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Beck Water

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Everything posted by Beck Water

  1. LOL why are you watching these guys?
  2. It's a possibility since Miami has a handful of skill players with the ability to break free and put up big yards on any play, and because McDermott's Ds have a track record of giving up a couple of big plays per game against good teams. However, when you have 3 numbers - 389 (NE), 536 (LAC), and 726 (DEN), chances are that the mean or median are not very meaningful. It's probably more predictive to ask which of the teams Miami has played, has the closest match for our defense. NE has the #5 defense right now for yards. The Chargers are 30, and the Broncos are 31. The Bills are #2 (for yards, and for points) Past performance is no guarantee of future performance, as the stockbrokers say.
  3. Hyde was not playing When we played Dolphins last year You're chasing some point
  4. So pro-football-reference has this handy feature. If you check "toggle per game statistics", you can then sort it any way you like. https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2023/receiving.htm If we sort it on "receptions" with "per game" enabled, we can see that Davis is #89 amoung receivers. Touchdowns, 26th, 1st downs 29th He is still near the top in yards per reception, top 10. His catch % so far is better than last season, 60%. I expect that if one sets the parameters just right, you can manage to discern an impact no other player is having, but the above might suggest that there are quite a few receivers having a good impact.
  5. You're misrepresenting what I said. You were talking about any "rotational secondary player" Kaiir Elam, who has been inactive, ran a combine 4.39. That is the same as Christian Gonzales and 0.06 slower than Jonathan Jones, who as I noted was inactive last 2 games. If you're hung up on combine 40 times (pajama olympics) Tre White's 4.47 time is ~= faster than everyone on the Patriots secondary but Gonzales. Whether he's still that fast or not, good question, but same question applies to players like Jonathan Jones. Again, it's possible that there are other factors than speed which govern how effective DBs can be. It will be interesting to see what McDermott comes up with. One problem I had with the D under Frazier is that it seemed as though he had to play a team 2 or 3 times to come up with a defense effective against them (which he eventually would do). It will be interesting to see if McDermott is able to shorten that learning curve. Fair concern. That was my concern about him going into the season, because that's exactly how I thought he played last season in the game he started (too much to read, too much going on, head spinning). I was wrong so far, but yeah, the Dolphins are by far the biggest challenge he has faced to date.
  6. LaPorta is going to be good
  7. I thought they fell short of the record? Isn’t the record 72 points or something?
  8. Maybe Green Bay can line up a series of neutral zone infractions for 1st downs, because it doesn’t look as though they’re going to get first downs any other way.
  9. Aaaaaaaaannnd GB muffs the punt. Love barely avoids a safety there But he could easily have flipped that to a Lion and given up a TD instead of a Safety Love and the Packers having a Terrible Horrible No Good Very Bad half
  10. GB D finally holds. Someone must have passed out the Viagra
  11. Amon Ra Saint Brown looking solid
  12. I think they better hold off on anointing Love as the Three Peat Packers HOF QB I guess it depends what you’re wanting to watch. Lions offense has thrown down some unexpected plays. A Goff scramble. A 40 yd reverse with Goff blocking downfield. On the other hand….the Beatles sang “can’t buy me love”, the Packers are “Can’t Protect me Love” Their OL stinks so far And their returner’s decision making stunk
  13. A Thundering Herd Of Buffalo Will Trample Dolphins. Squish the Fish!!!!
  14. Your memory is completely correct. DB were Elam and Benford. Safeties were Jaquan Johnson and Damar Hamlin. I can't say we totally held them in check (Waddle 4 for 102 yds) but they only got 21 points out of it, and 7 of those were gift-wrapped on the Bills 6 yd line by Josh Allen strip sack (Jevon Holland, Melvin Ingram) Nick Wright by a Nose
  15. OK, so that tells you something about the Broncos defense and why the Dolphins put up 70 on them.
  16. I had my health insurance cancelled when my spouse went on Medicare. They swore the amount would change to reflect single coverage, but it would still autopay from our checking. Spoiler: it didn't. 🤷‍♂️ I take it you don't select "electronic statement" No, they don't actually, at least not before they just do ***** like cancel you -- happened to me.
  17. Ooooh, "de gustibus non disputandum est" but I do disagree. She isn't a fashion model, but looks pleasant and socially respectable. He looks like the kind of greasy geek Mom pries away from the gaming computer and orders to shower every month or so Now I know that's not who he is ...that he's worked hard and advanced as a coach, and the players seem to love him and go hard for him. Still, he did make that remark about how his previous habit of not showering until Wednesday wouldn't work, now he's a HC.
  18. Psssst What if I told you that Jonathan Jones was inactive that game? And Jalen Mills only played 37% of the snaps? Safeties Duggar and Peppers (4.49 and 4.46) CB Gonzalez and. on 84% of the snaps, Miles Bryant (4.62 40) Now Gonzalez (4.38 40) is legit fast. No faster than Kaiir Elam ( 4.39 40) But the biggest factor in coverage is mental processing and reaction time - not whether one set of safeties ran a 40 yd dash in under 4.5 while another was mid-4.5s when they came in the league and probably slower It wouldn't surprise me to see Elam active this week You know, the Dolphins *did* have Mostert, Waddle, and Hill when we played them last September and last December Now, we did lose to them 21-19 in September, but I would have to say a fumble recovered on our own 6 yard line resulting in a Miami TD, some wierd decisions at the end of half, missed FG, and a TOD had more to do with that than speed differential between their skill players and our secondary did. Well, that and horrendous heat. Nice vomit emoji reaction, @boyst, but be kind of nice to hear an answer: "Share your concern on Bernard."
  19. What the heck is McDermott wearing on his R wrist? I thought at first "whaaaat, is Coach all blinged out now wearing a Diamond 'tennis bracelet'?" but it looks more like beads...
  20. Uh-oh...wrist injury to our long snapper?
  21. Believe it or not, geeky little nerd-type guys get loooove too. Though you're allowed to think he "outkicked his coverage" because he pretty clearly did. Share your concern on Bernard.
  22. I didn't see a chart for Week 2 (unless you meant the other I put up there for Week 1 vs Chargers) Did not watch that game at all so defer to what you saw
  23. On the other hand, it's not like the Jets or the Raiders have shown much sign of life on offense in other games This just seems like an overreaction 3 games in, to be met by possibly, an equal and opposite overreaction should the defense struggle against the Dolphins
  24. Achane, Mostert, Waddle, and Hill are fast fast guys. I expect it to be a tough battle, and they'll win some plays. On the other hand, 3 of the 4 of them were there last season when we played the Dolphins. What offenses have the Dolphins played so far? The Chargers managed 433 yds and 34 points, came down to giving up 10 points in the 4Q. The Patriots haven't looked like an offensive juggernaut so far and 0-3 Denver just looks like a mess. It's not like they've been shutting down the Eagles, the 49ers, and Kansas City. ? They don't have Week 2. Week 3 sort of matches what you say. The theory is that Tua has greatly improved his ability to make that sideline throw. Week 1 kinda bears that out. Week 2 kinda bears you out. I will say this, right now Tua's completed air yards are only slightly higher than the YAC on completions: 546 to 478 yds. In an interesting twist, that's actually true for Josh Allen right now: 366 to 362 yds
  25. Kincaid is still hit-n-miss as a run blocker. Sherfield is a good downfield run blocker. The whole thing is being overblown though. Like I said, one of the differences between the snap counts in the Jets vs Raiders vs Washington game is that some starters got taken out - something like 10% of the Raiders snaps and 15% of the Commanders snaps. So a certain amount of this "tell" is Kincaid sitting on the bench for the final drives of the game, along with the other starters. The 11 play 4Q TD drive against the Raiders was 8 runs, 3 passes. 9 play 4Q TD drive against the Commanders was 9 runs, 0 passes. I hope that situation arises vs the Dolphins, and if it does, I don't think the Phins will need Kincaid as a "tell" to guess that the Bills are going to try to run it.
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