Beck Water

FWIW, Knox has 25 targets and Kincaid 19. That's more than any receiver not named Diggs or Davis (and Knox is only 5 targets behind Davis) The problem with Knox is that he's back down at a 56% catch rate after improving to 69% and 74% in 2021 and 2022; he's also back up to a 12% drop % after bringing it down to 5-6% the last 2 years. 3 drops out of 25 targets is no bueno.

When Erik shows the EZ view there's a clear window and throwing lane to Shakir. The RPO at 10:00 where Josh pulls it and throws to Diggs when there's a light box and Cook could get some yards has me SMH

Some truth there. A number of people, however, have commented that he just doesn't look as fast as he did in 2021. It's actually kind of puzzling that the Bills are using Diggs on some of the quick "out" routes and such that I thought would be going to Harty. It makes me wonder what's going on in practice. I don't know how you'd tell if Harty is "more reliable" or not, when we're not seeing much of him. He does have a drop, and it was a bad one. As far as contract, we're gonna have to agree to disagree about what's "not much". When the team has like $1.8M in cap space and has injured players dropping like flies, an extra $3M cap space could come in mighty handy.

The post to which I'm responding, you made the statement that the Bills offense was one of the most productive, more productive actually, before Dorsey. Since you can't pull 2 full years of Dorsey yet, it seems reasonable to look at 2021 (Daboll's last year) and 2022 (Dorsey's first year) and compare - no? Or how else are you comparing, to be able to make that statement, since (again) you don't have 2 full seasons of Dorsey to compare? False. Josh has gotten hurt when he's running. He's also gotten hurt outside the pocket, but behind the LOS, trying to extend the play.

The problem I have with Harty is how much we're paying him compared to how much we're using him. $3.745M cap this year, $5.365 next year. He's on track for a 34 reception, 300 yd, 3 TD, 17 1D season playing 21% of the snaps. The oft-maligned McKenzie put up 42 receptions, 423 yds, 30 1D and 5 TD for just a fraction over vet minimum last season. Harty is being more efficient per-snap since McKenzie saw 54% of the offensive snaps to put up that production, but it's kind of strange to me that we're paying like 3x as much to a guy we use less than half as much.

Harty may be fine, Harty may not be fine, but we don't know because he's seeing a whopping 21% of the snaps thus far this season - 16% vs. the Giants.

Still listed on the Colts roster, so No.

This.

What's your point? Has someone caught McDermott raving about "embarassing" opposing QB or something? My point is when your team just hit .500, maybe that is not the time to go on that rant. Wait until you've won something.

https://stathead.com/football/versus-finder.cgi?player_id2=McKeIs00&year_min=2023&player_id1=HarrDe07&seasons_type=forall&request=1&utm_campaign=2023_01_wdgt_player_comparison&utm_source=pfr&utm_medium=sr_xsite&utm_id=HarrDe07 In theory, Harty should be able to run a fuller route tree and track the ball deep. In practice, that's not at all how he's being used Sometimes I feel like Beane stocks the offensive pantry with guys who should be able to do all these cool things and our offensive coaching just shrugs. And yet for the Colts, McKenzie is doing Just That Thing I'm afraid you may have a point here.

Just curious, by what criteria the offense was more productive "before Dorsey"? Per game stats, which is 2021 and which is 2022? PPG 28.4 28.4 YPG 397.6 381.9 TD 3.13 3.30 rush ypa 5.2 4.8 pass ypa 6.8 6.3

the OBD guys were watching film with Greg Cosell last year. Morris ran a route and Cosell commented something to the effect that was an unusually polished route for a TE, who is that guy. Just possibly, Morris should be getting a bit more airplay.

I pull screen shots myself, but one has to use them judiciously, as a WR may be uncovered before or after He really looks leashed up here

Look at Torrance. He's chugging in there to help his man Spencer Brown - then he looks to his L and see Josh Allen taking on a LB "oh ***** gotta protect the QB!" This was after Josh went to the blue tent with a shoulder injury right? He went to the blue tent with a shoulder injury and he's taking out a LB leading with his R shoulder? With Chris Simms, I can not disagree - but I also wonder why we don't see more Quintin Morris. He has improved his blocking skills, and Allen obviously trusts him --- wasn't he the one who got free in the EZ for a TD on a scramble drill at the end of the half vs. Miami? Hyde be over there going "don't throw it...don't throw it...don't throw it....NICE THROW!"

I think one needs to differentiate between pocket QB hits, and hits behind the LOS. This was not a pocket QB hit. Allen is frankly fairly lucky that throw wasn't picked. He heaved it into an area of the field with 2 defenders and 2 Bills and the player with by far the best chance was a Giant. The problem is, Josh Allen does NOT give himself up or throw the ball out of bounds on those behind the LOS, extend the play moments - and while they account for many of his "wow!" throws, they also account for a disproportionate number of strip sacks and interceptions.

I actually kind of liked him, but more and more he's converting me to your view. And that's my point. Did his defense play lights-out against the Bills, KC, and the Eagles? Yes. Yes, it did. But KC won, and the Eagles and Bills lost largely due to self-inflicted wounds - bonehead QB decisions and throws leading to picks. As @Bray Wyatt, that Hurts throw on 3rd down was a very bad decision.

This is the play Rapport brought up where Allen went into the medical tent. Pass play, Allen extended the play. Looked like a totally clean hit, possibly #58 arm clubbed into Josh's right shoulder.

Add in 2022: 555 yds 2023 752 yds Just a little note that one of the concerns expressed LAST year was that the offense was too focused on Diggs, and struggled (especially in the RZ) because of it. So it might be useful to look also at 2020 and 2021, when most people seem to feel we had a more efficient, consistent offense that was better in the RZ: 2020 2021 59 targets 59 targets 42 receptions 37 receptions 3 TD 2 TD 555 yds 463 yds It appears that Diggs is generating more of the offensive yards and TDs last year and this year. And that was a critique offered by knowledgeable pundits like Greg Cosell when the Bills offense spluttered - that the offense was basically Allen and one "very good" WR in Diggs.

Um.....?

Ian Rapoport on Josh Allen https://www.nfl.com/videos/rapoport-on-latest-injury-news-for-qbs-josh-allen-justin-fields-jimmy-garoppolo- Did not realize it was a right shoulder injury 😬 I wouldn't assume she was in Buffalo all week. She and Josh are both of the tax bracket to travel by private jet where and when they please. And that's just a whole different world than commercial flying when it comes to the time it takes.

Depends. What impact are you looking for? The first impact the 1TDT/NT is supposed to have is "keep the linebackers clean so they can make plays". Judging by the LB play, for the most part, it worked.

She was seen shopping with Josh Allen's mom before the Miami game. Maybe she just needs to do more shopping.

De'Von Achane and Terron Armstead are significant for them. Jaelen Phillips played, but good question how much that oblique injury is hampering him. That's what you were talking about, right?

https://static.www.nfl.com/gamecenter/b07e111b-f053-11ed-b4a7-bab79e4492fa.pdf 12 tackles. 12 tackles (9 + 3 assists), 3 TFL

So you still won't throw the checkdown, right?