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Beck Water

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Everything posted by Beck Water

  1. I think that the commercial weather services do like to generate clicks and hits. OMG snow measured in feet! 55 mph winds! Those generate clicks. You're right, if there are 55 mph winds and snow measured in feet for the game, that is dangerous weather and should preclude the game for safety reasons. However, the picture painted by the current NOAA forecast for Orchard Park is not nearly so dire https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-78.78850936883926&lat=42.776549603035136 They're talking 5-9" of snow possibly accumulating over the entirety of Sunday, 25-30 mph winds. Yes, that's bad weather, but it's not 'extremely dangerous/deadly'. I've snowshoed and skiied in those conditions. Love the cave story, by the way. As to whether it's safe and sane to have people traveling for a football game in those conditions, or to try to play it, I leave that for people who are actually seeing the several weather models and who are charged with public safety.
  2. https://www.buffalobills.com/video/greg-cosell-steelers-bills-in-depth-game-preview-x9124 Some here find Cosell negative about the Bills, but I think he is very positive about them.
  3. So which logical fallacy is this? I'm losing track...I probably need to write myself a list I can consult while reading various posts here. First you start out with "no human can pass in the wind conditions being forecast". Then it's pointed out, with historical weather data, that Josh in fact did pass in pretty much those weather conditions in the Dec. 21 Patriots game, so, he probably can pass in those wind conditions. Now you exaggerate the factual counterpoint to "no worries" and "literally sling that ball in a tornado" and "pass for over 300 yards". I know that's a logical fallacy you're perpetrating here, but I'm losing track of which one.
  4. Josh Reed trolls Ari Meirov:
  5. New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills 8:15 pm. As we can see, wind was ~30 mph from the WSW at game time, with gusts up to 46 mph at game time, gust speed falling and wind falling slightly during the game. Josh Allen 15 of 30 for 145 yds. No, it's not a record-setting passing performance but the point is - he threw in it. Now, you're probably gonna say "but my point is....the Patriots won, 14 to 10!". So I'll move on to my point: football, for all its chess moves and complexity, is at core a simple game. It comes down to, as Josh's Wyo Coach used to say, "Man whupping man". The Pats don't sniff victory if Breida doesn't fumble a handoff from Josh. Hang on to the rock and as @oldmanfan said, "go out there and whup their butts."
  6. We may need that. Hopefully the team is asking everyone to spend Sat. night at a nearby hotel. I know the team has meetings, dinner, meetings, and chapel and puts most players up in a hotel, but I also know they've historically allowed a few of their stars to be home with their families either overnight or the following morning ('Zo Alexander was one). This would be a good night to say "everybody stay at the hotel, no exceptions".
  7. What's your food full of, or shouldn't I ask? I don't think the shovelers get free tickets now a days. They get paid $20/hr, which for overnight work 10 pm to 10 am might be $240 And access to a warming room/chow
  8. He said beer and "bear essentials". I was wondering if "bear essentials" were like "bear necessities" Also imagining that between a bear coat and bear feet, @rusty shackleford could be pretty snug at the game
  9. Lifted truck with chains 😅
  10. Pickett got knocked out of 3 games and Trubisky was totally ineffective in relief. So when Pickett's Week 13 injury sent him to IR, they benched Trubisky and went with Rudolph booping up a 3-2 record that put them in the playoffs and the best performance of the three of them. So when Pickett came off IR, Tomlin wasn't on the fence about staying with Rudolph. Yes, it's very handy if you get stuck in the snow and need a snack. Frozen cake still gives the yums.
  11. Fake news. Shame on you Ari!
  12. I dunno about now, but historically Von Miller has been very very good against the run, as opposed to someone like AJE who has become a talented pass rusher but (again, maybe this has changed) has been tenuous against the run.
  13. Yeah, I think it's notable that the only road closure so far is prohibiting double-trailers on the thruways.
  14. He really is. Gabe Davis understood it, knew it was a Pats thing at least. Nothing against the Steelers.
  15. Thing is, if it's true as someone said that Shady grew up playing ball on snowy fields in PA, Shady probably doesn't know what it is he does. It's second nature to him, so he just plays.
  16. Get out yer chain saw and call Safelite
  17. To be fair to little Hyundais and the like, it's really the "cruising around" part that's the issue, not the Hyundai per se
  18. It really is. One of our mechanics used to say "cold is a case of mind over matter. if you don't have a mind...it doesn't matter." LOL I was reading this fascinating book about WWII called "Night Witches". It's about the Soviet 588th Night Bomber Regiment during WW II. For those unfamiliar, this was an all-female regiment using, basically, cloth and wood biplanes that were converted to carry 2 bombs each. They staged just behind Soviet lines and would fly by ded reckoning (compass and time) over German lines, cut their engines and glide down (basically, undetectable because they couldn't be picked up on radar or heard), drop bombs, and fly back to base for a reload. Their all-women ground crews would re-arm the planes, working in bitter cold Soviet winters and sometimes needing to work without gloves in weather so cold skin would freeze to metal instantly. They would fly 8 to 18 missions a night. They were so feared, any Nazi pilot who shot one down was automatically awarded a medal. The more I read, the more it was "holy crap, what people can endure when they put their minds to it". Incredible story.
  19. I took it as "we can reasonably predict a band of heavy snow, but at this point the exact location of the heaviest band is unpredictable"
  20. The frozen locusts will have the same impact as frozen iguanas. They will pour down from the sky, lowering visibility and rendering footing challenging. During periods of heavy locust precipitation, the trajectory of the ball during a pass or kick may be affected. The helmet-wearing players on the field will not be impacted too much by the frozen locust fall, but coaches and players on the bench should consider protective headgear for the game. When did they move the Browns game to Detroit? Seems like it was relatively last minute. I don't think this game will be moved, though.
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