Beck Water

OK, but here's the thing. What guys are available for HC positions? Well, there are retread guys, like Rex Ryan and Andy Reid. Which is gonna be which? And then there are Hot Young Innovators, currently working as OCs and DCs or maybe even just assistants - who, like QBs, usually get drafted early. I thought McDaniel was a weird hire for the Dolphins - one year as OC for SF where most think Kyle Shanahan calls the offensive shots, after a few prior years as run game coordinator. "Seriously, Dolphins?". OK, so far, he's looking very good. Got them to them to the playoffs last season, got them leading the division this season (OK, largely because the Bills laid an egg and lost 2-3 games they should really have won, but still). I bring him up because Staley had a very similar IMO level of experience - one year as DC, after several years coaching LB. Then there's Zac Taylor, in his 5th year with the Bengals now. Not a lot of prior experience there either - 2 years as an assistant with the Rams, previous stint as QB coach in Miami, never even a coordinator. Couple years of losing, two very good years with a SB loss and an AFCCG appearance, now they're 7-6 which is coincidentally the record we want McDermott thrown to the wolves for. Kevin O'Connell was a relative "old hand" with 3 years of OC experience under his belt before Minnesota tapped him. 13-4 last season, like Taylor 7-6 this season. Maybe you're prescient, but fact is Staley had them 9-8 his first season, 10-7 and playoffs his 2nd season, then the wheels fell off his third. He did some good things that were thought to be innovative. Maybe his problem was not hiring a quality DC, IDK. I agree with the firing, but it really highlights this simple question: => if you hire a "hot young hand" with minimal experience, how do you pick one that will work out, instead of a dud? (especially since the duds may have good starts) => if you hire a retread, what will help him work better this time around? Truth. So how do you sort the "studs" from the "duds"? I'm gonna go out on a limb and guess that it's not that easy.

When I scan the topics on the board, I keep dropping an "N" out of this subject: Staley Caned ....which, come to think of it, is not really that far off

So first you're saying Diggs gets doubled about 30% of the time, but that's not "all the time" or even "a lot". Then you present data (data are good) showing that the most-doubled (in man coverage) WRs are doubled less than 30% with one outlier (Kupp at 36%). Don't you see a little contradiction there? If 30% would be the second-highest % doubling, then being doubled 30% would be "a lot" by most interpretations. Methinks you're more interested in quibbling than in having an interesting discussion, which might include how PFF is defining man (man across the board, or man on that WR?) and strategies for putting more focus on a WR in zone coverage.

Well Well Well Well. Is it just me, but did Staley bear a strong resemblence to Dick Jauron on the sideline last night?

Negative. Dion Dawkins and Matt Milano. I don't know if you'd want to count Shaq Lawson, who of course was drafted by the Bills and played for them the 1st 3 years of McDermott's tenure, then left for 2 teams in 2 years, then came back. Lot of "If " on Tre and Poyer Back atcha Webslinger, that says "multi week absence". Bills are historically reluctant to IR players who will be out 3 weeks or less, and McDermott was calling him "day to day" earlier in the week, so where/when was the IR part said?

I'm sure you're reporting what you've heard, but could you include a link, or some other identifier, for "reported comments from McDermott"? On WGR show? On One Bills Live? Over his shoulder whilst being chased out of Buffalo Wild Wings by a crazed Weasel? What? Let's get to the playoffs first and then worry about it

Sometimes around here I feel like the "bad take" police. 🚔🚨👮‍♂️ (Keep your hands where I can see them, Sir. Do you have any firearms with you? OK, step out of the car) Cole Beasley, John Brown, and Emmanuel Sanders say "Hi". You could say he was the only weapon worth defensive focus in 2022. You could say he was the only wide receiver worth defensive focus this season.

Well, it's for reals that they've 100% picked for the Bills in a number of games we've lost, but then I think the general fan consensus would be "those were games we shouldn't have lost".

That's factually, not true. For example they picked 2:2 for Bills at KC. They also picked 100% for the Eagles in Bills at Eagles. I think all it means is that they recognize it's going to be a hard fought game against a very good team.

I mean it even seems weird to me, Dodson and Poyer, who is that for, the WR or something?

Yeah, No. The Raiders scored zero points last week. Zero. Nada. Goose egg. None. Lost 0-3 to the Vikes. 63 points this week. How things change. Week after the Broncos got spanked for 70 by the Fins, they defeated the Bears. Two weeks after the Bills got raked by the Ravens 3-47 during Josh Allen's 2nd half debut they thumped the Vikings 27-6. Why, because the Vikes thought the Bills were a "free win". Just Win, Baby. The Bills ought to beat them handily. But the Bills have lost to a bunch of teams they ought to have beat this year. That's why we're in the place where we pretty much have to beat them. It's never a free win, and thinking that way almost guarantees it won't be.

Oh, Do They now? https://twitter.com/NickHarrisDC/status/1735367916856525076

Well they didn’t make it

Meanwhile Las Vegas is dreaming about how the last NFL QB to come out of Purdue turned out

The league should be embarrassed to call a holding penalty there. How can they erase greatness like that? They should warn the coach before calling a penalty Am I doing this right?

It has become perversely fascinating

Got a link to said podcast? I got a chuckle, is Dunne truly “hiding from an angry mob” on Twitter?

LOL Richard Sherman just called for Staley to get fired at halftime

In Staley’s defense, and I don’t want to defend the guy. I doubt he sprayed his players hands with Pam and told them to fumble the pigskin On the other hand…..he’d a defensive guy and his defense blows

Wow this is pretty much unwatchable, but not for the reason I thought it would be. Job .#1 Boys, Hang on to the freakin ball

Except that I don't think it's correct that "Kincaid is running short out routes almost exclusively", except in the same sense where folks here think any handoff to the RB from shotgun is a "Draw" For a rookie, Kincaid also seems to be excelling at being "QB friendly" by making an adjustment to find an open space when Josh is in trouble.

I'm sure this is good, but I just started watching. The first Bills play Warner breaks down: "It's all based off the play design and the creativity and stealing stuff from other people in the league" That just cracked me up.

In Tre's All Pro year 2019 he had 6 targets per game for 50% completion. 2020, it was 4.6 targets per game for a bit higher completion, 56.9% This season Tre had 4.5 targets per game, 50% completion These numbers don't support your contention that teams threw AT Tre prior to his injury this season.

The article on it says he initially injured his ankle in the 1st preseason game then tore in the 2nd. So the cause/effect could have been injured -> sliding down depth chart The concern I have (then and now) is apparently he didn't choose a surgical repair. I'm not sure he chose wisely.

I don't think this is true. You might consider watching The QB School Week 12 analysis of the Eagles game, for example. There are places where Diggs is downfield, and even could be argued to be open, and Josh targets someone else (he acknowledges that could be the order of the reads). There are also places where Diggs was double covered downfield and Josh still threw to him. That would be stupid if intentional. As Isaiah McKenzie used to say, "you're going to get hit either way so might as well catch it". Count the number of flags thrown because a player covering a WR hit the WR after they dropped the ball. I don't think you'll find many, if any. LB and DB don't pull up and not hit WR who drop the ball because 1) at the point where they're boring in, they usually don't know that he dropped it 2) what if he did some kind of fancy-butt 1 hand juggling catch then they'd look like a 'fool with their pants on the ground' 3) it's not something the league penalizes unless they target the neck or above - and then it's a penalty whether or not they catch it.