Beck Water

So I dunno about "source close to the #Bills locker room" talking to Ben Volin of the Boston Globe. Several people here have sources IN the Bills locker room, their sources don't know. Mitch Morse gave an interview (it's on BuffaloBills.com) where he described himself as "Blissfully Ignorant" of the details, and when pressed said he really didn't know, and the reporter didn't know, and when it came out then they'd both know. Jay Skurski of TBN, who is credentialed for as a member of the Bills press coverage and has many contacts on the team, said In the meantime, we have had all sorts of speculation here, from frustration with Dorsey to frustration with his new WR coach Travis Henry to frustration with Allen, with all sorts of fantastical reasons - all from someone who knows someone who knows Diggs etc etc. I think that if the real basis of the issue isn't widely enough known to be known to players, like Mitch Morse, or to guys with friendly or professional sources, the odds that Ben Volin really knows are probably not so good.

Same to you and all the TBD Dads and Fathers of TBDians! Q: What do Crabs do to celebrate Fathers Day? A: Nothing. They're shellfish! A2: Except for the Hermit Crabs. Their shellibration gets bigger every year!

I'm glad he's OK. Or relatively OK. "completely crushed T9" sounds potentially life altering. Has he movement in his legs?

Do you happen to have a link to this podcast? I ask because I'm very intrigued from your description. I see our defense as crafting individualized gameplans for opponents ("mixing it up scheme wise"), but when it comes to top opponents for some reason they take multiple tries to figure it out. Example: The Bills have played KC 6 times with McDermott as HC. The first, in 2017 vs. Alex Smith, was a win. The next two were bad losses, where the game was not as close as the 17-26 or 24-38 score would appear. Then the Bills brain trust figured some stuff out, and the next 3 games have been wins or very very close. Similar dynamic with the Ravens; the first 2 times the Bills played the Ravens under McDermott were a horrible loss (Josh Allen started at the half) and a 1-score loss. Then the Bills figured out how to better contain the Ravens offense, and the next 2 games were W. I'm pretty sure the next time we play the Bengals, the Bills defensive brain trust will have a better plan for them, but it concerns me that the pattern might repeat every time we encounter a different combination of coaching and personnel

Andy Reid says "hi". No, seriously - Andy Reid had that reputation as the great regular season coach who couldn't get it done in the big games. The years blur together, but after one of the Chiefs playoff losses, Tony Dungy banged the table on prime time TV and opined "The Chiefs may win a Superbowl, but they won't win it with Andy Reid as their HC". Speaking of which, Tony Dungy ought to know - he won a Superbowl in his 11th year as a HC. I'm gonna go out on a limb and guess that you actually don't know enough details about all the Dungy and Reid losses in big games to be able to make that statement, but if you're challenged to "stand and deliver" on proving it, you'll turn about and say the person challenging you ought to prove that they did.

The Dolphins are an interesting case. They kept their DC (rare). They kept their GM. They made the playoffs. But, they did it with the same record that *failed* to make the playoffs the previous two seasons under Flores. It actually reminds me somewhat of the Bills first year under McDermott. I don't think it's atypical to see a similar or better record the first year with a new HC. The Dolphins saw a better record when they changed to Philbin from Sparano and Gase from Philbin. The question is, what then? One could argue, given the offensive and defensive talent they lined up and the FA/trade acquisitions, they expected to take a step. So we'll see, this season. They just changed DCs to a guy in his 60s with 19 years of DC experience.

It sounded like Harty was making some good plays. @Happydays did a great job summarizing a couple of Athletic articles which mentioned him specifically. Look upthread.

Did you know that's a brand of toilet paper? Literally Everyone who knows ball knows that a QB's most important qualities are football intelligence, leadership of his teammates, and decision making during the game. A QB who has those assets and "enough" physical skills can build them into a long career. See Cousins, Kirk; possibly Montana, Joe and Brady, Tom. A QB whose greatest assets are his physical talents but who doesn't "got it going on" when it comes to football intelligence, leadership, and decision making will usually flame out. So yeah, saying Josh is "the most physically talented" does kind of carry an implication that he doesn't "got it going on" in the mind game aspects.

No offense, Mate, but I just let go of conversing with you in another thread where you didn't seem willing or able to process or acknowledge any points I made, and trivialized the actual argument I was making (whether deliberately or thru misunderstanding, I don't know. I found it a somewhat frustrating interaction. So I'll have to politely decline to take up your challenge I do think, if you want to claim it's bad, you really ought to put forth some effort in objectively demonstrating that it's worse than the rest of the league, or worse than the top, say, 8 teams for the last 3 years. If you want to claim a concerning pattern, there ought to be some "skin in your game" for stating what you believe that pattern to be, and again, demonstrating that it's there vs. how other top teams are drafting.

What is that pattern? Keep in mind you can't look at a GM's drafting in the abstract and say "it's bad" It has to be viewed in context - the overall success rate league-wide for finding a guy who can play (not a stud superstar, just a quality NFL player) is something like 30-50% in the 1st and 2nd round, 20%-30% in the 3rd round and by the 4th and beyond something like 10%. You can confirm this if you go to a site like pro-football-reference, scroll back to a draft that's got enough data to decide like 2020 or earlier, and look at the AV. AV isn't perfect as an evaluation of a player's contributions, but it tracks pretty well.

I agree with the regression to the mean bit But I don't think there's increased job security for McDermott in having no DC. I believe the vast majority of the time, a new coach brings in his own OC, DC, and staff of assistants. It's pretty much standard and expected to be on a new coach's plate.

This I think is legit. The Bills evidently had some plays where they stacked Davis and McKenzie and they ran "double option" routes where they looked at the D and chose which route they were gonna run. Then they had other option routes in the offense. How to say this nicely? It didn't work, and it kept not working. I'm not sure who it was on, but they would typically end in the vicinity of each other (also seen with Shakir and other receivers) and I'm sure that is not what they were supposed to do. Sometimes someone with better football knowledge, like The QB school guy, or Kurt Warner, would diagram and explain which route he thought was wrong, and what should have been run. I was shocked the week before Minnesota when McKenzie was interviewed about Josh and said something to the effect Josh was coaching on the sideline, told him "I didn't realize you were running that route this way, can you run it like this instead?" "Ok, sure". because there really should have been communication between Dorsey, Josh, and the WR coach (who then communicates to the WR), if it's too hectic for Josh to communicate to the WR directly during or after practice. Anyway, the problem you call out continued all season and was never fixed as far as I can tell. Do you have a source for this stat, both for 2021 and 2022? Thanks, would love to see that!

You realize that's literal, not figurative, right? 1) Crowder on IR with broken leg 2) Hodgins lost to waivers when he was cut in a CB roster squeeze 3) Kumerow placed on IR for back surgery So, Math. The Bills have 6 WR on their roster: Stefon Diggs Gabe Davis Jamison Crowder Isaiah McKenzie Khalil Shakir Jake Kumerow plus, they have Isaiah Hodgins and Tanner Gentry on the Practice Squad who they have elevated periodically. Now they have 4 WR on their roster: Stefon Diggs Gabe Davis Isaiah McKenzie Khalil Shakir plus, they have Tanner Gentry on the Practice Squad, and when they elevated him it didn't look too good. They just needed bodies that weren't in the infirmary, and the trade deadline was past. So it was either grab someone off the sofa, or grab someone off another team's practice squad who needs to learn our offense and who may not "have it". Sofa it was. In hindsight, letting Hodgins go through waivers was a costly mistake on Beane's part.

It depends upon the language used, right? Let's look at something else Beasley just tweeted about Jaxon Smith-Njigba, so we divorce it of our Fandom: Smith-Njigba was the first of 4 WR drafted one after the other in this year's first round. Beasley could say "I thought Jaxon Smith-Njigba would be nice" or "I thought Jaxon Smith-Njigba had potential to be special". That has no implications about the other WR. But when he says "one of the very few..." the implications are pretty clear he thinks most of the WR in the 2023 draft are NOT gonna be nice.

That neither addresses or refutes the peculiar claim that the Bucs defense, not Brady, got them to the Superbowl.

I don't know if Beasley meant it as a shot, but if so, I don't see how he can have aimed it at Brady. That would be "football dumb", to base something on 13 snaps. I don't think Beasley is "football dumb". Didn't Beane say that Beasley is someone who "wears his heart on his sleeve" IOW someone who lives in the moment and just reacts? I think @BADOLBILZ has it right that he may be someone without a lot of "emotional intelligence", who can't understand the potential impact of his public words beyond the immediate point he wants to make, a "cant see the forest for the tree I'm focused on" type. So he wanted to praise the Texas QBs, in part because he lives in Texas and would like a job next season in Texas. He literally didn't see that the words he chose "by far", would be taken as a shot on other QBs he's played with.

I agree with the rest of your post. I think Allen needs to learn there's a time to be a jokester and a time to get in a guy's grill; there's a time to lighten it up, and there's a time for "when things look grim, be the Grim Reaper". I think he's got his own leadership style, but he also knows has room for improvement as a leader, and he knows it. With this idea of a shot on Brady though, that would be dumber than I think Beasley is if so. Beasley played ~900 snaps with Romo He played ~1800+ snaps with Prescott He played ~ 2100 snaps with Allen He played 13 snaps with Brady So if he thought 13 snaps is a sound basis for comparison, he's dumber (in a football sense) than I think he is. I don't think it was meant as a comment on Brady.

He's supposed to be very smart - about football. His problem is apparently believing this high degree of football intelligence evidently carries over to other aspects of life. I think in this case, his purpose was simply to give props to Dak and flatter CJ Stroud in the hope they would maybe express interest with their teams in bringing him into training camp. I don't think he realized the implications of his words or how they could be taken as negatives, both against other QBs he's played, with and ultimately - against Dak himself when he responded that Allen was the "most physically talented". As BadOlBilz said in the post you quoted, nothing good can come of rank ordering the players you've played with. It's sort of like Yiddish, where I've been told by good authority that it's almost impossible to give a pure and unambiguous compliment. If you say that a woman is pretty, you apparently imply that she has no brains; if you say that she's smart, you apparently imply that she isn't good-looking. If Beas was trying to butter up Dak saying he's the best leader of the QBs he's played with, with unmatched huddle presence, he kind of tarnished that now by implying he's not that physically talented.

This is a worse take than thinking mint jelly is best on toast. The Bucs had the #3 offense for points and the #2 offense for passing yards the year they won with Brady. #28 rushing offense. Clearly their offense had a strong role in getting them there, and specifically their passing offense - which means Brady. He got them to the NFC Championship Game that year. The only game where you can say the Bucs got there in spite of Brady, was the Conference Championship with Green Bay. Brady threw three picks, and was helped out by ticky-tak penalties against GB's secondary, at the worst time. I thought Green Bay shoulda won that but they just couldn't close the deal. And yeah, the Tampa D and their run game carried the day against KC. So Brady got them there, no question. Then the refs, the run game, and the D closed the deal.

Where did he say all that?

how many comp picks to the patriots?

Your link is weird, but I doubt the tree is disturbed or injured by his acts. On the other hand, I followed this link: https://nypost.com/2023/06/14/penn-state-professor-themis-matsoukas-accused-of-performing-sexual-acts-with-his-dog/ All I can think of is, did someone rescue the poor dog?

describing yourself, when ya post just to say that? I'm still not sure what Cooper meant by calling Dak Prescott "the black Kirk Cousins", could you explain?

I'm not quite sure what that means? Like I said elsewhere, sounds more to me like he is lobbying for a spot with the Texans. The Cowboys seem to be pretty set at WR. Who do the Texans have except 30 yr old Bobby Trees?

Michael Lombardi supposedly said it on his podcast a while ago. The question is, how did Michael Lombardi acquire this "inside scoop"? Then there's this: "In September 2017, Mike Lombardi made headlines by criticizing Philadelphia Eagles coach Doug Pederson: "He might be less qualified to coach a team than anyone I’ve ever seen in my 30-plus years in the NFL."[28] Pederson would lead the Eagles to their first Super Bowl championship later that season." Did your source ever get back to you with any insight on what exactly the issue was with Diggs? Apologies if you said something and I missed it.