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Everything posted by Beck Water
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There is if you want to make an argument that Allen and Diggs were doing great statistically until Dorsey got fired and Brady took over. The point is that the statistics fell off before the Dorsey/Brady swap
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Von INACTIVE vs Patriots, Coach's Decision
Beck Water replied to Process's topic in The Stadium Wall
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Go look up the games between the Giants and Denver. It’s pretty hard to argue that there was a cliff after the Denver game
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Ah....Look at the 5 game stretch starting with the Giants and ending with NE. The Bills went 2-3 in that stretch, including 3 games where we failed to score more than the league average # of points. Allen threw <180 yds passing (twice), 2 INT (once). Now you might not want to lay that all at Dorsey's door - fact is, Allen injured his shoulder in the Giants game and was limited in practice with it for the next week (NWE), practiced in full before Tampa where he had a 300+ yd passing game, then actually DNP one day before Cincy, then had a low-yardage passing game vs Denver. As for Diggs, he had 100 yd passing game vs. the Giants, but then his productivity fell quite a bit 3 of the following 4 games, while Dorsey was still OC. Let's not pretend that Allen was having a great statistical stretch and Diggs was "on fire" until Brady took over. It's not the case.
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Dude, come on. He completed 15 of 30 and most people seem to think there were several scorable drops. So no, he was not "off target on most of his throws". Seriously? Outplayed by Bailey Zappe and his 3 INTs? GTFO. Where's @LanderPoke? I think he's the one I was questioning about if people were really saying that. I need to serve your receipts - I disbelieved, but you were right.
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Funny that you mention "my sarcasm" when I either quoted or slightly paraphrased what you wrote. I would say your negativity did the screaming, I just opened the window to make it easily heard. I grant you didn't say our OC sucks, but I think that's a reasonable paraphrase of "his play calling and scheme seems to be faltering". You're probably going to dismiss this response as waffling, but I've been very consistent in this and folks who've forgotten more football than I've ever known can confirm - I am very up-front about saying that I can not judge things like WR separation, play calling and design, and even QB play from the televised broadcast. I don't have the deep football knowledge that can pick out stuff like what the defensive coverage is based on how the LB and nickel are positioned or even how they're standing pre-snap. I need all-22 and a detailed look at the offensive and defensive alignment pre-snap, the route combos being run, and so forth. Then I can start to see things like WR separation, how much time there was for the play to develop, whether there were open receivers who might have been a higher-percentage throw, and so forth and I start to be willing to have an opinion. I heard it said over and over here there were no open WR for Josh (under Dorsey) and when looking at the all-22 there were in fact short outlet receivers open and sometimes other receivers open. Then we have to look at the sequence - were they open at the point where Josh had to make a decision? or had he already rolled out of the pocket to the opposite side? Then stuff it's frankly beyond my level of football acumen (and apparently, beyond the level of former NFL QB like Warner and O'Sullivan) to know, like what was the sequence of reads? I have the impression that our OC, Brady, did make adjustments in the 2nd half that helped the passing game. I also have the impression that teams are playing a lot more man against us this season. This is a problem for two reasons: because teams were showing man but really playing half-and-half coverage, or showing man but then dropping into zone, I think the Bills made a tactical decision to not change plays but rather to incorporate a man-beater and a zone-beater into almost every play (I could be wrong here, this is just what I see). The problem with this is more than 1 guy has to be able to beat man coverage consistently. It works, so teams keep using it. As far as the Pats run D, you always got to take those rankings with a bit of a salt shaker and look at who did, and didn't, have rushing success against the Pats. The Jets, Colts, Giants, and Chargers ran all over NE - these aren't top rushing teams, though they're teams with a capable rush offense. The Bills put up 93 yds in our first game against them and 103 yds yesterday. They are 8th for Y/A and 9th for Y/G, and Josh is the #2 rusher - by a LOT. The Bills quietly seem to have a rushing offense this season. So no, it wasn't a big surprise to me, or I feel for people studying the game enough to have strong opinions. I agree with you that consistency has been a huge problem for the Bills this season. They have absolutely lost games they could have, and arguably should have, won. All of their losses have been 1-score games, and in (I think) 3 of them the Bills had the lead and the D couldn't get the needed stop. But the Bills were in that position because their offense wasn't clicking in several of those games. It's a fair point. The thing is, I believe most teams have their inconsistent moments and their moments of getting flat out whupped. The Ravens are red-hot right now, which can make it easy to overlook that they got stifled by the Colts and the lowly Steelers, and stymied by the Browns. The 12-4 49ers have been a juggernaught at times, but they had a 3 game skid involving losses to the "OK" Vikes and the somehow very-good Browns, then got whalloped by the Bengals and Ravens. "My eyes just don't see a SB team here". I don't know what to say to that. In 2021, the Bengals were 10-7 when they beat the Chiefs in the AFCCG after 13 seconds and then lost to the Rams - who if I recall correctly, had to sneak in through the WC route and had a decimated secondary where they literally called up a guy who was out of football for a year to play safety in that game and he wound up with the green dot calling the plays for the secondary even. In 2020, TB was 11-5 and Brady threw three (3) picks against GB in the AFCCG. I did NOT see a Superbowl team there....and yet.... My point is I apparently don't know what is or isn't a Superbowl team when I see it. A lot depends on who gets hot at the right time. First things first: Win and Get In. You really surprise me when you say you will be pumped during the game. I used (for my sins) to read the gameday threads assiduously and my impression is that you were consistently a "negative nancy" therein. Apologies if I missed one of your questions
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Wait, wat? That happened this season. It's one of the games that's the reason why we're playing for the Division and the #2 seed instead of talking about whether we'll rest our starters. In what way is the Eagles game, or the Jax game for that matter, not part of this? Just to be clear, though, I think you took my post as directed at you. When I said "some people" I literally meant it - I was framing a general response. There are most certainly issues. And I'll say it - Josh could be the problem. He's certainly been part of the problem when the dust settles and the game film has been dissected in detail.
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It's not "slightly disappointed and concerned about the offense" or "critical of the Bills O" that are causing exception, and I think you know this. It's stuff like vomit emojis and unrelentingly negative posts about how the QB was poor, the WR can't separate, the OC's play calling and scheme are bad, and the team doesn't have the makeup or talent to make a deep playoff run. If you play that stuff backwards, your dog comes back to life and your stolen truck pulls into your driveway. That was funny. Who was it who jumped on Shakir's back? I gotta say Diggs didn't look too happy, though if he's gutting through something, he may have been jonesing for the treatment room.
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It's not just that. On SNF someone put up a graphic of the starting QB for every team, then the current QB in a yellow color. There were something like 5 teams in the AFC who were playing their season-starting QB (Baltimore, Miami, KC, Jags, and Bills). The Browns just clinched the #5 seed on their what, 4th QB? Who is 4-1 with them? The Vikes are on what, their #4 QB and were playing for playoffs last night. Just because a team is playing a backup QB doesn't mean they're DOA.
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This is perceptive. We won convincingly over the Cowboys, but we did it in an out-of-character way. So I guess our wins against the Cowboys were not convincing. But I can't shake the feeling that some people will never be happy. Josh had 67.5% completions, 0 sacks, 2 passing TD, 359 net passing yards against the Jaguars. He had 57% completions, 1 sack for 7 yards, 2 passing TD, 332 net passing yards against the Eagles. I guess that would be doing pretty well in "the most important area of current football" but did it make us feel so good in those games? Hell to the No, we lost them. We all felt like *****.
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I did NOT need to see Kirk Cousins shirltess Does anyone else really really want to see GB make the playoffs, just because Aaron Rodgers isn’t there and his new team flubbed? Well that play for the Vikings worked just like they drew it up
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I know he’s knowledgeable and researches the teams he covers, but he’s going nuttier and nuttier On that off-topic does it chap anyone else’s grits that SNF is two 7-8 teams who now ‘control their own destiny’ thanks to Pitts beating Seattle (a 9-7 team)? And that another 9-7 team, the Rams, are firmly in the playoff mix while the Bills at 10-6 may not make it? I mean, we have no one to blame but ourselves, but
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Lord Save Me
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Find A Way, Baby!
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Von INACTIVE vs Patriots, Coach's Decision
Beck Water replied to Process's topic in The Stadium Wall
OK but….arguably, Miller has been taking snaps from Epenesa etc who was arguably playing better than he all along since Week 5 I don’t want to be a Debbie Downer here, but it’s not uncommon for a player who has some trouble looming to be inactive one week and then show up on the Exempt list or a suspension. It could be a message “show up, or sit out”. Or it could be a sign of something coming down -
Right. That “awful Pats team” has had I think 3 or 4 losses by more than 1 score….so of their 12 losses, 8 were by 7 points or less, and given a missed penalty or a bad bounce could easily have gone another way. That includes one of the two times they played the vaunted Dolphins, who won by…..7 points. Is our offense looking like a juggernaut right now? Hell to the Noes. I share the concerns several have expressed about Josh and Diggs. But people were “sticking a fork” in the Bills back in mid-Nov when we fell to 5-5 with a loss to Denver. So I’m personally just going to enjoy the ride that’s put us in position to play for the Division title next week. Win or Go Home, Boys - it’s Playoffs! I think that’s fair, actually.
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How can I put this nicely? You claim to be a Bills fan. OUR TEAM WON TODAY! It’s well known that the NFL is a “parity” league, and on any given Sunday, any team can lose…we lost to the Pats earlier this season. In addition, this was a Division game against one of the greatest coaches in the game, bar none. And yet your reaction to our win is: ”The Bills, at home, played an awful NFL team who started their 3rd string QB, was missing their #1 RB, #1 WR, #2 WR, missed 2 FGs and had a -3 turnover margin. The Bills won by 6…SIX points! 🤮” That’s right, a Vomit emoji. Let’s just say I’m not interested in the opinion of “what looks good on me” from a so-called Bills fan whose reaction to a critical team win is a Vomit emoji, and leave it at that.
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I can see where people may feel that Miami is the better team. They have more skill player talent I feel - two very talented fast WR in Hill and Waddle, a lightening bug at RB in Achane. They have significantly fewer offensive turnovers. They had the #2 scoring offense in the league going into this week. The Bills were #5 on offense going into the week and again (going into the week) had the edge on defense, #4 to Miami #12. What that means IMO is that they are both good teams who know how to win, and it’s going to come down to preparedness (including coaching) and “want to” - who wants it more? - on the day. That said, what kind of fan doesn’t fancy their own team as the better one? I certainly can’t call you too much for that.
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OK, I give you credit for self-awareness
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Oh, hell, why should the team bother when their QB was poor, the WR can’t separate, the OC sucks, you’re surprised they can run (after the Cowboys game?) and they just don’t have the makeup or talent to make a deep playoff run? According to you, that is. ⛈️
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Anti-Matter, meet Matter 🤯
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I can tell you’ll really rock the NYE party