Beck Water

Would you be so kind as to explain what exactly goes into that RYOE metric from PFF? How exactly is it calculated?

Now THAT'S what we all wanna see! If the Bills don't try to give the game away with turnovers, We Got This....EXCEPT for the Course Hazard (the referees). That's the wild card that makes me nervous

LOL

Which finger is Breske working on? 4th maybe? The elbow and shoulder massage is evidently standard these days.

It's not an answer to your question, but I'll pop in here to say this: I do sincerely hope this team conducts a careful, thorough, and meaningful search for an OC this off-season. I questioned whether Baltimore was cray-cray to get rid of Roman when he'd basically been their OC through 3 playoff appearances and OC'd Jackson to a league MVP. But watching them this season, they were absolutely correct to move on (as well as to make every effort to upgrade their WR corps) Their offense looks so much smoother and easier this season.

Shady McCoy has Entered the Chat Eli Apple is a POS. I hope whoever he covers can burn his ass. LOL.

Simon, I Did Not Need that visual. The pony is on its way back to you, along with everything it's produced since Thanksgiving. You're welcome.

I don't have enough interest in him to drum up some good hatred...but his voice reminds me of a cheese grater shredding a chalkboard. And while intellectually, I know that he understands the game and that he or his crew do legit background research, either he or the network "narrative creator" goes progressively more and more "off the walls" with his takes during the game.

Not confirmed as true. Never that I saw, and I was lookin'. Receipts, please. It was always "my friend knows someone who knows someone who...." kind of stuff and usually with some discrepencies (ie Hamburg police but Josh house is in West Seneca I believe....neighbors called police but I believe Josh moved there and had the house built to provide privacy and distance from neighbors...insurance claim was huge, but what kind of insurance covers deliberate damage caused by a resident of the home? That kind of thing. I'm not saying that something didn't happen, but it was all REO Speedwagon "Take It On the Run" stuff as far as confirmation. Funny, but ..."No."

I dunno about Josh Allen, but Big Ed got jobbed. But then there's this: Ed Oliver could make it 3 for 3. Indeed. It's become the "I've heard of him" bowl

Good Morning! Bumping this thread in the hope of getting one of our X's and O's guys to talk about this. (Happy New Year @HoofHearted!) I have questions but it will take me a while and some examples to get to them. In Jim Kubiak's usual column assessing QB play in TBN, he talks about the challenge posed by the Patriots "overload approach" on defense Since it's paywalled and I don't know what the state of TBN's trial subscription may be: Two examples of this he discusses are "phantom rushers" on the edge, forcing the OTs to slide out to account for them, but actually they didn't rush and maintained 6 men in coverage while isolating Morse and the guards against 4 'bull rushers'. In one screenshot example he gives, Allen had several options open short, but was overlooking them to look downfield [credit to Kubiak for the screenshot. This is the play that resulted in a fumble as Allen attempted to escape and improvise] He also talks about the Patriots overloading a section of the offensive line, which if I'm not mistaken is a strategy the Bengals used very successfully against us in the Division round last season, again this season, and possibly also used by Jacksonville? [credit to Kubiak for the screenshot] My X's and O's questions are: 1) particularly in the case of the overload blitz where the D creates pressure with 4 or even 3 rushers while maintaining coverage by overloading only one side of the line, are there any OL protection calls which would allow the offense to better handle this? It seems to be a strategy that has been successful against the Bills offense for some time and since it's a "copy cat league", well.... 2) ditto in the case of the 'phantom edge rusher'? 3) In a section I didn't quote, Kubiak says it looked as though the Pats were in Man coverage, but they were actually in a form of "Match" coverage. What is "Match" coverage and how does it differ from Man? Thanks!

My Twitter strategy FWIW. I do not have the app or an account per se. I do use a google account to sign in. I have a list of about 15 Bills media members and content creators I like to view. I do follow them, but for some reason that doesn't seem to do me any good (maybe the app would be better). I search for them, view their stuff, sometimes click on it so I can copy the actual link to that post and get it to embedd properly when I share it here, and leave.

A little bit of the Devil's Advocate here. While Brady was, in his prime, unquestionably an Elite of Elites as a QB, was Brady really elite in that Superbowl he won? -in the NFCCG, he threw 3 interceptions. -his completion % in the playoffs were 55, 55, 56 and 72% in the Superbowl -threw for less than 200 net yards in the Superbowl The real hero of that SB IMHO was Tampa Bay's defense, which picked Mahomes twice, forced a fumble (they didn't recover), held tight coverage, and harried, harrassed, and bothered Mahomes all day long. The QB we saw for Tampa wasn't quite "the ghost of Tom Brady" but you could see his ghost from there. Similar with Stafford. Stafford had a 12 year career on a bad team where he was often way up the leaderboard for passing yards, but was regarded as a great passer who would make key gaffs at bad times. He didn't have a history of probowls or NFL MVPs. 1 PB I think. And indeed, in his Superbowl year with the Rams, he led the league with 17 interceptions. In the Superbowl, he threw 2 INTs and had kind of a "meh" passer rating of 89.9. Burrow was 100.9. The Rams defense sacked Burrow 7 times and hit him 11 times, such that even though Burrow had statistically a much better day and Higgins and Chase both "went off", they couldn't sustain enough drives. I kind of see that Rams win as in part overcoming Stafford's gaffs instead of led by elite QB play from Stafford. Just my opinion.

If you're including QB with one ring: don't overlook Aaron Rodgers. In his most recent conference championship with Green Bay, Tom Brady threw 3 picks. Rodgers outperformed him in every way: more passing yards, same # of TD, fewer turnovers, more first downs, more TOP. But his team scored fewer points. Rodgers had 5 conference championship appearances in his 18 year GB career, and only one Superbowl appearance (a win). And yet he had 10 probowl nominations (including back when they meant something) and 4 league MVP awards. Then there's Payton Manning. 13 years in Indy, 3 conference championships, 2 Superbowl appearances, 1 ring won 9 years in.

We like to play a family game called "extreme croquet" that a friend introduced us to. Croquet calls up images of well-rolled, weeded, and mown lawns. Extreme croquet is what happens if croquet and Parkour had a Love child and it's just learning to walk. Our dog is often with us on these family outings and likes to chase the croquet balls and pick them up, run around a bit, then drop them. She is officially known as "The Course Hazard" and if she picks up and moves your ball, you have to play it where it lies for good or bad (it's permitted to try to wheedle her). It's not allowed to complain about what she does - she's The Course Hazard. Unfortunately, I feel like NFL football these days has a Course Hazard called "the referees" which inserts the same random element of advantage or disadvantage that our dog adds to Extreme Croquet. I can't exactly call the refs "luck" since they are sentient beings with freedom of action. But they definitely can become a deciding factor in games, and this seems amplified in single elimination playoffs when Everything is on the line. I think we saw the killer just last week. The guy who will do anything to win, crazy stuff like that lateral to Shakir.

I wonder if you could add a poll?

OK, so now that he actually didn't catch everything thrown at him, it comes down to Kumerow had a great reception for a TD (a pass ripped right into his breadbasket, but yes it was a good throw and catch) and Sherfield hasn't had a similar memorable catch? It's true he hasn't had a TD reception. He had a couple of nice catches the last time we played Miami, one converted a 3D and one got us down to the Dolphins 11. I wouldn't mind seeing a couple like that again. Like I said, what I don't know is how they compare in their primary ST roles. I know ST has had a couple of big gaffes this season. I don't know who was responsible.

Factually, in 3 years in Buffalo, Kumerow had 7 receptions on 14 targets. I guess that’s better than 8 receptions on 18 targets, but how is that “everything thrown at him?”

I think this is baloney But True story, last Saturday the Other Half and I decided to eat an early dinner in a local Mexican restaurant which has excellent seafood fajitas. Because it was early, it was just us and the wait staff and three large televisions playing NFL network "First Things First" or whatever it is with Nick Wright, larger than life, blasting into our innocent corneas as I sipped at a punchbowl-size marguarita that tasted tequilaless (pity). Since some things once seen, can not be unseen, all I could picture was this

In case anyone is interested, here's a good look at Von's contract and various ramefications from Spotrac: https://www.spotrac.com/news/a-financial-look-at-von-millers-future-2083/

The "protect players each week" thing went away with Covid rules. You're correct that a team can not sign from another team's practice squad the week before they play them.

Rams disagree? https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/49ers-vs-rams-will-essentially-be-a-preseason-game/ar-AA1mqaP1

So it's interesting. It's been announced that the Rams are starting Wentz vs. San Francisco on Sunday. I don't quite know what to make of that. It is a different situation than the Bills at Dolphins though. I think it's kind of a "desperation play", like when the 9-7 Giants, already in the playoffs, started Davis Webb against the Eagles. Sort of "OK, we lost, but we weren't bringing our A game". Since 2019, the 49ers and Rams have played 10x and the Rams only win was the 2021 Conf. Championship.

I gotta love the use of the word "egregious" 😍 And we are "at one" that I've seen a bit too much of Von Miller at the microphone when I'd rather have seen players who were actually out there grinding and making stuff happen, like Big Ed and Epenesa. One thing I just noticed: reading the Spotrac fine print, Von Miller has $10.7M of 2024 salary already guaranteed (guaranteed at signing). His remaining $6.44M guarantees near the start of the League new year, in March 2024. Usually in these circs, the remaining money is "injury guaranteed now", meaning if Von Miller plays and is hurt, the Bills are 'on the hook' for the whole thing. It's possible that the Bills, in a quieter and less publicity-ridden way, are doing the same thing the Broncos did in benching Russell Wilson for their final games - keeping some of their 2024 cap options open. The cynic in me says that we're waiting for the NFL to finish counting the indignant emails and notes they got asking why Drew Ogletree, a 2022 6th round Colts TE of no particular pedigree and 9 NFL receptions, is on the commissioner's exempt list for DV while Von Miller is standing in front of a microphone saying it's all a terrible misunderstanding while free to practice and play. I think they have a measuring stick, and if the pile is over a certain height, on the Exempt list he goes.

So one of the follow-ups to Kyle's tweet says "potentially helps explain having his worst passing day of the year" , to which Trimble responds "Considering it was early in the day, that would help reinforce that idea". Except that Q by Q here were Allen's stats 1Q: 2 for 11 for 5 yards 2Q: 5 for 9 for 41 yards, 1 INT 3Q: 3 for 4 for 84 yards 4Q: 5 for 6 for 36 So since this happened late in the 1st, Allen was having a bad day passing before it happened, and was able to "get it together" the rest of the game This gives me hope that the finger injury is not too serious -- 🤞