replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall
They can do more than that - see post above. I didn't, either. Another notable absence was DL DaQuan Jones. Now of course, just because a guy wasn't photographed entering the building, doesn't mean he wasn't there. IIRC, Diggs didn't participate in the first stage of OTAs last season either? I did see a lot of faces I didn't recognize -
AJ Klein Expected to Sign with Bills
Beck Water replied to Warriorspikes51's topic in The Stadium Wall
You disagree with the question about "Why would we have a cap penalty to move on from Klein?" You disagree with the question "What better options are there in FA at his price point?"? It's all very well to say in the abstract "I'd rather have a younger option with upside as a situational player and backup", but who exactly do you have in mind? 32 actually. 31 now, and his birthday's in July, but that's a nit. 'Zo Alexander was 33 when he signed in Buffalo in 2016, and played for 4 years, until he was 37. The last year, he was slowing down a lot, but he still contributed. Klein has never been a player who depended upon his speed and athleticism, but rather on his understanding of the game and his ability to diagnose the opposing defense quickly and read-and-react. The Bills are critically depending upon Poyer (same age as Klein, 32), Hyde (6 months older, will be 33 in Dec), and Von Miller (2 years older, 34). So frankly if being 32 makes a player "slower and more injury prone" and we should therefore not roster him, the Bills are in Deep Kim Chee with their starting safety duo and star DE all that age or older. I appreciate your kind words, but frankly, it's very easy to sit there and crap on a move but a lot harder to identify the better move the team should have made, and you appear to be following that principle at present. The fact is, this guy over the last 3 seasons and including a game last season, has played very capably as a backup LB for the Bills - not on a star level, but capably. He started for Edmunds ahead of Dodson, Bernard, Spector in Week 12 vs the Lions because the coaches perceived him as the best choice at the time. Now hopefully, that changes with another year and an off-season under Bernard and Spector's belts, and hopefully re-signing him won't keep the Bills from making a move in the draft. But I don't see how putting a capable vet who is knowledgeable in our defensive system (and capable of playing in it as recently as Week 12 last season) in the room with 2 second year LBs (and maybe a rookie) to watch film and diagnose defenses in any way makes the Bills a weaker team Having looked over the FA list (signed and unsigned), I don't see a clear choice that meets your criteria either. I would have liked to see the Bills pursue Lavonte David harder, but he's even older than Klein (33). I don't want to argue with you, but since you seem very strong in this view, I think it's only fair to ask you who you believe the Bills should have gone after instead. -
AJ Klein Expected to Sign with Bills
Beck Water replied to Warriorspikes51's topic in The Stadium Wall
Officially announced by Bills: -
They’re BAAaaacK! Players back in Orchard Park for workouts
Beck Water replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall
https://www.buffalobills.com/photos/ From the CBA, what they can and can not do during Phase I -
It's also a point that when the Eagles had Wentz on a cheap rookie deal and won the Superbowl, they chose to pay a good amount of $$ to a backup QB - not top-10 starter-type money these days, but a decent chunk of their cap - which is of course why they won, and why they went to the divisional round of the playoffs the following year. But yeah, that's the main problem, he chose to pay a QB who basically became uncoachable and lost his drive to improve. We can only cross our fingers and hope that Josh doesn't go that route, because I fear we saw glimpses of it at the end of last season and it's happened to other potentially-great talented QB as well (Russ Willson, for example).
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So that's what this guy is - a half-decent vet with the potential (if he returns to form) to be a decent vet. And yes, they do need several of those behind their stars.
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Josh Britt unverified Breakup rumour
Beck Water replied to loveorhatembillsfan4life's topic in Off the Wall
I'm kind of curious how many women dating athletes you actually know? I'm sure athletes who go out clubbing meet a lot of women who are attracted to their money and fame. Not to mention, as discussed in this thread, the physical appearance some of them have (hubba, hubba). But there's also a reason a lot of these athletes who "could do better" stick with women who they met in HS or college, before they were famous - women who might not look as "hot" and you say "they could do better", but these women were there for them emotionally and mentally before there was a lot of money in the picture. -
Josh Britt unverified Breakup rumour
Beck Water replied to loveorhatembillsfan4life's topic in Off the Wall
Actually, armies of all countries in the Napoleonic era had camp followers who were married to soldiers and "followed the drum", often with a couple of their kids. The army brass supported this because the women laundered, mended, and cooked for their men and his fellows, nursed them when they were ill or wounded, and worked as servants for the officers and their upper-class wives (many of whom were also "following the drum" in a more luxurious manner). On the other hand, when the army had to retreat, the women became a hindrance and their safety could become a distraction to their husbands. After Waterloo, the practice died out. Officially it was 6 women per 100 men, drawn by lot from those who could actually provide "marriage lines". For an army of 120,000 men, that means there would be 7,200 women. Unofficially, more would sneak along. Undoubtedly, some prostitution took place, but the point is, many of the women who moved with the army were wives and mothers accompanying their men. They struggled to accompany the army and endure incredible hardships for varied motives, but one, plain and simple, was to avoid starvation. Soldiers' wages were paid to the men, there were no bank transfers or arrangements for remote payment of all or part of the wage, so accompanying their husband for years of war might be the only way the wife would receive any money. I'm bringing this up because it highlights how assumptions and perceptions of women can diverge from historical reality, even when someone is trying to make a positive point. -
If they want to stay a top passing team, someone to catch the other 1411 yds and 284 targets. Was this a trick question? Sherfield and Gesicki had >100 targets and 779 yds of these, so they need to replace that production somehow. In theory, as a ceiling Chosen Anderson is capable of that kind of production on his own (2017-2020) or, as a base, the production replacing one of the two. The last couple years and especially last season, his production went down and his nuisance factor went up, so, we'll see.
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It's not that uncommon in these parts to have a prayer service organized for a church member with a serious medical condition - someone in a coma, or being treated for cancer, or otherwise seriously ill. It's usually just the family and "Church Family" and sometimes friends outside the church. A lot of Midwestern church denominations believe very strongly in the power of prayer for healing and it makes a lot of sense to pray for someone while they're still living, from that POV. And for a serious illness, to feel that a bit more focus and duration than the normal call for prayers during a regular service might be needed. I've never before heard of such a service publicized like this, or done for someone who is not a regular member of the church. Course there's a lot of stuff I've not heard of so. 🤷♂️
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AJ Klein Expected to Sign with Bills
Beck Water replied to Warriorspikes51's topic in The Stadium Wall
I'm not sure that's the game you're thinking of, since a glance at the box score shows Edmunds and Taron Johnson played 100% of the snaps that game. Klein split time with Milano (coming back from torn pec) I think we did a pretty innovative defensive gameplan against the Chiefs last season, using Milano as a spy to contain Mahomes. I vaguely recall I thought we had some wrinkles against Tennessee last season as well, though I can't remember what - 5 and 6 man fronts there? One thing to remember is that throughout the regular season, our regular D has been pretty good most of the time, and has gotten the job done. So there hasn't been the need to attack other teams with specific tailored plans. But, one thing I have noted is that where the plan we come in with hasn't worked, Frazier seemed slow to adjust. He actually said that in an interview at one point, something to the effect that he doesn't like to change the defensive game plan too quickly because he doesn't want the players to lose confidence in what they practiced all week. I'm not a football player but I thought it was a weird comment, if you're a player who is getting his ass kicked because the plan you practiced is getting shredded, wouldn't you have more confidence not less if your coaches asked you to try something different? Got a link for that? -
AJ Klein Expected to Sign with Bills
Beck Water replied to Warriorspikes51's topic in The Stadium Wall
Thank you! His draft choices of Edmunds and Allen notwithstanding, Beane, in particular, has a thing for undersized smart hard-working players "it's the size of the fight in the dog, not the size of the dog in the fight" mindset.